Language:English
Al-Hazem v Al-Taawoun
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Al-Hazem (Local)
Prediction 17.24%5.80fair odd
EV -3.10%
Edge -0.552%
Kelly -0.671%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.32%17.40%16.80%19.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.095.005.6222.22%19.63%20.00%17.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Al-Taawoun (Visit)
Prediction 62.27%1.61fair odd
EV +0.247%
Edge +0.154%
Kelly +0.406%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 1.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.14%62.13%62.37%63.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.481.471.6170.42%67.54%68.03%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 20.49%4.88fair odd
EV +2.46%
Edge +0.493%
Kelly +0.616%
Growth +0.015%
assuming max odds 5.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.37%20.47%20.84%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.374.335.0027.78%22.87%23.09%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Al-Hazem (Local): 17.24%; Al-Taawoun (Visit): 62.27%; Draw: 20.49%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.88. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.46%.
Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.02I 19.92%NM 19.30%EV -13.45%E -2.68%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.32%EV -1.62%E -1.03%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.38%EV +2.46%E +0.493%K +0.616%G +0.015% | 3.2% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -5.17%E -0.940%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.08%EV -6.60%E -4.40%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -1.63%E -0.340%K -0.430%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -12.07%E -2.37%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.78%EV -9.72%E -6.70%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.37%EV -3.68%E -0.784%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.62I 17.79%NM 16.82%EV -3.10%E -0.552%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.02%EV -6.60%E -4.40%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.16%EV -3.89%E -0.829%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -5.17%E -0.940%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.96%EV -11.58%E -8.16%K -27.58%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.53%EV -4.71%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-21 17:47 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.79%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.62%EV -10.96%E -7.66%K -25.49%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -5.73%E -1.25%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.96%EV -8.62%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.29%EV -11.58%E -8.16%K -27.58%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.75%EV -6.76%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.00%EV -6.90%E -1.28%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.39%EV +0.247%E +0.154%K +0.406%G +0.001% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.61%EV -7.78%E -1.73%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -13.79%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -6.60%E -4.40%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -7.78%E -1.73%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -5.17%E -0.940%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -10.34%E -7.18%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -7.78%E -1.73%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -13.79%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.70%EV -8.47%E -5.76%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -7.78%E -1.73%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.79%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -10.34%E -7.18%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -7.78%E -1.73%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.28%EV -17.24%E -3.59%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.69%EV -3.49%E -2.25%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -9.83%E -2.23%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.69%EV -5.17%E -0.940%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.45%EV -8.47%E -5.76%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -9.83%E -2.23%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -13.79%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -10.34%E -7.18%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -11.27%E -2.60%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -13.79%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -10.34%E -7.18%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -11.27%E -2.60%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -13.79%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -10.34%E -7.18%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -11.27%E -2.60%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.38%EV -17.24%E -3.59%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.25%EV -10.34%E -7.18%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.37%EV -11.27%E -2.60%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV -12.07%E -2.37%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.40%EV -5.36%E -3.52%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -12.91%E -3.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.93%EV -12.07%E -2.37%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.56%EV -5.98%E -3.96%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.52%EV -12.91%E -3.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.93%EV -12.07%E -2.37%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.56%EV -5.98%E -3.96%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.52%EV -12.91%E -3.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.93%EV -12.07%E -2.37%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.56%EV -5.98%E -3.96%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.52%EV -12.91%E -3.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.93%EV -12.07%E -2.37%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.56%EV -5.98%E -3.96%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.52%EV -12.91%E -3.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -13.79%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -6.60%E -4.40%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -13.93%E -3.32%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -13.79%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -6.60%E -4.40%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -13.93%E -3.32%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -5.17%E -0.940%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -10.34%E -7.18%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -13.93%E -3.32%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.26%EV -17.24%E -3.59%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.87%EV -10.34%E -7.18%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -13.93%E -3.32%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -17.24%E -3.59%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.63%EV -2.87%E -1.84%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -15.98%E -3.90%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.09%EV -15.52%E -3.17%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.29%EV -8.47%E -5.76%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -15.98%E -3.90%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.94%EV -15.52%E -3.17%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.62%EV -9.72%E -6.70%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.44%EV -15.98%E -3.90%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.60%EV -22.41%E -4.98%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 58.14%EV -10.34%E -7.18%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.26%EV -26.23%E -7.28%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 19.4% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.21% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25% | 0.8% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.85% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.33% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81% | 0.9% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.43% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 1.1% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.43% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 1.1% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.13% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.27% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.60% | 3.3% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |