Language:English
Al-Khaleej v Al-Ahli
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Al-Khaleej (Local)
Prediction 18.25%5.48fair odd
EV +9.47%
Edge +1.58%
Kelly +1.89%
Growth +0.180%
assuming max odds 6.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.18%18.25%18.42%19.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.305.186.0022.22%18.88%19.31%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Al-Ahli (Visit)
Prediction 60.32%1.66fair odd
EV -6.51%
Edge -4.20%
Kelly -11.84%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.14%60.25%60.19%64.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.481.501.5573.53%67.79%66.67%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.44%4.66fair odd
EV -3.52%
Edge -0.783%
Kelly -1.01%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.42%21.50%21.39%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.264.304.5027.78%23.47%23.26%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Al-Khaleej (Local): 18.25%; Al-Ahli (Visit): 60.32%; Draw: 21.44%. For Al-Khaleej (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.48. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.47%.
Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV +9.47%E +1.58%K +1.89%G +0.180% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -13.15%E -9.13%K -29.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -3.52%E -0.783%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-20 17:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV +9.47%E +1.58%K +1.89%G +0.180% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -13.75%E -9.61%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -3.52%E -0.783%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-20 17:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV +9.47%E +1.58%K +1.89%G +0.180% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -13.75%E -9.61%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -3.52%E -0.783%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-20 17:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV +9.47%E +1.58%K +1.89%G +0.180% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -13.75%E -9.61%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -3.52%E -0.783%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-20 17:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV +9.47%E +1.58%K +1.89%G +0.180% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -13.75%E -9.61%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -3.52%E -0.783%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-20 17:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV +9.47%E +1.58%K +1.89%G +0.180% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -13.75%E -9.61%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -3.52%E -0.783%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-20 17:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV +9.47%E +1.58%K +1.89%G +0.180% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.13%EV -14.35%E -10.11%K -34.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -5.67%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-20 17:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV +9.47%E +1.58%K +1.89%G +0.180% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.13%EV -14.35%E -10.11%K -34.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -5.67%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-20 17:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.26%EV +5.82%E +1.00%K +1.21%G +0.071% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.15%EV -16.76%E -12.15%K -44.12%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.59%EV -7.81%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-20 17:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.26%EV +5.82%E +1.00%K +1.21%G +0.071% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.15%EV -16.76%E -12.15%K -44.12%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.59%EV -7.81%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-20 17:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.20%EV +4.91%E +0.854%K +1.03%G +0.051% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.25%EV -17.97%E -13.21%K -49.92%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.56%EV -8.88%E -2.09%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-05-20 17:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.52I 18.12%NM 17.13%EV +0.716%E +0.130%K +0.158%G +0.001% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.42%EV -7.11%E -4.62%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 4.41I 22.68%NM 21.45%EV -5.45%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -3.30%E -0.622%K -0.767%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.28%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -7.81%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-20 16:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -4.21%E -0.802%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.99%EV -6.51%E -4.20%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -3.52%E -0.783%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV -4.21%E -0.802%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.70%EV -6.51%E -4.20%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -5.67%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-20 17:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.18I 19.31%NM 18.01%EV -5.49%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.59%EV -7.11%E -4.62%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 21.40%EV -6.53%E -1.50%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -8.77%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.17%EV -7.11%E -4.62%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -6.74%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-20 17:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.77%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -7.72%E -5.04%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -9.96%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -8.77%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.10%EV -10.13%E -6.80%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -5.67%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-20 17:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -8.77%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -9.96%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-20 17:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -8.77%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -9.96%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-20 17:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.57%EV -12.42%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.22%EV -10.73%E -7.25%K -22.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -9.96%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-20 17:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -12.42%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -14.24%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-20 17:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -12.42%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -16.39%E -4.20%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-20 17:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -12.42%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -16.39%E -4.20%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-20 17:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -12.42%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -16.39%E -4.20%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-20 17:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -12.42%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -16.39%E -4.20%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -13.33%E -2.81%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.14%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -14.24%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -14.25%E -3.03%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.92%EV -8.32%E -5.47%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -5.67%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-20 17:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -16.07%E -3.49%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.83%EV -7.81%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-20 17:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.60%EV -17.89%E -3.98%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 58.14%EV -13.15%E -9.13%K -29.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.26%EV -22.82%E -6.34%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 19.4% | 2026-05-20 16:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.85% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.33% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81% | 0.9% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.00% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05% | 1.1% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.46% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.52% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.02% | 1.2% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.70% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.35% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.96% | 1.5% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.11% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.13% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.75% | 2.5% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |