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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Al-Hazem v Al-Shabab

开赛时间： 2026-08-30 16:06 UTC

最终结果： Al-Hazem 1–1 Al-Shabab

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

29 家博彩公司 (5 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Al-Hazem (主队)

预测 23.26%4.30公平赔率
EV +0.714%
优势 +0.165%
Kelly +0.215%
增长率 +0.002%

假设最高赔率为 4.33

博彩公司预测分布
21.36%22.98%23.19%24.68%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.503.853.754.3328.57%25.94%26.67%23.09%最小值均值中位数最大值

Al-Shabab (客队)

预测 53.11%1.88公平赔率
EV -4.40%
优势 -2.45%
Kelly -5.51%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.80

博彩公司预测分布
50.64%53.30%53.02%55.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.641.721.731.8060.98%57.99%57.80%55.56%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 23.63%4.23公平赔率
EV -2.64%
优势 -0.640%
Kelly -0.845%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.12

博彩公司预测分布
22.96%23.72%23.79%24.77%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.453.713.654.1228.99%26.96%27.40%24.27%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Al-Hazem (主队)：23.26%；Al-Shabab (客队)：53.11%；平局：23.63%。 对于“Al-Hazem (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.30。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.33，对应+0.714%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (29 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV +0.714%E +0.165%K +0.215%G +0.002%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.97%EV -7.06%E -4.03%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -7.84%E -2.01%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 16:05
SportsBet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV +0.017%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -10.78%E -6.42%K -15.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -7.84%E -2.01%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-30 16:05
Tipico (DE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV +0.017%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.67%EV -12.37%E -7.50%K -19.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -5.47%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-30 16:05
Coral🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -2.31%E -0.550%K -0.722%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.91%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.84%E -2.01%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 15:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -2.31%E -0.550%K -0.722%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -11.31%E -6.77%K -16.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -10.20%E -2.68%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 16:05
Paddy Power🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -2.31%E -0.550%K -0.722%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -11.31%E -6.77%K -16.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -10.20%E -2.68%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 16:05
Pinnacle🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.12%EV -4.64%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.87%EV -6.53%E -3.71%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.01%EV -2.64%E -0.640%K -0.845%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 16:04
Unibet (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -6.96%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.06%E -4.03%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -7.84%E -2.01%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 16:00
betfred_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -6.96%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.12%E -4.69%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -11.38%E -3.03%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-30 16:04
Sky Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -6.96%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -11.31%E -6.77%K -16.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -11.38%E -3.03%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-30 16:05
Winamax (DE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -9.29%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.64%EV -8.65%E -5.03%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -11.38%E -3.03%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-30 16:05
Unibet (FR)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 22.79%EV -10.45%E -2.71%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 53.50%EV -12.90%E -7.87%K -20.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.71%EV -12.56%E -3.40%K -4.65%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-30 16:00
Betclic (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -11.61%E -3.06%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.44%EV -9.72%E -5.72%K -13.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -12.56%E -3.40%K -4.65%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-30 16:05
William Hill🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -12.78%E -3.41%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -8.12%E -4.69%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -14.93%E -4.15%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-30 15:45
888sport🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -12.78%E -3.41%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -8.12%E -4.69%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -14.93%E -4.15%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-30 15:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -12.78%E -3.41%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -8.12%E -4.69%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -14.93%E -4.15%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-30 15:45
888sport (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -12.78%E -3.41%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -8.12%E -4.69%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -14.93%E -4.15%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-30 15:45
Unibet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -13.94%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.79%EV -5.47%E -3.07%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -13.74%E -3.77%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 16:05
Unibet (NL)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -13.94%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.79%EV -5.47%E -3.07%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -13.74%E -3.77%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 16:05
Unibet (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -13.94%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.79%EV -5.47%E -3.07%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -13.74%E -3.77%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 16:05
Grosvenor🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -13.94%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.79%EV -5.47%E -3.07%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -13.74%E -3.77%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 16:05
Svenska Spel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -13.94%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.79%EV -5.47%E -3.07%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -13.74%E -3.77%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 16:05
ATG (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -13.94%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.79%EV -5.47%E -3.07%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -13.74%E -3.77%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 16:05
Winamax (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 23.41%EV -13.94%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 52.19%EV -11.84%E -7.13%K -17.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.40%EV -16.11%E -4.54%K -6.32%G +0.000%15.4%2026-08-30 16:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -16.27%E -4.52%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -7.06%E -4.03%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -14.93%E -4.15%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-30 16:05
LiveScore Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.68%EV -17.43%E -4.91%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.64%EV -8.12%E -4.69%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.68%EV -16.11%E -4.54%K -6.32%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-30 16:05
Virgin Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.68%EV -17.43%E -4.91%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.64%EV -8.12%E -4.69%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.68%EV -16.11%E -4.54%K -6.32%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-30 16:05
BoyleSports🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 24.58%EV -18.59%E -5.31%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 51.52%EV -11.31%E -6.77%K -16.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%EV -14.93%E -4.15%K -5.74%G +0.000%16.2%2026-08-30 16:00
PMU (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 24.40%EV -18.59%E -5.31%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 50.84%EV -10.78%E -6.42%K -15.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.76%EV -18.47%E -5.35%K -7.54%G +0.000%17.1%2026-08-30 16:05
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.48%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51%1.3%2026-08-30 16:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.48%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51%1.3%2026-08-30 16:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.48%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51%1.3%2026-08-30 16:05
Smarkets◎4.50I 22.22%NM 21.55%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%3.1%2026-08-30 16:05
Kalshi◎4.76I 21.01%NM 20.37%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.40%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%3.2%2026-08-30 16:05