L’École des cotesFrançais
Al-Hilal v Al-Taawoun
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Al-Hilal (Local)
Prévision 70.38%1.42cote équitable
EV -3.58%
Avantage -2.62%
Kelly -9.68%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.37
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
67.52%70.52%69.52%73.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.201.271.261.3783.33%78.55%79.37%72.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Al-Taawoun (Visiteur)
Prévision 11.33%8.83cote équitable
EV +13.31%
Avantage +1.33%
Kelly +1.48%
Croissance +0.197%
avec la cote maximale 10.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.22%11.38%11.58%13.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.758.548.5010.0014.81%11.71%11.76%10.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 18.29%5.47cote équitable
EV +5.91%
Avantage +1.02%
Kelly +1.23%
Croissance +0.073%
avec la cote maximale 5.79
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.15%18.10%18.90%19.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.145.205.7922.22%19.47%19.23%17.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (29 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.72%EV -12.03%E -9.62%K -48.11%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV +13.31%E +1.33%K +1.48%G +0.197% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -1.22%E -0.227%K -0.278%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 17:54 |
| Grosvenor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.72%EV -12.03%E -9.62%K -48.11%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV +13.31%E +1.33%K +1.48%G +0.197% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -1.22%E -0.227%K -0.278%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 17:54 |
| Pinnacle | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.95%EV -9.92%E -7.75%K -35.42%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.71%EV +10.48%E +1.07%K +1.20%G +0.125% | 5.79I 17.27%NM 16.35%EV +5.91%E +1.02%K +1.23%G +0.073% | 5.7% | 2026-04-04 17:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.61%EV -4.99%E -3.70%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 9.53I 10.49%NM 10.14%EV +7.98%E +0.838%K +0.936%G +0.075% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.24%EV -3.05%E -0.576%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-04 17:59 |
| Unibet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.21%EV -11.32%E -8.99%K -43.56%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.71%EV +7.64%E +0.805%K +0.899%G +0.069% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -1.22%E -0.227%K -0.278%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.21%EV -11.32%E -8.99%K -43.56%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.71%EV +7.64%E +0.805%K +0.899%G +0.069% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -1.22%E -0.227%K -0.278%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 18:01 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.21%EV -11.32%E -8.99%K -43.56%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.71%EV +7.64%E +0.805%K +0.899%G +0.069% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -1.22%E -0.227%K -0.278%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.21%EV -11.32%E -8.99%K -43.56%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.71%EV +7.64%E +0.805%K +0.899%G +0.069% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -1.22%E -0.227%K -0.278%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 18:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.29%EV -12.73%E -10.27%K -53.05%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.57%EV +7.64%E +0.805%K +0.899%G +0.069% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -3.05%E -0.576%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-04 18:01 |
| LeoVegas | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.29%EV -12.73%E -10.27%K -53.05%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.57%EV +7.64%E +0.805%K +0.899%G +0.069% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -3.05%E -0.576%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-04 17:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.37%EV -14.14%E -11.59%K -64.27%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.42%EV +7.64%E +0.805%K +0.899%G +0.069% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.21%EV -4.88%E -0.939%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-04 18:01 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.53%EV -14.84%E -12.27%K -70.68%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.36%EV +7.64%E +0.805%K +0.899%G +0.069% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.11%EV -4.88%E -0.939%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-04 18:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.44%EV -15.55%E -12.96%K -77.74%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.28%EV +7.64%E +0.805%K +0.899%G +0.069% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.28%EV -6.71%E -1.32%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-04 17:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.63%EV -12.03%E -9.62%K -48.11%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV +1.98%E +0.220%K +0.247%G +0.005% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV +4.26%E +0.748%K +0.907%G +0.039% | 8.7% | 2026-04-04 18:01 |
| SportsBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -12.03%E -9.62%K -48.11%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -3.69%E -0.434%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV +0.605%E +0.110%K +0.134%G +0.001% | 9.9% | 2026-04-04 18:01 |
| Paddy Power | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.07%EV -14.14%E -11.59%K -64.27%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.34%EV -3.69%E -0.434%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.59%EV -8.54%E -1.71%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-04 18:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 70.69%EV -14.14%E -11.59%K -64.27%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.15%EV -3.69%E -0.434%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.16%EV -17.69%E -3.93%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-04 17:51 |
| Sky Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -12.03%E -9.62%K -48.11%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -9.35%E -1.17%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -8.54%E -1.71%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-04 18:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 69.73%EV -10.62%E -8.36%K -39.34%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.43%EV -12.18%E -1.57%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.84%EV -14.03%E -2.98%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-04 18:01 |
| 888sport | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.11%EV -8.51%E -6.55%K -28.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -15.02%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -13.11%E -2.76%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-04 17:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.11%EV -8.51%E -6.55%K -28.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -15.02%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -13.11%E -2.76%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-04 17:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.11%EV -8.51%E -6.55%K -28.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -15.02%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -13.11%E -2.76%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-04 17:59 |
| William Hill | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.68%EV -8.51%E -6.55%K -28.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -15.02%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -15.86%E -3.45%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-04 18:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 69.18%EV -10.62%E -8.36%K -39.34%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.72%EV -15.02%E -2.00%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.10%EV -15.86%E -3.45%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-04 18:01 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.70%EV -9.21%E -7.14%K -31.77%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.32%EV -17.28%E -2.37%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -8.54%E -1.71%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-04 17:59 |
| Coral | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.29%E -3.15%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -20.68%E -2.95%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -3.97%E -0.756%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-04 18:01 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.29%E -3.15%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -20.68%E -2.95%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -3.97%E -0.756%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-04 18:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.52%EV -3.58%E -2.62%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -20.68%E -2.95%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -12.20%E -2.54%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-04 18:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.83%EV -6.40%E -4.81%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.56%EV -23.52%E -3.48%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.61%EV -4.88%E -0.939%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-04 17:59 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.56% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.44% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.8% | 2026-04-04 18:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.56% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.44% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.8% | 2026-04-04 18:01 |
| Kalshi | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.31% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.88% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.81% | 1.2% | 2026-04-04 18:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.70% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.39% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.90% | 1.4% | 2026-04-04 18:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.40% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.02% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.58% | 4.0% | 2026-04-04 18:00 |