A Escola das Odds

Al-Hilal v Al-Kholood

Início: 2026-04-08 18:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

30 casas de apostas (7 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Al-Hilal (Local)

Previsão 83.83%1.19odd justa
EV -4.43%
Vantagem -3.89%
Kelly -31.67%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.14

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
82.28%83.94%83.50%88.47%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.051.091.081.1495.24%92.05%92.17%87.72%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Al-Kholood (Visitante)

Previsão 6.10%16.40odd justa
EV +34.14%
Vantagem +1.55%
Kelly +1.63%
Crescimento +0.555%

pressupondo odds máximas de 22.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
4.26%6.12%6.10%7.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
12.5016.0516.0022.008.00%6.23%6.25%4.55%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 10.07%9.93odd justa
EV +29.93%
Vantagem +2.32%
Kelly +2.52%
Crescimento +0.753%

pressupondo odds máximas de 12.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
7.27%9.95%10.40%11.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
8.009.289.0012.9012.50%10.77%11.11%7.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (30 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet1.06I 94.34%NM 88.47%EV -11.14%E -10.51%K -185.66%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.26%EV +34.14%E +1.55%K +1.63%G +0.555%12.90I 7.75%NM 7.27%EV +29.93%E +2.32%K +2.52%G +0.753%6.6%2026-04-08 17:55
Pinnacle1.11I 90.09%NM 85.65%EV -6.95%E -6.26%K -63.17%G +0.000%15.61I 6.41%NM 6.09%EV -4.82%E -0.309%K -0.330%G +0.000%11.51I 8.69%NM 8.26%EV +15.93%E +1.38%K +1.52%G +0.242%5.2%2026-04-08 17:45
SportsBet1.07I 93.46%NM 85.56%EV -10.30%E -9.63%K -147.16%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.72%EV -2.44%E -0.153%K -0.163%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.72%EV +5.76%E +0.548%K +0.606%G +0.035%9.2%2026-04-08 17:29
Coral1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.43%E -3.89%K -31.67%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.39%EV -8.54%E -0.569%K -0.610%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +0.723%E +0.072%K +0.080%G +0.001%4.4%2026-04-08 17:45
888sport1.08I 92.59%NM 85.36%EV -9.46%E -8.76%K -118.29%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV +3.65%E +0.215%K +0.228%G +0.008%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV +0.723%E +0.072%K +0.080%G +0.001%8.5%2026-04-08 17:55
William Hill1.08I 92.59%NM 85.36%EV -9.46%E -8.76%K -118.29%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV +3.65%E +0.215%K +0.228%G +0.008%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV +0.723%E +0.072%K +0.080%G +0.001%8.5%2026-04-08 17:55
888sport (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 85.36%EV -9.46%E -8.76%K -118.29%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV +3.65%E +0.215%K +0.228%G +0.008%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV +0.723%E +0.072%K +0.080%G +0.001%8.5%2026-04-08 17:55
Mr Green (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 85.36%EV -9.46%E -8.76%K -118.29%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV +3.65%E +0.215%K +0.228%G +0.008%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV +0.723%E +0.072%K +0.080%G +0.001%8.5%2026-04-08 17:55
Paddy Power1.07I 93.46%NM 84.87%EV -10.30%E -9.63%K -147.16%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.05%EV -8.54%E -0.569%K -0.610%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV +0.723%E +0.072%K +0.080%G +0.001%10.1%2026-04-08 17:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.61%EV -4.43%E -3.89%K -31.67%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.35%EV -8.54%E -0.569%K -0.610%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.03%EV -4.31%E -0.454%K -0.507%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 17:45
Tipico (DE)1.08I 92.59%NM 85.20%EV -9.46%E -8.76%K -118.29%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.11%EV +9.75%E +0.542%K +0.574%G +0.056%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.69%EV -4.31%E -0.454%K -0.507%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-08 17:49
Grosvenor1.09I 91.74%NM 84.37%EV -8.62%E -7.91%K -95.83%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.41%EV +3.65%E +0.215%K +0.228%G +0.008%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV -9.35%E -1.04%K -1.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-08 17:55
Unibet (SE)1.09I 91.74%NM 84.37%EV -8.62%E -7.91%K -95.83%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.41%EV +3.65%E +0.215%K +0.228%G +0.008%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV -9.35%E -1.04%K -1.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-08 17:55
ATG (SE)1.09I 91.74%NM 84.37%EV -8.62%E -7.91%K -95.83%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.41%EV +3.65%E +0.215%K +0.228%G +0.008%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV -9.35%E -1.04%K -1.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-08 17:55
Unibet (NL)1.09I 91.74%NM 84.37%EV -8.62%E -7.91%K -95.83%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.41%EV +3.65%E +0.215%K +0.228%G +0.008%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV -9.35%E -1.04%K -1.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-08 17:55
