L’École des cotesFrançais
Al-Ittihad v Al-Kholood
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Al-Ittihad (Local)
Prévision 53.84%1.86cote équitable
EV -3.09%
Avantage -1.72%
Kelly -3.86%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.34%53.87%53.73%58.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.511.641.621.8066.23%61.07%61.73%55.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Al-Kholood (Visiteur)
Prévision 21.89%4.57cote équitable
EV +3.98%
Avantage +0.837%
Kelly +1.06%
Croissance +0.042%
avec la cote maximale 4.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.14%21.90%21.95%22.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.854.364.374.7525.97%22.96%22.91%21.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 24.27%4.12cote équitable
EV -0.485%
Avantage -0.118%
Kelly -0.157%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.35%24.23%24.32%25.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.843.904.1028.57%26.03%25.64%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (30 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.21%EV -14.94%E -9.45%K -25.75%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV +3.98%E +0.837%K +1.06%G +0.042% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -0.485%E -0.118%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-04 18:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -15.47%E -9.86%K -27.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV +3.98%E +0.837%K +1.06%G +0.042% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -0.485%E -0.118%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-04 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -15.47%E -9.86%K -27.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV +3.98%E +0.837%K +1.06%G +0.042% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -0.485%E -0.118%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-04 18:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -15.47%E -9.86%K -27.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV +3.98%E +0.837%K +1.06%G +0.042% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -0.485%E -0.118%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-04 18:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -15.47%E -9.86%K -27.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV +3.98%E +0.837%K +1.06%G +0.042% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -0.485%E -0.118%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-04 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -15.47%E -9.86%K -27.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV +3.98%E +0.837%K +1.06%G +0.042% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -0.485%E -0.118%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-04 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.07%EV -16.01%E -10.26%K -28.59%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.28%EV +2.88%E +0.613%K +0.779%G +0.022% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -2.91%E -0.728%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-04 18:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.07%EV -16.01%E -10.26%K -28.59%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.28%EV +2.88%E +0.613%K +0.779%G +0.022% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -2.91%E -0.728%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-04 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.14%EV -17.63%E -11.52%K -33.26%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV +0.693%E +0.151%K +0.192%G +0.001% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.52%EV -4.13%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-04 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.14%EV -17.63%E -11.52%K -33.26%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV +0.693%E +0.151%K +0.192%G +0.001% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.52%EV -4.13%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-04 18:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.29%EV -18.70%E -12.39%K -36.67%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.14%EV +0.693%E +0.151%K +0.192%G +0.001% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.57%EV -5.34%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-04 18:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -13.32%E -8.27%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -1.50%E -0.332%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -5.34%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-04 18:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.04%EV -7.40%E -4.30%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 4.47I 22.37%NM 21.18%EV -2.15%E -0.482%K -0.620%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.78%EV -3.40%E -0.854%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-04 17:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.87%EV -3.09%E -1.72%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.43I 22.57%NM 21.89%EV -3.03%E -0.684%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV -2.91%E -0.728%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-04 17:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.73%EV -12.78%E -7.89%K -20.62%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -3.68%E -0.837%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -7.77%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-04 18:00 |
| Coral | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.97%EV -5.78%E -3.30%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -5.22%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -5.34%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-04 18:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.67%EV -11.17%E -6.77%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -5.87%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -2.91%E -0.728%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-04 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -5.78%E -3.30%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -8.06%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.34%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-04 18:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -6.86%E -3.97%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -8.06%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -7.77%E -2.04%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-04 17:59 |
| betfred_uk | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.47%E -4.99%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -8.06%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -8.98%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-04 17:59 |
| Sky Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.01%EV -12.78%E -7.89%K -20.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -8.06%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -8.98%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-04 18:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.36%EV -8.47%E -4.99%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -10.25%E -2.50%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -10.19%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-04 18:00 |
| 888sport | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -8.47%E -4.99%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -12.44%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -15.05%E -4.30%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-04 17:59 |
| William Hill | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -8.47%E -4.99%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -12.44%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -15.05%E -4.30%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-04 18:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -8.47%E -4.99%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -12.44%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -15.05%E -4.30%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-04 17:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -8.47%E -4.99%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -12.44%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -15.05%E -4.30%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-04 17:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.91%EV -12.78%E -7.89%K -20.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -12.44%E -3.11%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.26%EV -12.62%E -3.51%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-05-04 17:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.70%EV -9.55%E -5.69%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.70%EV -14.63%E -3.75%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.59%EV -12.62%E -3.51%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-04 18:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.46%EV -12.24%E -7.51%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.34%EV -14.63%E -3.75%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.20%EV -12.62%E -3.51%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-04 17:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.27%EV -12.78%E -7.89%K -20.62%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.42%EV -15.72%E -4.08%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.31%EV -13.83%E -3.90%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-05-04 18:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.86% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25% | 0.6% | 2026-05-04 18:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.39% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.83% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.78% | 0.9% | 2026-05-04 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.40% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05% | 1.4% | 2026-05-04 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.40% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05% | 1.4% | 2026-05-04 18:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.40% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.51% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10% | 3.7% | 2026-05-04 18:00 |