L’École des cotesFrançais
Al-Khaleej v Al-Ahli
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Al-Khaleej (Local)
Prévision 18.25%5.48cote équitable
EV +9.47%
Avantage +1.58%
Kelly +1.89%
Croissance +0.180%
avec la cote maximale 6.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.18%18.25%18.42%19.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.305.186.0022.22%18.88%19.31%16.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Al-Ahli (Visiteur)
Prévision 60.32%1.66cote équitable
EV -6.51%
Avantage -4.20%
Kelly -11.84%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.55
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.14%60.25%60.19%64.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.361.481.501.5573.53%67.79%66.67%64.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 21.44%4.66cote équitable
EV -3.52%
Avantage -0.783%
Kelly -1.01%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.42%21.50%21.39%23.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.264.304.5027.78%23.47%23.26%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (31 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV +9.47%E +1.58%K +1.89%G +0.180% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -13.15%E -9.13%K -29.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -3.52%E -0.783%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-20 17:40 |
| Grosvenor | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV +9.47%E +1.58%K +1.89%G +0.180% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -13.75%E -9.61%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -3.52%E -0.783%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-20 17:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV +9.47%E +1.58%K +1.89%G +0.180% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -13.75%E -9.61%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -3.52%E -0.783%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-20 17:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV +9.47%E +1.58%K +1.89%G +0.180% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -13.75%E -9.61%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -3.52%E -0.783%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-20 17:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV +9.47%E +1.58%K +1.89%G +0.180% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -13.75%E -9.61%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -3.52%E -0.783%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-20 17:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV +9.47%E +1.58%K +1.89%G +0.180% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -13.75%E -9.61%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -3.52%E -0.783%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-20 17:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV +9.47%E +1.58%K +1.89%G +0.180% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.13%EV -14.35%E -10.11%K -34.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -5.67%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-20 17:40 |
| LeoVegas | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV +9.47%E +1.58%K +1.89%G +0.180% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.13%EV -14.35%E -10.11%K -34.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -5.67%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-20 17:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.26%EV +5.82%E +1.00%K +1.21%G +0.071% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.15%EV -16.76%E -12.15%K -44.12%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.59%EV -7.81%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-20 17:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.26%EV +5.82%E +1.00%K +1.21%G +0.071% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.15%EV -16.76%E -12.15%K -44.12%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.59%EV -7.81%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-20 17:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.20%EV +4.91%E +0.854%K +1.03%G +0.051% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.25%EV -17.97%E -13.21%K -49.92%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.56%EV -8.88%E -2.09%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-05-20 17:40 |
| Pinnacle | 5.52I 18.12%NM 17.13%EV +0.716%E +0.130%K +0.158%G +0.001% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.42%EV -7.11%E -4.62%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 4.41I 22.68%NM 21.45%EV -5.45%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -3.30%E -0.622%K -0.767%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.28%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -7.81%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-20 16:50 |
| Coral | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -4.21%E -0.802%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.99%EV -6.51%E -4.20%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -3.52%E -0.783%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV -4.21%E -0.802%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.70%EV -6.51%E -4.20%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -5.67%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-20 17:40 |
| 1xBet | 5.18I 19.31%NM 18.01%EV -5.49%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.59%EV -7.11%E -4.62%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 21.40%EV -6.53%E -1.50%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -8.77%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.17%EV -7.11%E -4.62%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -6.74%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-20 17:40 |
| betfred_uk | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.77%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -7.72%E -5.04%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -9.96%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -8.77%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.10%EV -10.13%E -6.80%K -20.67%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -5.67%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-20 17:40 |
| SportsBet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -8.77%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -9.96%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-20 17:30 |
| Paddy Power | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -8.77%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -9.96%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-20 17:29 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.57%EV -12.42%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.22%EV -10.73%E -7.25%K -22.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -9.96%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-20 17:40 |
| Sky Bet | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -12.42%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -14.24%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-20 17:30 |
| 888sport | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -12.42%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -16.39%E -4.20%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-20 17:40 |
| William Hill | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -12.42%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -16.39%E -4.20%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-20 17:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -12.42%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -16.39%E -4.20%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-20 17:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -12.42%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -16.39%E -4.20%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| BoyleSports | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -13.33%E -2.81%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.14%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -14.24%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -14.25%E -3.03%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.92%EV -8.32%E -5.47%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -5.67%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-20 17:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -16.07%E -3.49%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.83%EV -7.81%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-20 17:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.60%EV -17.89%E -3.98%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 58.14%EV -13.15%E -9.13%K -29.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.26%EV -22.82%E -6.34%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 19.4% | 2026-05-20 16:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.85% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.33% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81% | 0.9% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.00% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05% | 1.1% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.46% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.52% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.02% | 1.2% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.70% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.35% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.96% | 1.5% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |
| Smarkets | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.11% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.13% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.75% | 2.5% | 2026-05-20 17:50 |