A Escola das Odds

Al-Hilal v Al-Taawoun

Início: 2026-04-04 18:04 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

29 casas de apostas (6 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Al-Hilal (Local)

Previsão 70.38%1.42odd justa
EV -3.58%
Vantagem -2.62%
Kelly -9.68%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.37

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
67.52%70.52%69.52%73.95%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.201.271.261.3783.33%78.55%79.37%72.99%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Al-Taawoun (Visitante)

Previsão 11.33%8.83odd justa
EV +13.31%
Vantagem +1.33%
Kelly +1.48%
Crescimento +0.197%

pressupondo odds máximas de 10.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
9.22%11.38%11.58%13.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
6.758.548.5010.0014.81%11.71%11.76%10.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 18.29%5.47odd justa
EV +5.91%
Vantagem +1.02%
Kelly +1.23%
Crescimento +0.073%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.79

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.15%18.10%18.90%19.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.505.145.205.7922.22%19.47%19.23%17.27%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (29 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (NL)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.72%EV -12.03%E -9.62%K -48.11%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV +13.31%E +1.33%K +1.48%G +0.197%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -1.22%E -0.227%K -0.278%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 17:54
Grosvenor1.25I 80.00%NM 73.72%EV -12.03%E -9.62%K -48.11%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV +13.31%E +1.33%K +1.48%G +0.197%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -1.22%E -0.227%K -0.278%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 17:54
Pinnacle1.28I 78.13%NM 73.95%EV -9.92%E -7.75%K -35.42%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.71%EV +10.48%E +1.07%K +1.20%G +0.125%5.79I 17.27%NM 16.35%EV +5.91%E +1.02%K +1.23%G +0.073%5.7%2026-04-04 17:59
1xBet1.35I 74.07%NM 71.61%EV -4.99%E -3.70%K -14.26%G +0.000%9.53I 10.49%NM 10.14%EV +7.98%E +0.838%K +0.936%G +0.075%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.24%EV -3.05%E -0.576%K -0.710%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 17:59
Unibet1.26I 79.37%NM 73.21%EV -11.32%E -8.99%K -43.56%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.71%EV +7.64%E +0.805%K +0.899%G +0.069%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -1.22%E -0.227%K -0.278%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 18:00
Unibet (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 73.21%EV -11.32%E -8.99%K -43.56%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.71%EV +7.64%E +0.805%K +0.899%G +0.069%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -1.22%E -0.227%K -0.278%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 18:01
ATG (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 73.21%EV -11.32%E -8.99%K -43.56%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.71%EV +7.64%E +0.805%K +0.899%G +0.069%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -1.22%E -0.227%K -0.278%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 18:00
Svenska Spel1.26I 79.37%NM 73.21%EV -11.32%E -8.99%K -43.56%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.71%EV +7.64%E +0.805%K +0.899%G +0.069%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -1.22%E -0.227%K -0.278%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 18:01
LeoVegas (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 73.29%EV -12.73%E -10.27%K -53.05%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.57%EV +7.64%E +0.805%K +0.899%G +0.069%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -3.05%E -0.576%K -0.710%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 18:01
LeoVegas1.24I 80.65%NM 73.29%EV -12.73%E -10.27%K -53.05%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.57%EV +7.64%E +0.805%K +0.899%G +0.069%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -3.05%E -0.576%K -0.710%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-04 17:54
Virgin Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 73.37%EV -14.14%E -11.59%K -64.27%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.42%EV +7.64%E +0.805%K +0.899%G +0.069%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.21%EV -4.88%E -0.939%K -1.16%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-04 18:01
LiveScore Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 73.53%EV -14.84%E -12.27%K -70.68%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV +7.64%E +0.805%K +0.899%G +0.069%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.11%EV -4.88%E -0.939%K -1.16%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-04 18:00
PMU (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 73.44%EV -15.55%E -12.96%K -77.74%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.28%EV +7.64%E +0.805%K +0.899%G +0.069%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.28%EV -6.71%E -1.32%K -1.64%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-04 17:54
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.63%EV -12.03%E -9.62%K -48.11%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV +1.98%E +0.220%K +0.247%G +0.005%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV +4.26%E +0.748%K +0.907%G +0.039%8.7%2026-04-04 18:01
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -12.03%E -9.62%K -48.11%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -3.69%E -0.434%K -0.492%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV +0.605%E +0.110%K +0.134%G +0.001%9.9%2026-04-04 18:01
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 72.07%EV -14.14%E -11.59%K -64.27%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.34%EV -3.69%E -0.434%K -0.492%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.59%EV -8.54%E -1.71%K -2.14%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-04 18:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 70.69%EV -14.14%E -11.59%K -64.27%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.15%EV -3.69%E -0.434%K -0.492%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.16%EV -17.69%E -3.93%K -5.05%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-04 17:51
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -12.03%E -9.62%K -48.11%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -9.35%E -1.17%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -8.54%E -1.71%K -2.14%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-04 18:00
Betclic (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 69.73%EV -10.62%E -8.36%K -39.34%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.43%EV -12.18%E -1.57%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.84%EV -14.03%E -2.98%K -3.79%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-04 18:01
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 69.11%EV -8.51%E -6.55%K -28.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -15.02%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -13.11%E -2.76%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-04 17:59
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.11%EV -8.51%E -6.55%K -28.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -15.02%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -13.11%E -2.76%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-04 17:59
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.11%EV -8.51%E -6.55%K -28.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -15.02%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -13.11%E -2.76%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-04 17:59
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 68.68%EV -8.51%E -6.55%K -28.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -15.02%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -15.86%E -3.45%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-04 18:00
Winamax (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 69.18%EV -10.62%E -8.36%K -39.34%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.72%EV -15.02%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.10%EV -15.86%E -3.45%K -4.40%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-04 18:01
Unibet (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 69.70%EV -9.21%E -7.14%K -31.77%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.32%EV -17.28%E -2.37%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -8.54%E -1.71%K -2.14%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-04 17:59
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.29%E -3.15%K -11.91%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -20.68%E -2.95%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -3.97%E -0.756%K -0.934%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 18:01
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.29%E -3.15%K -11.91%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -20.68%E -2.95%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -3.97%E -0.756%K -0.934%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 18:00
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.52%EV -3.58%E -2.62%K -9.68%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -20.68%E -2.95%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -12.20%E -2.54%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 18:00
Winamax (DE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.83%EV -6.40%E -4.81%K -19.39%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.56%EV -23.52%E -3.48%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.61%EV -4.88%E -0.939%K -1.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-04 17:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.56%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.44%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.8%2026-04-04 18:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.56%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.44%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.8%2026-04-04 18:01
Kalshi1.33I 75.19%NM 74.31%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.88%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.81%1.2%2026-04-04 18:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 74.70%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.39%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.90%1.4%2026-04-04 18:00
Smarkets1.31I 76.34%NM 73.40%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.02%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.58%4.0%2026-04-04 18:00