Langue:Français
Al-Hilal v Al-Ahli
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Al-Hilal (Local)
Prévision 59.67%1.68cote équitable
EV -4.52%
Avantage -2.83%
Kelly -7.54%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.54%59.81%59.24%62.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.421.511.501.6070.42%66.37%66.67%62.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Al-Ahli (Visiteur)
Prévision 18.41%5.43cote équitable
EV +3.65%
Avantage +0.649%
Kelly +0.789%
Croissance +0.029%
avec la cote maximale 5.63
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.69%18.34%18.66%19.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.505.015.005.6322.22%19.97%20.00%17.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 21.92%4.56cote équitable
EV +0.816%
Avantage +0.177%
Kelly +0.227%
Croissance +0.002%
avec la cote maximale 4.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.77%21.85%22.10%22.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.904.144.104.6025.64%24.18%24.39%21.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Al-Hilal (Local) : 59.67% ; Al-Ahli (Visiteur) : 18.41% ; Match nul : 21.92%. Pour Al-Ahli (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.43. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.63, soit une espérance positive de +3.65%.
Cotes des opérateurs (30 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.04%EV -7.51%E -4.84%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 5.63I 17.76%NM 16.80%EV +3.65%E +0.649%K +0.789%G +0.029% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.16%EV -6.42%E -1.50%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-01 17:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.45%EV -12.28%E -8.35%K -26.13%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.69%EV +1.26%E +0.229%K +0.280%G +0.004% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -3.57%E -0.811%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-01 17:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.89%EV -5.12%E -3.22%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.36I 18.66%NM 18.06%EV -1.32%E -0.246%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.05%EV +0.816%E +0.177%K +0.227%G +0.002% | 3.3% | 2026-09-01 17:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.87%EV -9.89%E -6.55%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -3.34%E -0.637%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -6.86%E -1.61%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-01 17:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.22%EV -10.49%E -6.99%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -3.34%E -0.637%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-01 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.45%EV -10.49%E -6.99%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.44%EV -4.27%E -0.820%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -10.14%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-01 17:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.45%EV -10.49%E -6.99%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.44%EV -4.27%E -0.820%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -10.14%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-01 17:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.45%EV -10.49%E -6.99%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.44%EV -4.27%E -0.820%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -10.14%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-01 17:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.45%EV -10.49%E -6.99%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.44%EV -4.27%E -0.820%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -10.14%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-01 17:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.45%EV -10.49%E -6.99%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.44%EV -4.27%E -0.820%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -10.14%E -2.47%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-01 17:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.40%EV -12.28%E -8.35%K -26.13%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.41%EV -6.11%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-01 17:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.40%EV -4.52%E -2.83%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -7.95%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -3.57%E -0.811%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 17:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.85%EV -6.31%E -4.02%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -7.95%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -3.57%E -0.811%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 17:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.17%EV -8.10%E -5.26%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -7.95%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -4.66%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-01 17:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -8.70%E -5.69%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -7.95%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -7.95%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-01 17:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.49%E -6.99%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -7.95%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -7.95%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-01 17:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.49%E -6.99%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -7.95%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -7.95%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-01 17:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.51%EV -13.47%E -9.29%K -29.94%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.55%EV -7.95%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.94%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-01 17:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.51%EV -13.47%E -9.29%K -29.94%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.55%EV -7.95%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.94%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-01 17:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.80%EV -7.51%E -4.84%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.41%EV -8.87%E -1.79%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.79%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-01 17:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 60.46%EV -15.26%E -10.75%K -36.34%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.52%EV -9.79%E -2.00%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.01%EV -14.53%E -3.72%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-09-01 17:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -10.49%E -6.99%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -11.63%E -2.42%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-01 17:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -10.49%E -6.99%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -11.63%E -2.42%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -14.53%E -3.72%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-01 17:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.87%EV -14.07%E -9.77%K -31.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.26%EV -11.63%E -2.42%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -7.95%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-01 17:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.81%EV -10.49%E -6.99%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.57%EV -12.55%E -2.64%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.62%EV -14.53%E -3.72%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-01 17:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.81%EV -10.49%E -6.99%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.57%EV -12.55%E -2.64%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.62%EV -14.53%E -3.72%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-01 17:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.81%EV -10.49%E -6.99%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.57%EV -12.55%E -2.64%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.62%EV -14.53%E -3.72%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-01 17:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.35%EV -8.10%E -5.26%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -15.31%E -3.33%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.77%EV -3.57%E -0.811%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-01 17:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.83%EV -9.30%E -6.12%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -17.15%E -3.81%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -7.95%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-01 17:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.54%EV -10.49%E -6.99%K -20.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -17.15%E -3.81%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -12.33%E -3.08%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-01 17:59 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.29% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59% | 0.7% | 2026-09-01 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.29% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59% | 0.7% | 2026-09-01 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.44% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.06% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.1% | 2026-09-01 17:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.40% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.82% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.78% | 1.1% | 2026-09-01 17:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.26% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.30% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.44% | 1.4% | 2026-09-01 17:50 |