Svenska Spel1.09I 91.74%NM 84.37%EV -8.62%E -7.91%K -95.83%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.41%EV +3.65%E +0.215%K +0.228%G +0.008%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV -9.35%E -1.04%K -1.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-08 17:55
Unibet1.09I 91.74%NM 84.09%EV -8.62%E -7.91%K -95.83%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.73%EV -2.44%E -0.153%K -0.163%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.18%EV -9.35%E -1.04%K -1.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-08 17:14
Winamax (DE)1.10I 90.91%NM 82.86%EV -7.79%E -7.08%K -77.87%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV -20.73%E -1.59%K -1.73%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.13%EV -9.35%E -1.04%K -1.17%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-08 17:15
Sky Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 83.25%EV -10.30%E -9.63%K -147.16%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.85%EV -20.73%E -1.59%K -1.73%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.90%EV -9.35%E -1.04%K -1.17%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-08 17:30
Betclic (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 83.35%EV -8.62%E -7.91%K -95.83%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.27%EV -11.59%E -0.799%K -0.858%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.38%EV -11.87%E -1.36%K -1.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-08 17:35
Unibet (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.21%EV -6.11%E -5.46%K -50.92%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.82%EV -2.44%E -0.153%K -0.163%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.96%EV -14.39%E -1.69%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-08 17:20
LeoVegas1.08I 92.59%NM 83.99%EV -9.46%E -8.76%K -118.29%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.34%EV +3.65%E +0.215%K +0.228%G +0.008%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.67%EV -14.39%E -1.69%K -1.92%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-08 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 83.99%EV -9.46%E -8.76%K -118.29%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.34%EV +3.65%E +0.215%K +0.228%G +0.008%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.67%EV -14.39%E -1.69%K -1.92%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-08 17:55
BoyleSports1.09I 91.74%NM 82.50%EV -8.62%E -7.91%K -95.83%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.92%EV -20.73%E -1.59%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.58%EV -14.39%E -1.69%K -1.92%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-08 17:49
Winamax (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 82.28%EV -8.62%E -7.91%K -95.83%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.17%EV -23.78%E -1.90%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.55%EV -14.39%E -1.69%K -1.92%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-08 17:19
LiveScore Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 83.97%EV -11.14%E -10.51%K -185.66%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.56%EV -2.44%E -0.153%K -0.163%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.47%EV -14.39%E -1.69%K -1.92%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-08 17:35
Virgin Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 83.97%EV -11.14%E -10.51%K -185.66%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.56%EV -2.44%E -0.153%K -0.163%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.47%EV -14.39%E -1.69%K -1.92%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-08 17:35
Unibet (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 83.06%EV -8.62%E -7.91%K -95.83%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.04%EV -8.54%E -0.569%K -0.610%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 10.91%EV -16.40%E -1.98%K -2.25%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-08 17:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 83.44%EV -9.46%E -8.76%K -118.29%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.30%EV +3.65%E +0.215%K +0.228%G +0.008%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.26%EV -19.42%E -2.43%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-08 17:50
PMU (FR)1.05I 95.24%NM 83.55%EV -11.98%E -11.41%K -239.56%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.48%EV -2.44%E -0.153%K -0.163%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.97%EV -19.42%E -2.43%K -2.77%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-08 17:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 88.06%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.98%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.96%0.5%2026-04-08 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.13I 88.50%NM 88.06%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.98%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.96%0.5%2026-04-08 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 88.06%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.98%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.96%0.5%2026-04-08 17:55
Smarkets1.12I 89.29%NM 88.00%23.98I 4.17%NM 4.11%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.89%1.5%2026-04-08 17:45
Kalshi1.12I 89.29%NM 86.44%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.84%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.71%3.3%2026-04-08 17:20