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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Al-Khaleej v Al-Hazem

开赛时间： 2026-03-06 19:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

29 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Al-Khaleej (主队)

预测 51.09%1.96公平赔率
EV -0.383%
优势 -0.197%
Kelly -0.404%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.95

博彩公司预测分布
49.05%51.14%51.17%52.64%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.731.781.791.9557.80%56.03%55.87%51.28%最小值均值中位数最大值

Al-Hazem (客队)

预测 23.61%4.24公平赔率
EV -0.370%
优势 -0.088%
Kelly -0.115%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.22

博彩公司预测分布
22.47%23.55%23.61%24.82%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.603.853.854.2227.78%25.99%25.97%23.70%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 25.31%3.95公平赔率
EV -2.83%
优势 -0.736%
Kelly -0.995%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.84

博彩公司预测分布
24.73%25.31%25.22%27.37%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.593.603.8432.26%27.87%27.78%26.04%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Al-Khaleej (主队)：51.09%；Al-Hazem (客队)：23.61%；平局：25.31%。 对于“Al-Hazem (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.24。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为4.22，期望值为-0.370%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (29 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.79%EV -0.383%E -0.197%K -0.404%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 23.01%EV -0.370%E -0.088%K -0.115%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.20%EV -9.66%E -2.71%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-06 18:55
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.34%EV -5.49%E -2.97%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.92%EV -6.27%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.73%EV -2.83%E -0.736%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 18:50
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13%EV -5.49%E -2.97%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -5.56%E -1.39%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -5.10%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 18:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.43%EV -6.00%E -3.26%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -7.92%E -2.03%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 14:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -6.51%E -3.56%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -5.56%E -1.39%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -6.37%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 18:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -8.05%E -4.47%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -11.47%E -3.06%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -7.63%E -2.09%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-06 14:40
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -8.05%E -4.47%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.29%E -2.71%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-06 15:20
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -8.05%E -4.47%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -11.47%E -3.06%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-06 16:00
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.05%E -4.47%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.01%E -4.17%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.43%E -3.27%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-06 15:20
Unibet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -8.56%E -4.78%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -7.92%E -2.03%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.37%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 18:56
Unibet (NL)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -8.56%E -4.78%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -7.92%E -2.03%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.37%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 18:55
Grosvenor🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -8.56%E -4.78%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -7.92%E -2.03%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.37%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 18:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -8.56%E -4.78%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -7.92%E -2.03%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.37%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 18:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -8.56%E -4.78%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -7.92%E -2.03%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.37%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 18:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -8.56%E -4.78%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -7.92%E -2.03%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.37%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 18:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.27%EV -9.07%E -5.09%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%EV -13.83%E -3.79%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.21%EV -10.17%E -2.86%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-06 14:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.42%EV -9.58%E -5.41%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -9.11%E -2.36%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -7.63%E -2.09%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-06 18:55
LeoVegas🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.42%EV -9.58%E -5.41%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -9.11%E -2.36%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -7.63%E -2.09%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-06 18:56
Betclic (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.54%EV -10.09%E -5.73%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -7.92%E -2.03%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-06 18:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -10.60%E -6.06%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -3.20%E -0.781%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.37%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-06 18:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.94%EV -10.60%E -6.06%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.58%EV -10.76%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -11.43%E -3.27%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-06 18:50
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -10.60%E -6.06%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -10.29%E -2.71%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.96%E -4.11%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-06 18:55
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -10.60%E -6.06%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -10.29%E -2.71%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.96%E -4.11%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-06 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -10.60%E -6.06%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -10.29%E -2.71%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.96%E -4.11%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-06 18:56
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -10.60%E -6.06%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -10.29%E -2.71%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.96%E -4.11%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-06 18:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -11.62%E -6.72%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -11.47%E -3.06%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-06 18:56
LiveScore Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -11.62%E -6.72%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -11.47%E -3.06%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-06 18:55
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.13%EV -11.62%E -6.72%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.59%EV -11.47%E -3.06%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -11.43%E -3.27%K -4.57%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-06 18:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 49.05%EV -11.62%E -6.72%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.57%EV -15.01%E -4.17%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.37%EV -21.55%E -6.95%K -10.26%G +0.000%17.8%2026-03-06 15:20
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.68%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.39%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.94%1.5%2026-03-06 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.68%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.39%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.94%1.5%2026-03-06 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.68%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.39%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.94%1.5%2026-03-06 18:45
Smarkets◎1.85I 54.05%NM 52.50%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.59%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.91%3.0%2026-03-06 18:40