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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Al-Hilal v Al-Ahli

开赛时间： 2026-09-01 18:00 UTC

最终结果： Al-Hilal 3–0 Al-Ahli

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

30 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Al-Hilal (主队)

预测 59.67%1.68公平赔率
EV -4.52%
优势 -2.83%
Kelly -7.54%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.60

博彩公司预测分布
58.54%59.81%59.24%62.45%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.421.511.501.6070.42%66.37%66.67%62.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

Al-Ahli (客队)

预测 18.41%5.43公平赔率
EV +3.65%
优势 +0.649%
Kelly +0.789%
增长率 +0.029%

假设最高赔率为 5.63

博彩公司预测分布
16.69%18.34%18.66%19.87%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.505.015.005.6322.22%19.97%20.00%17.76%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 21.92%4.56公平赔率
EV +0.816%
优势 +0.177%
Kelly +0.227%
增长率 +0.002%

假设最高赔率为 4.60

博彩公司预测分布
20.77%21.85%22.10%22.79%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.904.144.104.6025.64%24.18%24.39%21.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Al-Hilal (主队)：59.67%；Al-Ahli (客队)：18.41%；平局：21.92%。 对于“Al-Ahli (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.43。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为5.63，对应+3.65%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (30 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.04%EV -7.51%E -4.84%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.63I 17.76%NM 16.80%EV +3.65%E +0.649%K +0.789%G +0.029%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.16%EV -6.42%E -1.50%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 17:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.45%EV -12.28%E -8.35%K -26.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.69%EV +1.26%E +0.229%K +0.280%G +0.004%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -3.57%E -0.811%K -1.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-01 17:40
1xBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.89%EV -5.12%E -3.22%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.36I 18.66%NM 18.06%EV -1.32%E -0.246%K -0.303%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.05%EV +0.816%E +0.177%K +0.227%G +0.002%3.3%2026-09-01 17:55
SportsBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.87%EV -9.89%E -6.55%K -19.40%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -3.34%E -0.637%K -0.787%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -6.86%E -1.61%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-01 17:45
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.22%EV -10.49%E -6.99%K -20.98%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -3.34%E -0.637%K -0.787%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-01 17:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.45%EV -10.49%E -6.99%K -20.98%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.44%EV -4.27%E -0.820%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -10.14%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-01 17:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.45%EV -10.49%E -6.99%K -20.98%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.44%EV -4.27%E -0.820%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -10.14%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-01 17:55
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.45%EV -10.49%E -6.99%K -20.98%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.44%EV -4.27%E -0.820%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -10.14%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-01 17:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.45%EV -10.49%E -6.99%K -20.98%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.44%EV -4.27%E -0.820%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -10.14%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-01 17:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.45%EV -10.49%E -6.99%K -20.98%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.44%EV -4.27%E -0.820%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -10.14%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-01 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.40%EV -12.28%E -8.35%K -26.13%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.41%EV -6.11%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-01 17:55
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.40%EV -4.52%E -2.83%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -7.95%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -3.57%E -0.811%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 17:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -6.31%E -4.02%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -7.95%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -3.57%E -0.811%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 17:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.17%EV -8.10%E -5.26%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -7.95%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -4.66%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 17:59
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -8.70%E -5.69%K -16.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -7.95%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -7.95%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-01 17:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.49%E -6.99%K -20.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -7.95%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -7.95%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-01 17:45
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.49%E -6.99%K -20.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -7.95%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -7.95%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-01 17:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 60.51%EV -13.47%E -9.29%K -29.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.55%EV -7.95%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.94%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-01 17:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 60.51%EV -13.47%E -9.29%K -29.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.55%EV -7.95%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.94%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-01 17:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.80%EV -7.51%E -4.84%K -13.65%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.41%EV -8.87%E -1.79%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.79%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-01 17:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 60.46%EV -15.26%E -10.75%K -36.34%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.52%EV -9.79%E -2.00%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.01%EV -14.53%E -3.72%K -5.01%G +0.000%16.5%2026-09-01 17:55
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -10.49%E -6.99%K -20.98%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -11.63%E -2.42%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-01 17:15
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -10.49%E -6.99%K -20.98%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -11.63%E -2.42%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -14.53%E -3.72%K -5.01%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-01 17:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.87%EV -14.07%E -9.77%K -31.98%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.26%EV -11.63%E -2.42%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -7.95%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-01 17:59
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.81%EV -10.49%E -6.99%K -20.98%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.57%EV -12.55%E -2.64%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.62%EV -14.53%E -3.72%K -5.01%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-01 17:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.81%EV -10.49%E -6.99%K -20.98%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.57%EV -12.55%E -2.64%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.62%EV -14.53%E -3.72%K -5.01%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-01 17:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.81%EV -10.49%E -6.99%K -20.98%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.57%EV -12.55%E -2.64%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.62%EV -14.53%E -3.72%K -5.01%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-01 17:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.35%EV -8.10%E -5.26%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -15.31%E -3.33%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.77%EV -3.57%E -0.811%K -1.05%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-01 17:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.83%EV -9.30%E -6.12%K -17.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -17.15%E -3.81%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -7.95%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-01 17:45
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.54%EV -10.49%E -6.99%K -20.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -17.15%E -3.81%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-01 17:59
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.29%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59%0.7%2026-09-01 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.29%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59%0.7%2026-09-01 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.44%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.06%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.1%2026-09-01 17:45
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.40%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.82%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.78%1.1%2026-09-01 17:35
Smarkets◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.26%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.30%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.44%1.4%2026-09-01 17:50