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Al-Ittihad v Al-Hazem
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Al-Ittihad (Local)
Prediction 59.86%1.67fair odd
EV -6.02%
Edge -3.84%
Kelly -10.57%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.54%59.84%59.92%61.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.501.501.5769.93%66.54%66.67%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Al-Hazem (Visit)
Prediction 18.64%5.37fair odd
EV -1.60%
Edge -0.304%
Kelly -0.375%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.48%18.65%18.48%19.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.884.905.2822.22%20.50%20.41%18.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.51%4.65fair odd
EV -3.22%
Edge -0.716%
Kelly -0.920%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.41%21.51%21.60%22.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.184.254.5025.97%23.93%23.53%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Al-Ittihad (Local): 59.86%; Al-Hazem (Visit): 18.64%; Draw: 21.51%. For Al-Hazem (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.37. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.28, with an expected value of -1.60%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.18%EV -6.02%E -3.84%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -2.16%E -0.412%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -6.88%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-24 17:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.18%EV -6.02%E -3.84%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -2.16%E -0.412%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -6.88%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-24 17:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.58%EV -6.62%E -4.24%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 5.28I 18.94%NM 17.90%EV -1.60%E -0.304%K -0.375%G +0.000% | 4.39I 22.78%NM 21.53%EV -5.59%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-24 17:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.71%EV -7.22%E -4.66%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -6.82%E -1.36%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -8.60%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-24 17:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.07%EV -7.82%E -5.08%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -14.28%E -3.10%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -7.52%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-24 17:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.23%EV -9.61%E -6.37%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.37%EV -7.75%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.40%EV -8.60%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-24 17:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -10.21%E -6.81%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -6.82%E -1.36%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -3.22%E -0.716%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-24 17:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -10.21%E -6.81%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -2.16%E -0.412%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -7.52%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-24 17:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.42%EV -10.21%E -6.81%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -8.69%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -7.52%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-24 17:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.42%EV -10.21%E -6.81%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -8.69%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -7.52%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-24 17:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.42%EV -10.21%E -6.81%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -8.69%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -7.52%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-24 17:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.42%EV -10.21%E -6.81%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -8.69%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -7.52%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-24 17:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.42%EV -10.21%E -6.81%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -8.69%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -7.52%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-24 17:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.42%EV -10.21%E -6.81%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -8.69%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -7.52%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-24 17:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.21%E -6.81%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -6.82%E -1.36%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -9.67%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-24 17:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.21%E -6.81%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -14.28%E -3.10%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.83%EV -7.52%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-24 17:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -10.21%E -6.81%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -10.55%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.97%E -3.49%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-24 17:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -10.21%E -6.81%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -10.55%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -16.12%E -4.13%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-24 17:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -10.21%E -6.81%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -10.55%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -16.12%E -4.13%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-24 17:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -10.21%E -6.81%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -10.55%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -16.12%E -4.13%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-24 17:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -10.21%E -6.81%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -10.55%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -16.12%E -4.13%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-24 17:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.54%EV -10.21%E -6.81%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -16.14%E -3.59%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -13.97%E -3.49%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-24 17:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 58.80%EV -10.81%E -7.26%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.44%EV -11.48%E -2.42%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.76%EV -17.20%E -4.47%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-24 17:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.83%EV -12.01%E -8.17%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -6.82%E -1.36%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -9.67%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-24 17:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.26%EV -12.01%E -8.17%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.65%EV -11.48%E -2.42%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.09%EV -9.67%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-24 17:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.00%EV -12.61%E -8.64%K -27.41%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.64%EV -12.41%E -2.64%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.36%EV -11.82%E -2.88%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-24 17:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.00%EV -12.61%E -8.64%K -27.41%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.64%EV -12.41%E -2.64%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.36%EV -11.82%E -2.88%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-24 17:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 59.94%EV -14.40%E -10.07%K -33.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.63%EV -14.28%E -3.10%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.43%EV -13.97%E -3.49%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-08-24 17:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 64.03% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.99% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.99% | 0.1% | 2026-08-24 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.79% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67% | 0.8% | 2026-08-24 17:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.79% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67% | 0.8% | 2026-08-24 17:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.52% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.46% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.02% | 1.2% | 2026-08-24 17:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.98% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.18% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.84% | 2.1% | 2026-08-24 17:54 |