La scuola delle quote

Al-Khaleej v Al-Ahli

Inizio: 2026-05-20 18:00 UTC

Finale: Al-Khaleej 1–4 Al-Ahli

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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31 bookmaker (7 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Al-Khaleej (Casa)

Previsione 18.25%5.48quota equa
EV +9.47%
Vantaggio +1.58%
Kelly +1.89%
Crescita +0.180%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.18%18.25%18.42%19.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.505.305.186.0022.22%18.88%19.31%16.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Al-Ahli (Trasferta)

Previsione 60.32%1.66quota equa
EV -6.51%
Vantaggio -4.20%
Kelly -11.84%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.14%60.25%60.19%64.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.361.481.501.5573.53%67.79%66.67%64.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 21.44%4.66quota equa
EV -3.52%
Vantaggio -0.783%
Kelly -1.01%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.42%21.50%21.39%23.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.604.264.304.5027.78%23.47%23.26%22.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (31 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV +9.47%E +1.58%K +1.89%G +0.180%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -13.15%E -9.13%K -29.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -3.52%E -0.783%K -1.01%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-20 17:40
Grosvenor6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV +9.47%E +1.58%K +1.89%G +0.180%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -13.75%E -9.61%K -31.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -3.52%E -0.783%K -1.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-20 17:40
Unibet (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV +9.47%E +1.58%K +1.89%G +0.180%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -13.75%E -9.61%K -31.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -3.52%E -0.783%K -1.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-20 17:40
Unibet (NL)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV +9.47%E +1.58%K +1.89%G +0.180%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -13.75%E -9.61%K -31.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -3.52%E -0.783%K -1.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-20 17:40
ATG (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV +9.47%E +1.58%K +1.89%G +0.180%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -13.75%E -9.61%K -31.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -3.52%E -0.783%K -1.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-20 17:40
Svenska Spel6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV +9.47%E +1.58%K +1.89%G +0.180%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -13.75%E -9.61%K -31.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -3.52%E -0.783%K -1.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-20 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV +9.47%E +1.58%K +1.89%G +0.180%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.13%EV -14.35%E -10.11%K -34.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -5.67%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-20 17:40
LeoVegas6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV +9.47%E +1.58%K +1.89%G +0.180%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.13%EV -14.35%E -10.11%K -34.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -5.67%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-20 17:40
LiveScore Bet5.80I 17.24%NM 15.26%EV +5.82%E +1.00%K +1.21%G +0.071%1.38I 72.46%NM 64.15%EV -16.76%E -12.15%K -44.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.59%EV -7.81%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-20 17:40
Virgin Bet5.80I 17.24%NM 15.26%EV +5.82%E +1.00%K +1.21%G +0.071%1.38I 72.46%NM 64.15%EV -16.76%E -12.15%K -44.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.59%EV -7.81%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-20 17:40
PMU (FR)5.75I 17.39%NM 15.20%EV +4.91%E +0.854%K +1.03%G +0.051%1.36I 73.53%NM 64.25%EV -17.97%E -13.21%K -49.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.56%EV -8.88%E -2.09%K -2.73%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-20 17:40
Pinnacle5.52I 18.12%NM 17.13%EV +0.716%E +0.130%K +0.158%G +0.001%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.42%EV -7.11%E -4.62%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.45%EV -5.45%E -1.24%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-20 17:50
Tipico (DE)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -3.30%E -0.622%K -0.767%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.28%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -7.81%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-20 16:50
Coral5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -4.21%E -0.802%K -0.991%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.99%EV -6.51%E -4.20%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -3.52%E -0.783%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV -4.21%E -0.802%K -0.991%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.70%EV -6.51%E -4.20%K -11.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -5.67%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-20 17:40
1xBet5.18I 19.31%NM 18.01%EV -5.49%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.59%EV -7.11%E -4.62%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 21.40%EV -6.53%E -1.50%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-20 17:50
Unibet (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -8.77%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.17%EV -7.11%E -4.62%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -6.74%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-20 17:40
betfred_uk5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.77%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -7.72%E -5.04%K -14.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -9.96%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-20 17:50
Betclic (FR)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.21%EV -8.77%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.10%EV -10.13%E -6.80%K -20.67%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -5.67%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-20 17:40
SportsBet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -8.77%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -9.96%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-20 17:30
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -8.77%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -9.96%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-20 17:29
Unibet (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.57%EV -12.42%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.22%EV -10.73%E -7.25%K -22.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -9.96%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-20 17:40
Sky Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -12.42%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -14.24%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-20 17:30
888sport4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -12.42%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -16.39%E -4.20%K -5.65%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-20 17:40
William Hill4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -12.42%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -16.39%E -4.20%K -5.65%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-20 17:40
888sport (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -12.42%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -16.39%E -4.20%K -5.65%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-20 17:40
Mr Green (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -12.42%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -16.39%E -4.20%K -5.65%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-20 17:50
BoyleSports4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -13.33%E -2.81%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.14%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -14.24%E -3.56%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-20 17:50
Winamax (DE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -14.25%E -3.03%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.92%EV -8.32%E -5.47%K -16.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -5.67%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-20 17:40
Winamax (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -16.07%E -3.49%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.53%E -6.35%K -19.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.83%EV -7.81%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-20 17:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 18.60%EV -17.89%E -3.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 58.14%EV -13.15%E -9.13%K -29.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.26%EV -22.82%E -6.34%K -8.78%G +0.000%19.4%2026-05-20 16:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi6.25I 16.00%NM 15.85%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.33%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%0.9%2026-05-20 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.00%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05%1.1%2026-05-20 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.46%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.52%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.02%1.2%2026-05-20 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.70%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.35%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.96%1.5%2026-05-20 17:50
Smarkets5.70I 17.54%NM 17.11%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.13%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.75%2.5%2026-05-20 17:50