La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Al-Hilal v Al-Kholood
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Al-Hilal (Local)
Predicción 83.83%1.19momio equitativo
EV -4.43%
Ventaja -3.89%
Kelly -31.67%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.14
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
82.28%83.94%83.50%88.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.051.091.081.1495.24%92.05%92.17%87.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Al-Kholood (Visitante)
Predicción 6.10%16.40momio equitativo
EV +34.14%
Ventaja +1.55%
Kelly +1.63%
Crecimiento +0.555%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 22.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
4.26%6.12%6.10%7.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
12.5016.0516.0022.008.00%6.23%6.25%4.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 10.07%9.93momio equitativo
EV +29.93%
Ventaja +2.32%
Kelly +2.52%
Crecimiento +0.753%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 12.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
7.27%9.95%10.40%11.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
8.009.289.0012.9012.50%10.77%11.11%7.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (30 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.47%EV -11.14%E -10.51%K -185.66%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.26%EV +34.14%E +1.55%K +1.63%G +0.555% | 12.90I 7.75%NM 7.27%EV +29.93%E +2.32%K +2.52%G +0.753% | 6.6% | 2026-04-08 17:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.65%EV -6.95%E -6.26%K -63.17%G +0.000% | 15.61I 6.41%NM 6.09%EV -4.82%E -0.309%K -0.330%G +0.000% | 11.51I 8.69%NM 8.26%EV +15.93%E +1.38%K +1.52%G +0.242% | 5.2% | 2026-04-08 17:45 |
| SportsBet | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.56%EV -10.30%E -9.63%K -147.16%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.72%EV -2.44%E -0.153%K -0.163%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.72%EV +5.76%E +0.548%K +0.606%G +0.035% | 9.2% | 2026-04-08 17:29 |
| Coral | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.43%E -3.89%K -31.67%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.39%EV -8.54%E -0.569%K -0.610%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +0.723%E +0.072%K +0.080%G +0.001% | 4.4% | 2026-04-08 17:45 |
| 888sport | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.36%EV -9.46%E -8.76%K -118.29%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV +3.65%E +0.215%K +0.228%G +0.008% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV +0.723%E +0.072%K +0.080%G +0.001% | 8.5% | 2026-04-08 17:55 |
| William Hill | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.36%EV -9.46%E -8.76%K -118.29%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV +3.65%E +0.215%K +0.228%G +0.008% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV +0.723%E +0.072%K +0.080%G +0.001% | 8.5% | 2026-04-08 17:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.36%EV -9.46%E -8.76%K -118.29%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV +3.65%E +0.215%K +0.228%G +0.008% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV +0.723%E +0.072%K +0.080%G +0.001% | 8.5% | 2026-04-08 17:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.36%EV -9.46%E -8.76%K -118.29%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV +3.65%E +0.215%K +0.228%G +0.008% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.22%EV +0.723%E +0.072%K +0.080%G +0.001% | 8.5% | 2026-04-08 17:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.07I 93.46%NM 84.87%EV -10.30%E -9.63%K -147.16%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.05%EV -8.54%E -0.569%K -0.610%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV +0.723%E +0.072%K +0.080%G +0.001% | 10.1% | 2026-04-08 17:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.61%EV -4.43%E -3.89%K -31.67%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.35%EV -8.54%E -0.569%K -0.610%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.03%EV -4.31%E -0.454%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-08 17:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.20%EV -9.46%E -8.76%K -118.29%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.11%EV +9.75%E +0.542%K +0.574%G +0.056% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.69%EV -4.31%E -0.454%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-08 17:49 |
| Grosvenor | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.37%EV -8.62%E -7.91%K -95.83%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.41%EV +3.65%E +0.215%K +0.228%G +0.008% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV -9.35%E -1.04%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-08 17:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.37%EV -8.62%E -7.91%K -95.83%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.41%EV +3.65%E +0.215%K +0.228%G +0.008% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV -9.35%E -1.04%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-08 17:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.37%EV -8.62%E -7.91%K -95.83%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.41%EV +3.65%E +0.215%K +0.228%G +0.008% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV -9.35%E -1.04%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-08 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.37%EV -8.62%E -7.91%K -95.83%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.41%EV +3.65%E +0.215%K +0.228%G +0.008% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV -9.35%E -1.04%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-08 17:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.37%EV -8.62%E -7.91%K -95.83%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.41%EV +3.65%E +0.215%K +0.228%G +0.008% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV -9.35%E -1.04%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-08 17:55 |
| Unibet | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.09%EV -8.62%E -7.91%K -95.83%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.73%EV -2.44%E -0.153%K -0.163%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.18%EV -9.35%E -1.04%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-08 17:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 82.86%EV -7.79%E -7.08%K -77.87%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV -20.73%E -1.59%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.13%EV -9.35%E -1.04%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-08 17:15 |
| Sky Bet | 1.07I 93.46%NM 83.25%EV -10.30%E -9.63%K -147.16%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.85%EV -20.73%E -1.59%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.90%EV -9.35%E -1.04%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-08 17:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 83.35%EV -8.62%E -7.91%K -95.83%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.27%EV -11.59%E -0.799%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.38%EV -11.87%E -1.36%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-08 17:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.21%EV -6.11%E -5.46%K -50.92%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.82%EV -2.44%E -0.153%K -0.163%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.96%EV -14.39%E -1.69%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-08 17:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.08I 92.59%NM 83.99%EV -9.46%E -8.76%K -118.29%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.34%EV +3.65%E +0.215%K +0.228%G +0.008% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.67%EV -14.39%E -1.69%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-08 17:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 83.99%EV -9.46%E -8.76%K -118.29%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.34%EV +3.65%E +0.215%K +0.228%G +0.008% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.67%EV -14.39%E -1.69%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-08 17:55 |
| BoyleSports | 1.09I 91.74%NM 82.50%EV -8.62%E -7.91%K -95.83%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.92%EV -20.73%E -1.59%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.58%EV -14.39%E -1.69%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-08 17:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 82.28%EV -8.62%E -7.91%K -95.83%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.17%EV -23.78%E -1.90%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.55%EV -14.39%E -1.69%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-08 17:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 83.97%EV -11.14%E -10.51%K -185.66%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.56%EV -2.44%E -0.153%K -0.163%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.47%EV -14.39%E -1.69%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-08 17:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 83.97%EV -11.14%E -10.51%K -185.66%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.56%EV -2.44%E -0.153%K -0.163%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.47%EV -14.39%E -1.69%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-08 17:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 83.06%EV -8.62%E -7.91%K -95.83%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.04%EV -8.54%E -0.569%K -0.610%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 10.91%EV -16.40%E -1.98%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-08 17:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 83.44%EV -9.46%E -8.76%K -118.29%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.30%EV +3.65%E +0.215%K +0.228%G +0.008% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.26%EV -19.42%E -2.43%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-08 17:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 83.55%EV -11.98%E -11.41%K -239.56%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.48%EV -2.44%E -0.153%K -0.163%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.97%EV -19.42%E -2.43%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-08 17:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 88.06% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.98% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.96% | 0.5% | 2026-04-08 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 88.06% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.98% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.96% | 0.5% | 2026-04-08 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 88.06% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.98% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.96% | 0.5% | 2026-04-08 17:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.00% | 23.98I 4.17%NM 4.11% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.89% | 1.5% | 2026-04-08 17:45 |
| Kalshi | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.44% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.84% | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.71% | 3.3% | 2026-04-08 17:20 |