Language:English
Al-Hazem v Al-Shabab
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Al-Hazem (Local)
Prediction 23.26%4.30fair odd
EV +0.714%
Edge +0.165%
Kelly +0.215%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 4.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.36%22.98%23.19%24.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.853.754.3328.57%25.94%26.67%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Al-Shabab (Visit)
Prediction 53.11%1.88fair odd
EV -4.40%
Edge -2.45%
Kelly -5.51%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.64%53.30%53.02%55.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.721.731.8060.98%57.99%57.80%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.63%4.23fair odd
EV -2.64%
Edge -0.640%
Kelly -0.845%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.96%23.72%23.79%24.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.713.654.1228.99%26.96%27.40%24.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Al-Hazem (Local): 23.26%; Al-Shabab (Visit): 53.11%; Draw: 23.63%. For Al-Hazem (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.30. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.33, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.714%.
Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV +0.714%E +0.165%K +0.215%G +0.002% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.97%EV -7.06%E -4.03%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -7.84%E -2.01%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 16:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV +0.017%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -10.78%E -6.42%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -7.84%E -2.01%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-30 16:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV +0.017%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.67%EV -12.37%E -7.50%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -5.47%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-30 16:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -2.31%E -0.550%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.91%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.84%E -2.01%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 15:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -2.31%E -0.550%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -11.31%E -6.77%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -10.20%E -2.68%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-30 16:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -2.31%E -0.550%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -11.31%E -6.77%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -10.20%E -2.68%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-30 16:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.12%EV -4.64%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.87%EV -6.53%E -3.71%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.01%EV -2.64%E -0.640%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 16:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -6.96%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.06%E -4.03%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -7.84%E -2.01%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-30 16:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -6.96%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.12%E -4.69%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -11.38%E -3.03%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-30 16:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -6.96%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -11.31%E -6.77%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -11.38%E -3.03%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-30 16:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -9.29%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.64%EV -8.65%E -5.03%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -11.38%E -3.03%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-30 16:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.79%EV -10.45%E -2.71%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 53.50%EV -12.90%E -7.87%K -20.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.71%EV -12.56%E -3.40%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-30 16:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -11.61%E -3.06%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.44%EV -9.72%E -5.72%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -12.56%E -3.40%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-30 16:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -12.78%E -3.41%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -8.12%E -4.69%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -14.93%E -4.15%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-30 15:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -12.78%E -3.41%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -8.12%E -4.69%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -14.93%E -4.15%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-30 15:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -12.78%E -3.41%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -8.12%E -4.69%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -14.93%E -4.15%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-30 15:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -12.78%E -3.41%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -8.12%E -4.69%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -14.93%E -4.15%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-30 15:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -13.94%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.79%EV -5.47%E -3.07%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -13.74%E -3.77%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-30 16:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -13.94%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.79%EV -5.47%E -3.07%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -13.74%E -3.77%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-30 16:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -13.94%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.79%EV -5.47%E -3.07%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -13.74%E -3.77%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-30 16:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -13.94%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.79%EV -5.47%E -3.07%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -13.74%E -3.77%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-30 16:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -13.94%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.79%EV -5.47%E -3.07%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -13.74%E -3.77%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-30 16:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -13.94%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.79%EV -5.47%E -3.07%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -13.74%E -3.77%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-30 16:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.41%EV -13.94%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 52.19%EV -11.84%E -7.13%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.40%EV -16.11%E -4.54%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-08-30 16:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -16.27%E -4.52%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -7.06%E -4.03%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -14.93%E -4.15%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-30 16:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.68%EV -17.43%E -4.91%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.64%EV -8.12%E -4.69%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.68%EV -16.11%E -4.54%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-30 16:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.68%EV -17.43%E -4.91%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.64%EV -8.12%E -4.69%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.68%EV -16.11%E -4.54%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-30 16:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.58%EV -18.59%E -5.31%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.52%EV -11.31%E -6.77%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%EV -14.93%E -4.15%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-08-30 16:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.40%EV -18.59%E -5.31%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 50.84%EV -10.78%E -6.42%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 24.76%EV -18.47%E -5.35%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-08-30 16:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.48% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51% | 1.3% | 2026-08-30 16:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.48% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51% | 1.3% | 2026-08-30 16:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.48% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51% | 1.3% | 2026-08-30 16:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.55% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65% | 3.1% | 2026-08-30 16:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.37% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.40% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24% | 3.2% | 2026-08-30 16:05 |