La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Al-Hazem v Al-Taawoun
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Al-Hazem (Local)
Predicción 17.24%5.80momio equitativo
EV -3.10%
Ventaja -0.552%
Kelly -0.671%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.62
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.32%17.40%16.80%19.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.095.005.6222.22%19.63%20.00%17.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Al-Taawoun (Visitante)
Predicción 62.27%1.61momio equitativo
EV +0.247%
Ventaja +0.154%
Kelly +0.406%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.61
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.14%62.13%62.37%63.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.421.481.471.6170.42%67.54%68.03%62.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 20.49%4.88momio equitativo
EV +2.46%
Ventaja +0.493%
Kelly +0.616%
Crecimiento +0.015%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.37%20.47%20.84%23.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.374.335.0027.78%22.87%23.09%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (31 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 5.02I 19.92%NM 19.30%EV -13.45%E -2.68%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.32%EV -1.62%E -1.03%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.38%EV +2.46%E +0.493%K +0.616%G +0.015% | 3.2% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Coral | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -5.17%E -0.940%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.08%EV -6.60%E -4.40%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -1.63%E -0.340%K -0.430%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -12.07%E -2.37%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.78%EV -9.72%E -6.70%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.37%EV -3.68%E -0.784%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Pinnacle | 5.62I 17.79%NM 16.82%EV -3.10%E -0.552%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.02%EV -6.60%E -4.40%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.16%EV -3.89%E -0.829%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -5.17%E -0.940%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.96%EV -11.58%E -8.16%K -27.58%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.53%EV -4.71%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-21 17:47 |
| Winamax (FR) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.79%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.62%EV -10.96%E -7.66%K -25.49%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -5.73%E -1.25%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.96%EV -8.62%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.29%EV -11.58%E -8.16%K -27.58%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.75%EV -6.76%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.00%EV -6.90%E -1.28%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.39%EV +0.247%E +0.154%K +0.406%G +0.001% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.61%EV -7.78%E -1.73%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -13.79%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -6.60%E -4.40%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -7.78%E -1.73%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| betfred_uk | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -5.17%E -0.940%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -10.34%E -7.18%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -7.78%E -1.73%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| SportsBet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -13.79%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.70%EV -8.47%E -5.76%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -7.78%E -1.73%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Paddy Power | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.79%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -10.34%E -7.18%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -7.78%E -1.73%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.28%EV -17.24%E -3.59%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.69%EV -3.49%E -2.25%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -9.83%E -2.23%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.69%EV -5.17%E -0.940%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.45%EV -8.47%E -5.76%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -9.83%E -2.23%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| William Hill | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -13.79%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -10.34%E -7.18%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -11.27%E -2.60%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -13.79%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -10.34%E -7.18%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -11.27%E -2.60%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -13.79%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -10.34%E -7.18%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -11.27%E -2.60%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Sky Bet | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.38%EV -17.24%E -3.59%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.25%EV -10.34%E -7.18%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.37%EV -11.27%E -2.60%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Unibet | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV -12.07%E -2.37%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.40%EV -5.36%E -3.52%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -12.91%E -3.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.93%EV -12.07%E -2.37%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.56%EV -5.98%E -3.96%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.52%EV -12.91%E -3.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| Grosvenor | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.93%EV -12.07%E -2.37%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.56%EV -5.98%E -3.96%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.52%EV -12.91%E -3.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.93%EV -12.07%E -2.37%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.56%EV -5.98%E -3.96%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.52%EV -12.91%E -3.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.93%EV -12.07%E -2.37%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.56%EV -5.98%E -3.96%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.52%EV -12.91%E -3.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| LeoVegas | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -13.79%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -6.60%E -4.40%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -13.93%E -3.32%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -13.79%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -6.60%E -4.40%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -13.93%E -3.32%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| BoyleSports | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -5.17%E -0.940%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -10.34%E -7.18%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -13.93%E -3.32%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| 888sport | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.26%EV -17.24%E -3.59%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.87%EV -10.34%E -7.18%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -13.93%E -3.32%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -17.24%E -3.59%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.63%EV -2.87%E -1.84%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -15.98%E -3.90%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.09%EV -15.52%E -3.17%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.29%EV -8.47%E -5.76%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -15.98%E -3.90%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.94%EV -15.52%E -3.17%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.62%EV -9.72%E -6.70%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.44%EV -15.98%E -3.90%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.60%EV -22.41%E -4.98%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 58.14%EV -10.34%E -7.18%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.26%EV -26.23%E -7.28%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 19.4% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.21% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25% | 0.8% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Kalshi | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.85% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.33% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81% | 0.9% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.43% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 1.1% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.43% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 1.1% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Smarkets | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.13% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.27% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.60% | 3.3% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |