Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.28
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Al-Ittihad (Local): 59.86%; Al-Hazem (Visitante): 18.64%; Empate: 21.51%. Para Al-Hazem (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.37. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 5.28, con un valor esperado de -1.60%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.18%EV -6.02%E -3.84%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -2.16%E -0.412%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -6.88%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-24 17:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.18%EV -6.02%E -3.84%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -2.16%E -0.412%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -6.88%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-24 17:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.58%EV -6.62%E -4.24%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 5.28I 18.94%NM 17.90%EV -1.60%E -0.304%K -0.375%G +0.000% | 4.39I 22.78%NM 21.53%EV -5.59%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-24 17:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.71%EV -7.22%E -4.66%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -6.82%E -1.36%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -8.60%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-24 17:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.07%EV -7.82%E -5.08%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -14.28%E -3.10%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -7.52%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-24 17:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.23%EV -9.61%E -6.37%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.37%EV -7.75%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.40%EV -8.60%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-24 17:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -10.21%E -6.81%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -6.82%E -1.36%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -3.22%E -0.716%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-24 17:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -10.21%E -6.81%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -2.16%E -0.412%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -7.52%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-24 17:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.42%EV -10.21%E -6.81%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -8.69%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -7.52%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-24 17:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.42%EV -10.21%E -6.81%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -8.69%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -7.52%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-24 17:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.42%EV -10.21%E -6.81%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -8.69%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -7.52%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-24 17:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.42%EV -10.21%E -6.81%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -8.69%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -7.52%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-24 17:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.42%EV -10.21%E -6.81%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -8.69%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -7.52%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-24 17:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.42%EV -10.21%E -6.81%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -8.69%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -7.52%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-24 17:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.21%E -6.81%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -6.82%E -1.36%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -9.67%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-24 17:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.21%E -6.81%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -14.28%E -3.10%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.83%EV -7.52%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-24 17:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -10.21%E -6.81%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -10.55%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.97%E -3.49%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-24 17:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -10.21%E -6.81%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -10.55%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -16.12%E -4.13%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-24 17:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -10.21%E -6.81%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -10.55%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -16.12%E -4.13%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-24 17:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -10.21%E -6.81%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -10.55%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -16.12%E -4.13%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-24 17:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -10.21%E -6.81%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -10.55%E -2.20%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -16.12%E -4.13%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-24 17:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.54%EV -10.21%E -6.81%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -16.14%E -3.59%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -13.97%E -3.49%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-24 17:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 58.80%EV -10.81%E -7.26%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.44%EV -11.48%E -2.42%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.76%EV -17.20%E -4.47%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-24 17:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.83%EV -12.01%E -8.17%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -6.82%E -1.36%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -9.67%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-24 17:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.26%EV -12.01%E -8.17%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.65%EV -11.48%E -2.42%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.09%EV -9.67%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-24 17:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.00%EV -12.61%E -8.64%K -27.41%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.64%EV -12.41%E -2.64%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.36%EV -11.82%E -2.88%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-24 17:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.00%EV -12.61%E -8.64%K -27.41%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.64%EV -12.41%E -2.64%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.36%EV -11.82%E -2.88%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-24 17:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 59.94%EV -14.40%E -10.07%K -33.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.63%EV -14.28%E -3.10%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.43%EV -13.97%E -3.49%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-08-24 17:24 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 64.03% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.99% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.99% | 0.1% | 2026-08-24 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.79% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67% | 0.8% | 2026-08-24 17:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.79% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67% | 0.8% | 2026-08-24 17:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.52% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.46% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.02% | 1.2% | 2026-08-24 17:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.98% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.18% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.84% | 2.1% | 2026-08-24 17:54 |