L’École des cotes

Al-Ittihad v Al-Khaleej

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-27 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

28 opérateurs (7 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Al-Ittihad (Local)

Prévision 62.33%1.60cote équitable
EV -3.39%
Avantage -2.19%
Kelly -6.16%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.68%62.36%62.26%64.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.461.451.5571.43%68.66%68.97%64.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Al-Khaleej (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.00%5.88cote équitable
EV +2.18%
Avantage +0.362%
Kelly +0.435%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 6.01

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.11%16.90%17.31%17.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.475.556.0120.00%18.27%18.02%16.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 20.67%4.84cote équitable
EV -2.86%
Avantage -0.608%
Kelly -0.772%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.45%20.74%20.43%21.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.334.304.7025.00%23.07%23.26%21.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (28 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.48I 67.57%NM 63.86%EV -7.75%E -5.24%K -16.15%G +0.000%6.01I 16.64%NM 15.73%EV +2.18%E +0.362%K +0.435%G +0.009%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.41%EV -4.30%E -0.930%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 18:49
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -9.62%E -6.64%K -21.38%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV +2.01%E +0.334%K +0.401%G +0.008%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -11.13%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 18:49
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -12.74%E -9.10%K -31.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV +2.01%E +0.334%K +0.401%G +0.008%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -6.99%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-27 18:54
1xBet1.55I 64.52%NM 62.51%EV -3.39%E -2.19%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.48%EV -0.033%E -0.006%K -0.007%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 21.02%EV -4.72%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-27 18:54
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -6.50%E -4.34%K -13.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -2.24%E -0.390%K -0.472%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -4.93%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -6.50%E -4.34%K -13.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -2.24%E -0.390%K -0.472%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -6.99%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-27 18:44
Unibet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.17%EV -7.75%E -5.24%K -16.15%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.43%EV -4.79%E -0.856%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -11.13%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-27 18:54
Grosvenor1.48I 67.57%NM 62.17%EV -7.75%E -5.24%K -16.15%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.43%EV -4.79%E -0.856%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -11.13%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-27 18:55
Unibet (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.17%EV -7.75%E -5.24%K -16.15%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.43%EV -4.79%E -0.856%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -11.13%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-27 18:55
Unibet (NL)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.17%EV -7.75%E -5.24%K -16.15%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.43%EV -4.79%E -0.856%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -11.13%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-27 18:54
ATG (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.17%EV -7.75%E -5.24%K -16.15%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.43%EV -4.79%E -0.856%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -11.13%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-27 18:54
Svenska Spel1.48I 67.57%NM 62.17%EV -7.75%E -5.24%K -16.15%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.43%EV -4.79%E -0.856%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -11.13%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-27 18:55
LeoVegas1.45I 68.97%NM 62.50%EV -9.62%E -6.64%K -21.38%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18%EV -4.79%E -0.856%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.32%EV -12.16%E -2.86%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-27 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.50%EV -9.62%E -6.64%K -21.38%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18%EV -4.79%E -0.856%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.32%EV -12.16%E -2.86%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-27 18:54
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -7.75%E -5.24%K -16.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -6.49%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -4.93%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-27 18:39
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -12.74%E -9.10%K -31.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -6.49%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -6.99%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-27 18:40
Virgin Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 62.16%EV -10.87%E -7.60%K -25.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.16%EV -6.49%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -15.26%E -3.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-27 18:54
LiveScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 62.16%EV -10.87%E -7.60%K -25.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.16%EV -6.49%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -15.26%E -3.72%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-27 18:54
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -12.74%E -9.10%K -31.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -6.49%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -10.51%E -2.43%K -3.15%G +0.000%12.7%2026-02-27 18:54
Betclic (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 62.26%EV -9.00%E -6.16%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.31%EV -10.74%E -2.05%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.43%EV -8.03%E -1.80%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-27 18:38
Unibet (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 62.91%EV -11.49%E -8.09%K -27.36%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.02%EV -10.74%E -2.05%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.07%EV -8.03%E -1.80%K -2.33%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-27 18:49
Winamax (DE)1.46I 68.49%NM 62.62%EV -9.00%E -6.16%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.93%EV -13.29%E -2.61%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.45%EV -2.86%E -0.608%K -0.772%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-27 18:39
Winamax (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -10.24%E -7.11%K -23.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.99%E -3.00%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -6.99%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000%11.7%2026-02-27 18:40
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -10.24%E -7.11%K -23.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -14.99%E -3.00%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000%13.3%2026-02-27 18:55
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -10.24%E -7.11%K -23.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -14.99%E -3.00%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -17.33%E -4.33%K -5.78%G +0.000%14.4%2026-02-27 18:39
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -10.24%E -7.11%K -23.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -14.99%E -3.00%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -17.33%E -4.33%K -5.78%G +0.000%14.4%2026-02-27 18:40
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -10.24%E -7.11%K -23.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -14.99%E -3.00%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -17.33%E -4.33%K -5.78%G +0.000%14.4%2026-02-27 18:39
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -10.24%E -7.11%K -23.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -14.99%E -3.00%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -17.33%E -4.33%K -5.78%G +0.000%14.4%2026-02-27 18:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.61%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82%0.9%2026-02-27 18:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.06%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.89%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.05%1.8%2026-02-27 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.06%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.89%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.05%1.8%2026-02-27 18:54
Smarkets1.50I 66.67%NM 65.17%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.27%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.55%2.3%2026-02-27 18:40