L’École des cotesFrançais
Al-Hilal v Al-Kholood
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Al-Hilal (Local)
Prévision 83.83%1.19cote équitable
EV -4.43%
Avantage -3.89%
Kelly -31.67%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.14
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
82.28%83.94%83.50%88.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.051.091.081.1495.24%92.05%92.17%87.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Al-Kholood (Visiteur)
Prévision 6.10%16.40cote équitable
EV +34.14%
Avantage +1.55%
Kelly +1.63%
Croissance +0.555%
avec la cote maximale 22.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
4.26%6.12%6.10%7.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
12.5016.0516.0022.008.00%6.23%6.25%4.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 10.07%9.93cote équitable
EV +29.93%
Avantage +2.32%
Kelly +2.52%
Croissance +0.753%
avec la cote maximale 12.90
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.27%9.95%10.40%11.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
8.009.289.0012.9012.50%10.77%11.11%7.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (30 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.47%EV -11.14%E -10.51%K -185.66%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.26%EV +34.14%E +1.55%K +1.63%G +0.555% | 12.90I 7.75%NM 7.27%EV +29.93%E +2.32%K +2.52%G +0.753% | 6.6% | 2026-04-08 17:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.65%EV -6.95%E -6.26%K -63.17%G +0.000% | 15.61I 6.41%NM 6.09%EV -4.82%E -0.309%K -0.330%G +0.000% | 11.51I 8.69%NM 8.26%EV +15.93%E +1.38%K +1.52%G +0.242% | 5.2% | 2026-04-08 17:45 |
| SportsBet | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.56%EV -10.30%E -9.63%K -147.16%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.72%EV -2.44%E -0.153%K -0.163%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.72%EV +5.76%E +0.548%K +0.606%G +0.035% | 9.2% | 2026-04-08 17:29 |
| Coral | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.43%E -3.89%K -31.67%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.39%EV -8.54%E -0.569%K -0.610%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +0.723%E +0.072%K +0.080%G +0.001% | 4.4% | 2026-04-08 17:45 |
| 888sport | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.36%EV -9.46%E -8.76%K -118.29%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV +3.65%E +0.215%K +0.228%G +0.008% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV +0.723%E +0.072%K +0.080%G +0.001% | 8.5% | 2026-04-08 17:55 |
| William Hill | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.36%EV -9.46%E -8.76%K -118.29%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV +3.65%E +0.215%K +0.228%G +0.008% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV +0.723%E +0.072%K +0.080%G +0.001% | 8.5% | 2026-04-08 17:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.36%EV -9.46%E -8.76%K -118.29%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV +3.65%E +0.215%K +0.228%G +0.008% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV +0.723%E +0.072%K +0.080%G +0.001% | 8.5% | 2026-04-08 17:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.36%EV -9.46%E -8.76%K -118.29%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV +3.65%E +0.215%K +0.228%G +0.008% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV +0.723%E +0.072%K +0.080%G +0.001% | 8.5% | 2026-04-08 17:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.07I 93.46%NM 84.87%EV -10.30%E -9.63%K -147.16%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.05%EV -8.54%E -0.569%K -0.610%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV +0.723%E +0.072%K +0.080%G +0.001% | 10.1% | 2026-04-08 17:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.61%EV -4.43%E -3.89%K -31.67%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.35%EV -8.54%E -0.569%K -0.610%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.03%EV -4.31%E -0.454%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-08 17:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.20%EV -9.46%E -8.76%K -118.29%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.11%EV +9.75%E +0.542%K +0.574%G +0.056% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.69%EV -4.31%E -0.454%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-08 17:49 |
| Grosvenor | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.37%EV -8.62%E -7.91%K -95.83%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.41%EV +3.65%E +0.215%K +0.228%G +0.008% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV -9.35%E -1.04%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-08 17:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.37%EV -8.62%E -7.91%K -95.83%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.41%EV +3.65%E +0.215%K +0.228%G +0.008% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV -9.35%E -1.04%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-08 17:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.37%EV -8.62%E -7.91%K -95.83%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.41%EV +3.65%E +0.215%K +0.228%G +0.008% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV -9.35%E -1.04%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-08 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.37%EV -8.62%E -7.91%K -95.83%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.41%EV +3.65%E +0.215%K +0.228%G +0.008% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV -9.35%E -1.04%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-08 17:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.37%EV -8.62%E -7.91%K -95.83%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.41%EV +3.65%E +0.215%K +0.228%G +0.008% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV -9.35%E -1.04%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-08 17:55 |
| Unibet | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.09%EV -8.62%E -7.91%K -95.83%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.73%EV -2.44%E -0.153%K -0.163%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.18%EV -9.35%E -1.04%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-08 17:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 82.86%EV -7.79%E -7.08%K -77.87%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV -20.73%E -1.59%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.13%EV -9.35%E -1.04%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-08 17:15 |
| Sky Bet | 1.07I 93.46%NM 83.25%EV -10.30%E -9.63%K -147.16%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.85%EV -20.73%E -1.59%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.90%EV -9.35%E -1.04%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-08 17:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 83.35%EV -8.62%E -7.91%K -95.83%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.27%EV -11.59%E -0.799%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.38%EV -11.87%E -1.36%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-08 17:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.21%EV -6.11%E -5.46%K -50.92%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.82%EV -2.44%E -0.153%K -0.163%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.96%EV -14.39%E -1.69%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-08 17:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.08I 92.59%NM 83.99%EV -9.46%E -8.76%K -118.29%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.34%EV +3.65%E +0.215%K +0.228%G +0.008% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.67%EV -14.39%E -1.69%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-08 17:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 83.99%EV -9.46%E -8.76%K -118.29%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.34%EV +3.65%E +0.215%K +0.228%G +0.008% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.67%EV -14.39%E -1.69%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-08 17:55 |
| BoyleSports | 1.09I 91.74%NM 82.50%EV -8.62%E -7.91%K -95.83%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.92%EV -20.73%E -1.59%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.58%EV -14.39%E -1.69%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-08 17:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 82.28%EV -8.62%E -7.91%K -95.83%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.17%EV -23.78%E -1.90%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.55%EV -14.39%E -1.69%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-08 17:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 83.97%EV -11.14%E -10.51%K -185.66%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.56%EV -2.44%E -0.153%K -0.163%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.47%EV -14.39%E -1.69%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-08 17:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 83.97%EV -11.14%E -10.51%K -185.66%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.56%EV -2.44%E -0.153%K -0.163%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.47%EV -14.39%E -1.69%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-08 17:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 83.06%EV -8.62%E -7.91%K -95.83%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.04%EV -8.54%E -0.569%K -0.610%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 10.91%EV -16.40%E -1.98%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-08 17:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 83.44%EV -9.46%E -8.76%K -118.29%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.30%EV +3.65%E +0.215%K +0.228%G +0.008% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.26%EV -19.42%E -2.43%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-08 17:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 83.55%EV -11.98%E -11.41%K -239.56%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.48%EV -2.44%E -0.153%K -0.163%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.97%EV -19.42%E -2.43%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-08 17:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 88.06% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.98% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.96% | 0.5% | 2026-04-08 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 88.06% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.98% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.96% | 0.5% | 2026-04-08 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 88.06% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.98% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.96% | 0.5% | 2026-04-08 17:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.00% | 23.98I 4.17%NM 4.11% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.89% | 1.5% | 2026-04-08 17:45 |
| Kalshi | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.44% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.84% | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.71% | 3.3% | 2026-04-08 17:20 |