La scuola delle quote

Al-Ittihad v Al-Kholood

Inizio: 2026-05-04 18:04 UTC

Finale: Al-Ittihad 0–0 Al-Kholood

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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30 bookmaker (6 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Al-Ittihad (Casa)

Previsione 53.84%1.86quota equa
EV -3.09%
Vantaggio -1.72%
Kelly -3.86%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.34%53.87%53.73%58.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.511.641.621.8066.23%61.07%61.73%55.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Al-Kholood (Trasferta)

Previsione 21.89%4.57quota equa
EV +3.98%
Vantaggio +0.837%
Kelly +1.06%
Crescita +0.042%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.14%21.90%21.95%22.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.854.364.374.7525.97%22.96%22.91%21.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 24.27%4.12quota equa
EV -0.485%
Vantaggio -0.118%
Kelly -0.157%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.35%24.23%24.32%25.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.843.904.1028.57%26.03%25.64%24.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (30 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.21%EV -14.94%E -9.45%K -25.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV +3.98%E +0.837%K +1.06%G +0.042%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -0.485%E -0.118%K -0.157%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 18:00
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -15.47%E -9.86%K -27.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV +3.98%E +0.837%K +1.06%G +0.042%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -0.485%E -0.118%K -0.157%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-04 18:00
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -15.47%E -9.86%K -27.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV +3.98%E +0.837%K +1.06%G +0.042%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -0.485%E -0.118%K -0.157%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-04 18:00
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -15.47%E -9.86%K -27.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV +3.98%E +0.837%K +1.06%G +0.042%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -0.485%E -0.118%K -0.157%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-04 18:00
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -15.47%E -9.86%K -27.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV +3.98%E +0.837%K +1.06%G +0.042%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -0.485%E -0.118%K -0.157%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-04 18:00
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -15.47%E -9.86%K -27.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV +3.98%E +0.837%K +1.06%G +0.042%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -0.485%E -0.118%K -0.157%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-04 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.07%EV -16.01%E -10.26%K -28.59%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.28%EV +2.88%E +0.613%K +0.779%G +0.022%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -2.91%E -0.728%K -0.971%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-04 18:00
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 58.07%EV -16.01%E -10.26%K -28.59%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.28%EV +2.88%E +0.613%K +0.779%G +0.022%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -2.91%E -0.728%K -0.971%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-04 18:00
Virgin Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 58.14%EV -17.63%E -11.52%K -33.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV +0.693%E +0.151%K +0.192%G +0.001%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.52%EV -4.13%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-04 18:00
LiveScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 58.14%EV -17.63%E -11.52%K -33.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV +0.693%E +0.151%K +0.192%G +0.001%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.52%EV -4.13%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-04 18:00
PMU (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 58.29%EV -18.70%E -12.39%K -36.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.14%EV +0.693%E +0.151%K +0.192%G +0.001%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.57%EV -5.34%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-04 18:00
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -13.32%E -8.27%K -21.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -1.50%E -0.332%K -0.427%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -5.34%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-04 18:00
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 55.04%EV -7.40%E -4.30%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.18%EV -2.15%E -0.482%K -0.620%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.78%EV -3.40%E -0.854%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-04 17:59
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.87%EV -3.09%E -1.72%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.89%EV -3.03%E -0.684%K -0.883%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV -2.91%E -0.728%K -0.971%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-04 17:59
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.73%EV -12.78%E -7.89%K -20.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -3.68%E -0.837%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -7.77%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-04 18:00
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 53.97%EV -5.78%E -3.30%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -5.22%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -5.34%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-04 18:00
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.67%EV -11.17%E -6.77%K -17.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -5.87%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -2.91%E -0.728%K -0.971%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-04 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -5.78%E -3.30%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -8.06%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.34%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-04 18:00
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -6.86%E -3.97%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -8.06%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -7.77%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-04 17:59
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.47%E -4.99%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -8.06%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -8.98%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-04 17:59
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.01%EV -12.78%E -7.89%K -20.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -8.06%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -8.98%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-04 18:00
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.36%EV -8.47%E -4.99%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -10.25%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -10.19%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-04 18:00
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -8.47%E -4.99%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -12.44%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -15.05%E -4.30%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-04 17:59
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -8.47%E -4.99%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -12.44%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -15.05%E -4.30%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-04 18:00
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -8.47%E -4.99%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -12.44%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -15.05%E -4.30%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-04 17:59
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -8.47%E -4.99%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -12.44%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -15.05%E -4.30%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-04 17:59
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 53.91%EV -12.78%E -7.89%K -20.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -12.44%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.26%EV -12.62%E -3.51%K -4.85%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-04 17:50
Betclic (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.70%EV -9.55%E -5.69%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.70%EV -14.63%E -3.75%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.59%EV -12.62%E -3.51%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-04 18:00
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 53.46%EV -12.24%E -7.51%K -19.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.34%EV -14.63%E -3.75%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.20%EV -12.62%E -3.51%K -4.85%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-04 17:59
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.27%EV -12.78%E -7.89%K -20.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.42%EV -15.72%E -4.08%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.31%EV -13.83%E -3.90%K -5.43%G +0.000%15.9%2026-05-04 18:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.86%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%0.6%2026-05-04 18:00
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.39%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.83%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.78%0.9%2026-05-04 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.40%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.4%2026-05-04 18:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.40%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.4%2026-05-04 18:00
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 55.40%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%3.7%2026-05-04 18:00