L’École des cotesFrançais
Al-Hazem v Al-Taawoun
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Al-Hazem (Local)
Prévision 17.24%5.80cote équitable
EV -3.10%
Avantage -0.552%
Kelly -0.671%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 5.62
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.32%17.40%16.80%19.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.095.005.6222.22%19.63%20.00%17.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Al-Taawoun (Visiteur)
Prévision 62.27%1.61cote équitable
EV +0.247%
Avantage +0.154%
Kelly +0.406%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 1.61
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.14%62.13%62.37%63.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.421.481.471.6170.42%67.54%68.03%62.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 20.49%4.88cote équitable
EV +2.46%
Avantage +0.493%
Kelly +0.616%
Croissance +0.015%
avec la cote maximale 5.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.37%20.47%20.84%23.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.374.335.0027.78%22.87%23.09%20.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (31 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 5.02I 19.92%NM 19.30%EV -13.45%E -2.68%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.32%EV -1.62%E -1.03%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.38%EV +2.46%E +0.493%K +0.616%G +0.015% | 3.2% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Coral | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -5.17%E -0.940%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.08%EV -6.60%E -4.40%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -1.63%E -0.340%K -0.430%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -12.07%E -2.37%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.78%EV -9.72%E -6.70%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.37%EV -3.68%E -0.784%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Pinnacle | 5.62I 17.79%NM 16.82%EV -3.10%E -0.552%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.02%EV -6.60%E -4.40%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.16%EV -3.89%E -0.829%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -5.17%E -0.940%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.96%EV -11.58%E -8.16%K -27.58%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.53%EV -4.71%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-21 17:47 |
| Winamax (FR) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.79%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.62%EV -10.96%E -7.66%K -25.49%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -5.73%E -1.25%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.96%EV -8.62%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.29%EV -11.58%E -8.16%K -27.58%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.75%EV -6.76%E -1.49%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.00%EV -6.90%E -1.28%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.39%EV +0.247%E +0.154%K +0.406%G +0.001% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.61%EV -7.78%E -1.73%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -13.79%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -6.60%E -4.40%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -7.78%E -1.73%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| betfred_uk | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -5.17%E -0.940%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -10.34%E -7.18%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -7.78%E -1.73%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| SportsBet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -13.79%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.70%EV -8.47%E -5.76%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -7.78%E -1.73%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Paddy Power | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.79%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -10.34%E -7.18%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -7.78%E -1.73%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.28%EV -17.24%E -3.59%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.69%EV -3.49%E -2.25%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -9.83%E -2.23%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.69%EV -5.17%E -0.940%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.45%EV -8.47%E -5.76%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -9.83%E -2.23%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| William Hill | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -13.79%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -10.34%E -7.18%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -11.27%E -2.60%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -13.79%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -10.34%E -7.18%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -11.27%E -2.60%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -13.79%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -10.34%E -7.18%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -11.27%E -2.60%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Sky Bet | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.38%EV -17.24%E -3.59%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.25%EV -10.34%E -7.18%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.37%EV -11.27%E -2.60%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Unibet | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV -12.07%E -2.37%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.40%EV -5.36%E -3.52%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -12.91%E -3.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.93%EV -12.07%E -2.37%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.56%EV -5.98%E -3.96%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.52%EV -12.91%E -3.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| Grosvenor | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.93%EV -12.07%E -2.37%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.56%EV -5.98%E -3.96%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.52%EV -12.91%E -3.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.93%EV -12.07%E -2.37%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.56%EV -5.98%E -3.96%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.52%EV -12.91%E -3.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.93%EV -12.07%E -2.37%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.56%EV -5.98%E -3.96%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.52%EV -12.91%E -3.04%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| LeoVegas | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -13.79%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -6.60%E -4.40%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -13.93%E -3.32%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -13.79%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -6.60%E -4.40%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -13.93%E -3.32%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| BoyleSports | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -5.17%E -0.940%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -10.34%E -7.18%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -13.93%E -3.32%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| 888sport | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.26%EV -17.24%E -3.59%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.87%EV -10.34%E -7.18%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -13.93%E -3.32%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -17.24%E -3.59%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.63%EV -2.87%E -1.84%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -15.98%E -3.90%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.09%EV -15.52%E -3.17%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.29%EV -8.47%E -5.76%K -18.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -15.98%E -3.90%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.94%EV -15.52%E -3.17%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.62%EV -9.72%E -6.70%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.44%EV -15.98%E -3.90%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-21 17:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.60%EV -22.41%E -4.98%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 58.14%EV -10.34%E -7.18%K -23.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.26%EV -26.23%E -7.28%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 19.4% | 2026-05-21 17:59 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.21% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.25% | 0.8% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Kalshi | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.85% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.33% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81% | 0.9% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.43% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 1.1% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.43% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 1.1% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |
| Smarkets | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.13% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.27% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.60% | 3.3% | 2026-05-21 18:00 |