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Al-Ittihad v Al-Khaleej
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Al-Ittihad (Local)
Prediction 62.33%1.60fair odd
EV -3.39%
Edge -2.19%
Kelly -6.16%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.68%62.36%62.26%64.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.461.451.5571.43%68.66%68.97%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Al-Khaleej (Visit)
Prediction 17.00%5.88fair odd
EV +2.18%
Edge +0.362%
Kelly +0.435%
Growth +0.009%
assuming max odds 6.01
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.11%16.90%17.31%17.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.475.556.0120.00%18.27%18.02%16.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 20.67%4.84fair odd
EV -2.86%
Edge -0.608%
Kelly -0.772%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.45%20.74%20.43%21.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.334.304.7025.00%23.07%23.26%21.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Al-Ittihad (Local): 62.33%; Al-Khaleej (Visit): 17.00%; Draw: 20.67%. For Al-Khaleej (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.88. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.01, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.18%.
Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.86%EV -7.75%E -5.24%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 6.01I 16.64%NM 15.73%EV +2.18%E +0.362%K +0.435%G +0.009% | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.41%EV -4.30%E -0.930%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-27 18:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -9.62%E -6.64%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV +2.01%E +0.334%K +0.401%G +0.008% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -11.13%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-27 18:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -12.74%E -9.10%K -31.84%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV +2.01%E +0.334%K +0.401%G +0.008% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -6.99%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-27 18:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.51%EV -3.39%E -2.19%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.48%EV -0.033%E -0.006%K -0.007%G +0.000% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 21.02%EV -4.72%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-27 18:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -6.50%E -4.34%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -2.24%E -0.390%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -4.93%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-27 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -6.50%E -4.34%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -2.24%E -0.390%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -6.99%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-27 18:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.17%EV -7.75%E -5.24%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.43%EV -4.79%E -0.856%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -11.13%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-27 18:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.17%EV -7.75%E -5.24%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.43%EV -4.79%E -0.856%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -11.13%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-27 18:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.17%EV -7.75%E -5.24%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.43%EV -4.79%E -0.856%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -11.13%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-27 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.17%EV -7.75%E -5.24%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.43%EV -4.79%E -0.856%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -11.13%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-27 18:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.17%EV -7.75%E -5.24%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.43%EV -4.79%E -0.856%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -11.13%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-27 18:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.17%EV -7.75%E -5.24%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.43%EV -4.79%E -0.856%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -11.13%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-27 18:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.50%EV -9.62%E -6.64%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18%EV -4.79%E -0.856%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.32%EV -12.16%E -2.86%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-27 18:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.50%EV -9.62%E -6.64%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18%EV -4.79%E -0.856%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.32%EV -12.16%E -2.86%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-27 18:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -7.75%E -5.24%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -6.49%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -4.93%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -12.74%E -9.10%K -31.84%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -6.49%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -6.99%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-27 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.16%EV -10.87%E -7.60%K -25.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.16%EV -6.49%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -15.26%E -3.72%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-02-27 18:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.16%EV -10.87%E -7.60%K -25.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.16%EV -6.49%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -15.26%E -3.72%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-02-27 18:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -12.74%E -9.10%K -31.84%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -6.49%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -10.51%E -2.43%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-02-27 18:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.26%EV -9.00%E -6.16%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.31%EV -10.74%E -2.05%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.43%EV -8.03%E -1.80%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-27 18:38 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.91%EV -11.49%E -8.09%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.02%EV -10.74%E -2.05%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.07%EV -8.03%E -1.80%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-27 18:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.62%EV -9.00%E -6.16%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.93%EV -13.29%E -2.61%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.45%EV -2.86%E -0.608%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -10.24%E -7.11%K -23.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.99%E -3.00%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -6.99%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-02-27 18:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -10.24%E -7.11%K -23.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -14.99%E -3.00%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-02-27 18:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -10.24%E -7.11%K -23.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -14.99%E -3.00%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -17.33%E -4.33%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -10.24%E -7.11%K -23.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -14.99%E -3.00%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -17.33%E -4.33%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-02-27 18:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -10.24%E -7.11%K -23.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -14.99%E -3.00%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -17.33%E -4.33%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -10.24%E -7.11%K -23.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -14.99%E -3.00%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -17.33%E -4.33%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-02-27 18:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.61% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82% | 0.9% | 2026-02-27 18:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.06% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.89% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.05% | 1.8% | 2026-02-27 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.06% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.89% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.05% | 1.8% | 2026-02-27 18:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.17% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.27% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.55% | 2.3% | 2026-02-27 18:40 |