The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Al-Khaleej v Al-Hazem

Kickoff: 2026-03-06 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Al-Khaleej (Local)

Prediction 51.09%1.96fair odd
EV -0.383%
Edge -0.197%
Kelly -0.404%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.05%51.14%51.17%52.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.781.791.9557.80%56.03%55.87%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Al-Hazem (Visit)

Prediction 23.61%4.24fair odd
EV -0.370%
Edge -0.088%
Kelly -0.115%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.47%23.55%23.61%24.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.853.854.2227.78%25.99%25.97%23.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.31%3.95fair odd
EV -2.83%
Edge -0.736%
Kelly -0.995%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.84

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.73%25.31%25.22%27.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.593.603.8432.26%27.87%27.78%26.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Al-Khaleej (Local): 51.09%; Al-Hazem (Visit): 23.61%; Draw: 25.31%. For Al-Hazem (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.24. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.22, with an expected value of -0.370%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.79%EV -0.383%E -0.197%K -0.404%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 23.01%EV -0.370%E -0.088%K -0.115%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.20%EV -9.66%E -2.71%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-06 18:55
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.34%EV -5.49%E -2.97%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.92%EV -6.27%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.73%EV -2.83%E -0.736%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 18:50
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13%EV -5.49%E -2.97%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -5.56%E -1.39%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -5.10%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 18:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.43%EV -6.00%E -3.26%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -7.92%E -2.03%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 14:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -6.51%E -3.56%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -5.56%E -1.39%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -6.37%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 18:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -8.05%E -4.47%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -11.47%E -3.06%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -7.63%E -2.09%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-06 14:40
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -8.05%E -4.47%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.29%E -2.71%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-06 15:20
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -8.05%E -4.47%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -11.47%E -3.06%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-06 16:00
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.05%E -4.47%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.01%E -4.17%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.43%E -3.27%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-06 15:20
Unibet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -8.56%E -4.78%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -7.92%E -2.03%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.37%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 18:56
Unibet (NL)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -8.56%E -4.78%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -7.92%E -2.03%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.37%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 18:55
Grosvenor🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -8.56%E -4.78%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -7.92%E -2.03%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.37%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 18:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -8.56%E -4.78%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -7.92%E -2.03%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.37%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 18:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -8.56%E -4.78%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -7.92%E -2.03%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.37%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 18:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -8.56%E -4.78%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -7.92%E -2.03%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.37%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 18:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.27%EV -9.07%E -5.09%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%EV -13.83%E -3.79%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.21%EV -10.17%E -2.86%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-06 14:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.42%EV -9.58%E -5.41%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -9.11%E -2.36%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -7.63%E -2.09%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-06 18:55
LeoVegas🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.42%EV -9.58%E -5.41%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -9.11%E -2.36%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -7.63%E -2.09%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-06 18:56
Betclic (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.54%EV -10.09%E -5.73%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -7.92%E -2.03%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-06 18:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -10.60%E -6.06%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -3.20%E -0.781%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.37%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-06 18:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.94%EV -10.60%E -6.06%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.58%EV -10.76%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -11.43%E -3.27%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-06 18:50
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -10.60%E -6.06%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -10.29%E -2.71%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.96%E -4.11%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-06 18:55
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -10.60%E -6.06%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -10.29%E -2.71%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.96%E -4.11%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-06 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -10.60%E -6.06%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -10.29%E -2.71%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.96%E -4.11%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-06 18:56
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -10.60%E -6.06%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -10.29%E -2.71%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.96%E -4.11%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-06 18:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -11.62%E -6.72%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -11.47%E -3.06%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-06 18:56
LiveScore Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -11.62%E -6.72%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -11.47%E -3.06%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-06 18:55
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.13%EV -11.62%E -6.72%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.59%EV -11.47%E -3.06%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -11.43%E -3.27%K -4.57%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-06 18:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 49.05%EV -11.62%E -6.72%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.57%EV -15.01%E -4.17%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.37%EV -21.55%E -6.95%K -10.26%G +0.000%17.8%2026-03-06 15:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.68%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.39%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.94%1.5%2026-03-06 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.68%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.39%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.94%1.5%2026-03-06 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.68%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.39%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.94%1.5%2026-03-06 18:45
Smarkets◎1.85I 54.05%NM 52.50%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.59%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.91%3.0%2026-03-06 18:40