L’École des cotes

Al-Khaleej v Al-Hazem

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-06 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

29 opérateurs (7 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Al-Khaleej (Local)

Prévision 51.09%1.96cote équitable
EV -0.383%
Avantage -0.197%
Kelly -0.404%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.05%51.14%51.17%52.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.781.791.9557.80%56.03%55.87%51.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Al-Hazem (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.61%4.24cote équitable
EV -0.370%
Avantage -0.088%
Kelly -0.115%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.47%23.55%23.61%24.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.603.853.854.2227.78%25.99%25.97%23.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.31%3.95cote équitable
EV -2.83%
Avantage -0.736%
Kelly -0.995%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.84

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.73%25.31%25.22%27.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.593.603.8432.26%27.87%27.78%26.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (29 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.79%EV -0.383%E -0.197%K -0.404%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 23.01%EV -0.370%E -0.088%K -0.115%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.20%EV -9.66%E -2.71%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-06 18:55
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 51.34%EV -5.49%E -2.97%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.92%EV -6.27%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.73%EV -2.83%E -0.736%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 18:50
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13%EV -5.49%E -2.97%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -5.56%E -1.39%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -5.10%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 18:20
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.43%EV -6.00%E -3.26%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -7.92%E -2.03%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 14:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -6.51%E -3.56%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -5.56%E -1.39%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -6.37%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 18:20
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -8.05%E -4.47%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -11.47%E -3.06%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -7.63%E -2.09%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-06 14:40
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -8.05%E -4.47%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.29%E -2.71%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-06 15:20
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -8.05%E -4.47%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -11.47%E -3.06%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-06 16:00
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.05%E -4.47%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.01%E -4.17%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.43%E -3.27%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-06 15:20
Unibet1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -8.56%E -4.78%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -7.92%E -2.03%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.37%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 18:56
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -8.56%E -4.78%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -7.92%E -2.03%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.37%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 18:55
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -8.56%E -4.78%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -7.92%E -2.03%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.37%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 18:55
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -8.56%E -4.78%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -7.92%E -2.03%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.37%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 18:55
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -8.56%E -4.78%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -7.92%E -2.03%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.37%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 18:55
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -8.56%E -4.78%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -7.92%E -2.03%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.37%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 18:55
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.27%EV -9.07%E -5.09%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%EV -13.83%E -3.79%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.21%EV -10.17%E -2.86%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-06 14:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.42%EV -9.58%E -5.41%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -9.11%E -2.36%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -7.63%E -2.09%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-06 18:55
LeoVegas1.77I 56.50%NM 51.42%EV -9.58%E -5.41%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -9.11%E -2.36%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -7.63%E -2.09%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-06 18:56
Betclic (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.54%EV -10.09%E -5.73%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -7.92%E -2.03%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-06 18:34
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -10.60%E -6.06%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -3.20%E -0.781%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.37%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-06 18:15
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.94%EV -10.60%E -6.06%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.58%EV -10.76%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -11.43%E -3.27%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-06 18:50
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -10.60%E -6.06%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -10.29%E -2.71%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.96%E -4.11%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-06 18:55
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -10.60%E -6.06%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -10.29%E -2.71%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.96%E -4.11%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-06 18:55
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -10.60%E -6.06%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -10.29%E -2.71%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.96%E -4.11%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-06 18:56
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -10.60%E -6.06%K -14.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -10.29%E -2.71%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -13.96%E -4.11%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-06 18:55
Virgin Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -11.62%E -6.72%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -11.47%E -3.06%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-06 18:56
LiveScore Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -11.62%E -6.72%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -11.47%E -3.06%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-06 18:55
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 51.13%EV -11.62%E -6.72%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.59%EV -11.47%E -3.06%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -11.43%E -3.27%K -4.57%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-06 18:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.05%EV -11.62%E -6.72%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.57%EV -15.01%E -4.17%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.37%EV -21.55%E -6.95%K -10.26%G +0.000%17.8%2026-03-06 15:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.68%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.39%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.94%1.5%2026-03-06 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.68%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.39%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.94%1.5%2026-03-06 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.68%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.39%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.94%1.5%2026-03-06 18:45
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.50%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.59%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.91%3.0%2026-03-06 18:40