默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Al-Ittihad v Al-Hazem

开赛时间: 2026-08-24 18:00 UTC

最终结果: Al-Ittihad 3–2 Al-Hazem

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

28 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Al-Ittihad (主队)

预测 59.86%1.67公平赔率
EV -6.02%
优势 -3.84%
Kelly -10.57%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.57

博彩公司预测分布
58.54%59.84%59.92%61.22%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.431.501.501.5769.93%66.54%66.67%63.69%最小值均值中位数最大值

Al-Hazem (客队)

预测 18.64%5.37公平赔率
EV -1.60%
优势 -0.304%
Kelly -0.375%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 5.28

博彩公司预测分布
17.48%18.65%18.48%19.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.504.884.905.2822.22%20.50%20.41%18.94%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 21.51%4.65公平赔率
EV -3.22%
优势 -0.716%
Kelly -0.920%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.50

博彩公司预测分布
20.41%21.51%21.60%22.76%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.854.184.254.5025.97%23.93%23.53%22.22%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Al-Ittihad (主队):59.86%;Al-Hazem (客队):18.64%;平局:21.51%。 对于“Al-Hazem (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.37。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为5.28,期望值为-1.60%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (28 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.18%EV -6.02%E -3.84%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -2.16%E -0.412%K -0.509%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -6.88%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-24 17:35
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.18%EV -6.02%E -3.84%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -2.16%E -0.412%K -0.509%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -6.88%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-24 17:34
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.58%EV -6.62%E -4.24%K -11.82%G +0.000%5.28I 18.94%NM 17.90%EV -1.60%E -0.304%K -0.375%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.53%EV -5.59%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-24 17:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.71%EV -7.22%E -4.66%K -13.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -6.82%E -1.36%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -8.60%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-24 17:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.07%EV -7.82%E -5.08%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -14.28%E -3.10%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -7.52%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-24 17:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.23%EV -9.61%E -6.37%K -18.85%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.37%EV -7.75%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.40%EV -8.60%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-24 17:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -10.21%E -6.81%K -20.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -6.82%E -1.36%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -3.22%E -0.716%K -0.920%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-24 17:50
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -10.21%E -6.81%K -20.43%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -2.16%E -0.412%K -0.509%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -7.52%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-24 17:49
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.42%EV -10.21%E -6.81%K -20.43%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -8.69%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -7.52%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-24 17:24
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.42%EV -10.21%E -6.81%K -20.43%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -8.69%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -7.52%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-24 17:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.42%EV -10.21%E -6.81%K -20.43%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -8.69%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -7.52%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-24 17:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.42%EV -10.21%E -6.81%K -20.43%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -8.69%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -7.52%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-24 17:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.42%EV -10.21%E -6.81%K -20.43%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -8.69%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -7.52%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-24 17:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.42%EV -10.21%E -6.81%K -20.43%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -8.69%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -7.52%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-24 17:24
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.21%E -6.81%K -20.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -6.82%E -1.36%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -9.67%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-24 17:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.21%E -6.81%K -20.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -14.28%E -3.10%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.83%EV -7.52%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-24 17:50
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -10.21%E -6.81%K -20.43%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -10.55%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.97%E -3.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-24 17:50
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -10.21%E -6.81%K -20.43%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -10.55%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -16.12%E -4.13%K -5.56%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-24 17:39
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -10.21%E -6.81%K -20.43%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -10.55%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -16.12%E -4.13%K -5.56%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-24 17:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -10.21%E -6.81%K -20.43%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -10.55%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -16.12%E -4.13%K -5.56%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-24 17:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -10.21%E -6.81%K -20.43%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -10.55%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -16.12%E -4.13%K -5.56%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-24 17:35
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.54%EV -10.21%E -6.81%K -20.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -16.14%E -3.59%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -13.97%E -3.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-24 17:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 58.80%EV -10.81%E -7.26%K -22.06%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.44%EV -11.48%E -2.42%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.76%EV -17.20%E -4.47%K -6.04%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-24 17:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.83%EV -12.01%E -8.17%K -25.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -6.82%E -1.36%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -9.67%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-24 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.26%EV -12.01%E -8.17%K -25.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.65%EV -11.48%E -2.42%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.09%EV -9.67%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-24 17:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 60.00%EV -12.61%E -8.64%K -27.41%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.64%EV -12.41%E -2.64%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.36%EV -11.82%E -2.88%K -3.81%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-24 17:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 60.00%EV -12.61%E -8.64%K -27.41%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.64%EV -12.41%E -2.64%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.36%EV -11.82%E -2.88%K -3.81%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-24 17:14
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 59.94%EV -14.40%E -10.07%K -33.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.63%EV -14.28%E -3.10%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.43%EV -13.97%E -3.49%K -4.66%G +0.000%16.7%2026-08-24 17:24
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 64.03%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.99%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.99%0.1%2026-08-24 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.79%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%0.8%2026-08-24 17:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.79%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%0.8%2026-08-24 17:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.52%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.46%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.02%1.2%2026-08-24 17:54
Smarkets◎1.58I 63.29%NM 61.98%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.18%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.84%2.1%2026-08-24 17:54