La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Al-Hilal v Al-Taawoun
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Al-Hilal (Local)
Predicción 70.38%1.42momio equitativo
EV -3.58%
Ventaja -2.62%
Kelly -9.68%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.37
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.52%70.52%69.52%73.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.201.271.261.3783.33%78.55%79.37%72.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Al-Taawoun (Visitante)
Predicción 11.33%8.83momio equitativo
EV +13.31%
Ventaja +1.33%
Kelly +1.48%
Crecimiento +0.197%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 10.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
9.22%11.38%11.58%13.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.758.548.5010.0014.81%11.71%11.76%10.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 18.29%5.47momio equitativo
EV +5.91%
Ventaja +1.02%
Kelly +1.23%
Crecimiento +0.073%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.79
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.15%18.10%18.90%19.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.145.205.7922.22%19.47%19.23%17.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (29 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.72%EV -12.03%E -9.62%K -48.11%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV +13.31%E +1.33%K +1.48%G +0.197% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -1.22%E -0.227%K -0.278%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 17:54 |
| Grosvenor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.72%EV -12.03%E -9.62%K -48.11%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV +13.31%E +1.33%K +1.48%G +0.197% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -1.22%E -0.227%K -0.278%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 17:54 |
| Pinnacle | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.95%EV -9.92%E -7.75%K -35.42%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.71%EV +10.48%E +1.07%K +1.20%G +0.125% | 5.79I 17.27%NM 16.35%EV +5.91%E +1.02%K +1.23%G +0.073% | 5.7% | 2026-04-04 17:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.61%EV -4.99%E -3.70%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 9.53I 10.49%NM 10.14%EV +7.98%E +0.838%K +0.936%G +0.075% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.24%EV -3.05%E -0.576%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-04 17:59 |
| Unibet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.21%EV -11.32%E -8.99%K -43.56%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.71%EV +7.64%E +0.805%K +0.899%G +0.069% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -1.22%E -0.227%K -0.278%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.21%EV -11.32%E -8.99%K -43.56%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.71%EV +7.64%E +0.805%K +0.899%G +0.069% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -1.22%E -0.227%K -0.278%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 18:01 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.21%EV -11.32%E -8.99%K -43.56%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.71%EV +7.64%E +0.805%K +0.899%G +0.069% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -1.22%E -0.227%K -0.278%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.21%EV -11.32%E -8.99%K -43.56%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.71%EV +7.64%E +0.805%K +0.899%G +0.069% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -1.22%E -0.227%K -0.278%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 18:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.29%EV -12.73%E -10.27%K -53.05%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.57%EV +7.64%E +0.805%K +0.899%G +0.069% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -3.05%E -0.576%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-04 18:01 |
| LeoVegas | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.29%EV -12.73%E -10.27%K -53.05%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.57%EV +7.64%E +0.805%K +0.899%G +0.069% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -3.05%E -0.576%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-04 17:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.37%EV -14.14%E -11.59%K -64.27%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.42%EV +7.64%E +0.805%K +0.899%G +0.069% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.21%EV -4.88%E -0.939%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-04 18:01 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.53%EV -14.84%E -12.27%K -70.68%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV +7.64%E +0.805%K +0.899%G +0.069% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.11%EV -4.88%E -0.939%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-04 18:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.44%EV -15.55%E -12.96%K -77.74%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.28%EV +7.64%E +0.805%K +0.899%G +0.069% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.28%EV -6.71%E -1.32%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-04 17:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.63%EV -12.03%E -9.62%K -48.11%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV +1.98%E +0.220%K +0.247%G +0.005% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV +4.26%E +0.748%K +0.907%G +0.039% | 8.7% | 2026-04-04 18:01 |
| SportsBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -12.03%E -9.62%K -48.11%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -3.69%E -0.434%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV +0.605%E +0.110%K +0.134%G +0.001% | 9.9% | 2026-04-04 18:01 |
| Paddy Power | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.07%EV -14.14%E -11.59%K -64.27%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.34%EV -3.69%E -0.434%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.59%EV -8.54%E -1.71%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-04 18:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 70.69%EV -14.14%E -11.59%K -64.27%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.15%EV -3.69%E -0.434%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.16%EV -17.69%E -3.93%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-04 17:51 |
| Sky Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -12.03%E -9.62%K -48.11%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -9.35%E -1.17%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -8.54%E -1.71%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-04 18:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 69.73%EV -10.62%E -8.36%K -39.34%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.43%EV -12.18%E -1.57%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.84%EV -14.03%E -2.98%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-04 18:01 |
| 888sport | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.11%EV -8.51%E -6.55%K -28.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -15.02%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -13.11%E -2.76%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-04 17:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.11%EV -8.51%E -6.55%K -28.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -15.02%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -13.11%E -2.76%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-04 17:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.11%EV -8.51%E -6.55%K -28.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -15.02%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -13.11%E -2.76%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-04 17:59 |
| William Hill | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.68%EV -8.51%E -6.55%K -28.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -15.02%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -15.86%E -3.45%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-04 18:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 69.18%EV -10.62%E -8.36%K -39.34%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.72%EV -15.02%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.10%EV -15.86%E -3.45%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-04 18:01 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.70%EV -9.21%E -7.14%K -31.77%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.32%EV -17.28%E -2.37%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -8.54%E -1.71%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-04 17:59 |
| Coral | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.29%E -3.15%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -20.68%E -2.95%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -3.97%E -0.756%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-04 18:01 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.29%E -3.15%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -20.68%E -2.95%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -3.97%E -0.756%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-04 18:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.52%EV -3.58%E -2.62%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -20.68%E -2.95%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -12.20%E -2.54%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-04 18:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.83%EV -6.40%E -4.81%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.56%EV -23.52%E -3.48%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.61%EV -4.88%E -0.939%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-04 17:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.56% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.44% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.8% | 2026-04-04 18:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.56% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.44% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.8% | 2026-04-04 18:01 |
| Kalshi | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.31% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.88% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.81% | 1.2% | 2026-04-04 18:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.70% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.39% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.90% | 1.4% | 2026-04-04 18:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.40% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.02% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.58% | 4.0% | 2026-04-04 18:00 |