La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Al-Ittihad v Al-Khaleej
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Al-Ittihad (Local)
Predicción 62.33%1.60momio equitativo
EV -3.39%
Ventaja -2.19%
Kelly -6.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.68%62.36%62.26%64.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.461.451.5571.43%68.66%68.97%64.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Al-Khaleej (Visitante)
Predicción 17.00%5.88momio equitativo
EV +2.18%
Ventaja +0.362%
Kelly +0.435%
Crecimiento +0.009%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.01
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.11%16.90%17.31%17.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.475.556.0120.00%18.27%18.02%16.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 20.67%4.84momio equitativo
EV -2.86%
Ventaja -0.608%
Kelly -0.772%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.45%20.74%20.43%21.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.334.304.7025.00%23.07%23.26%21.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (28 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.86%EV -7.75%E -5.24%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 6.01I 16.64%NM 15.73%EV +2.18%E +0.362%K +0.435%G +0.009% | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.41%EV -4.30%E -0.930%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-27 18:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -9.62%E -6.64%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV +2.01%E +0.334%K +0.401%G +0.008% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -11.13%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-27 18:49 |
| SportsBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -12.74%E -9.10%K -31.84%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV +2.01%E +0.334%K +0.401%G +0.008% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -6.99%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-27 18:54 |
| 1xBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.51%EV -3.39%E -2.19%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.48%EV -0.033%E -0.006%K -0.007%G +0.000% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 21.02%EV -4.72%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-27 18:54 |
| Coral | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -6.50%E -4.34%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -2.24%E -0.390%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -4.93%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-27 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -6.50%E -4.34%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -2.24%E -0.390%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -6.99%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-27 18:44 |
| Unibet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.17%EV -7.75%E -5.24%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.43%EV -4.79%E -0.856%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -11.13%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-27 18:54 |
| Grosvenor | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.17%EV -7.75%E -5.24%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.43%EV -4.79%E -0.856%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -11.13%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-27 18:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.17%EV -7.75%E -5.24%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.43%EV -4.79%E -0.856%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -11.13%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-27 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.17%EV -7.75%E -5.24%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.43%EV -4.79%E -0.856%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -11.13%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-27 18:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.17%EV -7.75%E -5.24%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.43%EV -4.79%E -0.856%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -11.13%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-27 18:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.17%EV -7.75%E -5.24%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.43%EV -4.79%E -0.856%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -11.13%E -2.59%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-27 18:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.50%EV -9.62%E -6.64%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18%EV -4.79%E -0.856%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.32%EV -12.16%E -2.86%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-27 18:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.50%EV -9.62%E -6.64%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.18%EV -4.79%E -0.856%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.32%EV -12.16%E -2.86%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-27 18:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -7.75%E -5.24%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -6.49%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -4.93%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -12.74%E -9.10%K -31.84%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -6.49%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -6.99%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-27 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.16%EV -10.87%E -7.60%K -25.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.16%EV -6.49%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -15.26%E -3.72%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-02-27 18:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.16%EV -10.87%E -7.60%K -25.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.16%EV -6.49%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -15.26%E -3.72%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-02-27 18:54 |
| Sky Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -12.74%E -9.10%K -31.84%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -6.49%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -10.51%E -2.43%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-02-27 18:54 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.26%EV -9.00%E -6.16%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.31%EV -10.74%E -2.05%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.43%EV -8.03%E -1.80%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-27 18:38 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.91%EV -11.49%E -8.09%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.02%EV -10.74%E -2.05%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.07%EV -8.03%E -1.80%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-27 18:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.62%EV -9.00%E -6.16%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.93%EV -13.29%E -2.61%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.45%EV -2.86%E -0.608%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -10.24%E -7.11%K -23.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -14.99%E -3.00%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -6.99%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-02-27 18:40 |
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -10.24%E -7.11%K -23.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -14.99%E -3.00%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -13.19%E -3.14%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-02-27 18:55 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -10.24%E -7.11%K -23.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -14.99%E -3.00%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -17.33%E -4.33%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -10.24%E -7.11%K -23.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -14.99%E -3.00%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -17.33%E -4.33%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-02-27 18:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -10.24%E -7.11%K -23.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -14.99%E -3.00%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -17.33%E -4.33%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-02-27 18:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -10.24%E -7.11%K -23.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -14.99%E -3.00%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -17.33%E -4.33%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-02-27 18:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.61% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82% | 0.9% | 2026-02-27 18:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.06% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.89% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.05% | 1.8% | 2026-02-27 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.06% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.89% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.05% | 1.8% | 2026-02-27 18:54 |
| Smarkets | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.17% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.27% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.55% | 2.3% | 2026-02-27 18:40 |