La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Al-Ittihad v Al-Kholood
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Al-Ittihad (Local)
Predicción 53.84%1.86momio equitativo
EV -3.09%
Ventaja -1.72%
Kelly -3.86%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.34%53.87%53.73%58.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.511.641.621.8066.23%61.07%61.73%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Al-Kholood (Visitante)
Predicción 21.89%4.57momio equitativo
EV +3.98%
Ventaja +0.837%
Kelly +1.06%
Crecimiento +0.042%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.14%21.90%21.95%22.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.854.364.374.7525.97%22.96%22.91%21.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.27%4.12momio equitativo
EV -0.485%
Ventaja -0.118%
Kelly -0.157%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.35%24.23%24.32%25.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.843.904.1028.57%26.03%25.64%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (30 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.21%EV -14.94%E -9.45%K -25.75%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV +3.98%E +0.837%K +1.06%G +0.042% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -0.485%E -0.118%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-04 18:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -15.47%E -9.86%K -27.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV +3.98%E +0.837%K +1.06%G +0.042% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -0.485%E -0.118%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-04 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -15.47%E -9.86%K -27.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV +3.98%E +0.837%K +1.06%G +0.042% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -0.485%E -0.118%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-04 18:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -15.47%E -9.86%K -27.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV +3.98%E +0.837%K +1.06%G +0.042% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -0.485%E -0.118%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-04 18:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -15.47%E -9.86%K -27.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV +3.98%E +0.837%K +1.06%G +0.042% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -0.485%E -0.118%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-04 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -15.47%E -9.86%K -27.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV +3.98%E +0.837%K +1.06%G +0.042% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -0.485%E -0.118%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-04 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.07%EV -16.01%E -10.26%K -28.59%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.28%EV +2.88%E +0.613%K +0.779%G +0.022% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -2.91%E -0.728%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-04 18:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.07%EV -16.01%E -10.26%K -28.59%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.28%EV +2.88%E +0.613%K +0.779%G +0.022% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -2.91%E -0.728%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-04 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.14%EV -17.63%E -11.52%K -33.26%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV +0.693%E +0.151%K +0.192%G +0.001% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.52%EV -4.13%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-04 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.14%EV -17.63%E -11.52%K -33.26%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV +0.693%E +0.151%K +0.192%G +0.001% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.52%EV -4.13%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-04 18:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.29%EV -18.70%E -12.39%K -36.67%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.14%EV +0.693%E +0.151%K +0.192%G +0.001% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.57%EV -5.34%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-04 18:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -13.32%E -8.27%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -1.50%E -0.332%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -5.34%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-04 18:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.04%EV -7.40%E -4.30%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 4.47I 22.37%NM 21.18%EV -2.15%E -0.482%K -0.620%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.78%EV -3.40%E -0.854%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-04 17:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.87%EV -3.09%E -1.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.43I 22.57%NM 21.89%EV -3.03%E -0.684%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV -2.91%E -0.728%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-04 17:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.73%EV -12.78%E -7.89%K -20.62%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -3.68%E -0.837%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -7.77%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-04 18:00 |
| Coral | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.97%EV -5.78%E -3.30%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -5.22%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -5.34%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-04 18:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.67%EV -11.17%E -6.77%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -5.87%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -2.91%E -0.728%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-04 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -5.78%E -3.30%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -8.06%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.34%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-04 18:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -6.86%E -3.97%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -8.06%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -7.77%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-04 17:59 |
| betfred_uk | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.47%E -4.99%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -8.06%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -8.98%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-04 17:59 |
| Sky Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.01%EV -12.78%E -7.89%K -20.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -8.06%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -8.98%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-04 18:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.36%EV -8.47%E -4.99%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -10.25%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -10.19%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-04 18:00 |
| 888sport | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -8.47%E -4.99%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -12.44%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -15.05%E -4.30%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-04 17:59 |
| William Hill | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -8.47%E -4.99%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -12.44%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -15.05%E -4.30%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-04 18:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -8.47%E -4.99%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -12.44%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -15.05%E -4.30%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-04 17:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -8.47%E -4.99%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -12.44%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -15.05%E -4.30%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-04 17:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.91%EV -12.78%E -7.89%K -20.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -12.44%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.26%EV -12.62%E -3.51%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-05-04 17:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.70%EV -9.55%E -5.69%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.70%EV -14.63%E -3.75%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.59%EV -12.62%E -3.51%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-04 18:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.46%EV -12.24%E -7.51%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.34%EV -14.63%E -3.75%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.20%EV -12.62%E -3.51%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-04 17:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.27%EV -12.78%E -7.89%K -20.62%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.42%EV -15.72%E -4.08%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.31%EV -13.83%E -3.90%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-05-04 18:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.86% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25% | 0.6% | 2026-05-04 18:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.39% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.83% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.78% | 0.9% | 2026-05-04 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.40% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05% | 1.4% | 2026-05-04 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.40% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05% | 1.4% | 2026-05-04 18:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.40% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.51% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10% | 3.7% | 2026-05-04 18:00 |