Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Al-Hazem v Al-Shabab

Inizio: 2026-08-30 16:06 UTC

Finale: Al-Hazem 1–1 Al-Shabab

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

29 bookmaker (5 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Al-Hazem (Casa)

Previsione 23.26%4.30quota equa
EV +0.714%
Vantaggio +0.165%
Kelly +0.215%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.33

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.36%22.98%23.19%24.68%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.853.754.3328.57%25.94%26.67%23.09%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Al-Shabab (Trasferta)

Previsione 53.11%1.88quota equa
EV -4.40%
Vantaggio -2.45%
Kelly -5.51%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.64%53.30%53.02%55.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.641.721.731.8060.98%57.99%57.80%55.56%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 23.63%4.23quota equa
EV -2.64%
Vantaggio -0.640%
Kelly -0.845%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.12

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.96%23.72%23.79%24.77%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.453.713.654.1228.99%26.96%27.40%24.27%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Al-Hazem (Casa): 23.26%; Al-Shabab (Trasferta): 53.11%; Pareggio: 23.63%. Per Al-Hazem (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.30. 3 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 4.33, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.714%.

Quote dei bookmaker (29 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV +0.714%E +0.165%K +0.215%G +0.002%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.97%EV -7.06%E -4.03%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -7.84%E -2.01%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 16:05
SportsBet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV +0.017%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -10.78%E -6.42%K -15.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -7.84%E -2.01%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-30 16:05
Tipico (DE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV +0.017%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.67%EV -12.37%E -7.50%K -19.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -5.47%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-30 16:05
Coral🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -2.31%E -0.550%K -0.722%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.91%EV -4.40%E -2.45%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.84%E -2.01%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 15:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -2.31%E -0.550%K -0.722%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -11.31%E -6.77%K -16.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -10.20%E -2.68%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 16:05
Paddy Power🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -2.31%E -0.550%K -0.722%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -11.31%E -6.77%K -16.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -10.20%E -2.68%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 16:05
Pinnacle🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.12%EV -4.64%E -1.13%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.87%EV -6.53%E -3.71%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.01%EV -2.64%E -0.640%K -0.845%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 16:04
Unibet (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -6.96%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.06%E -4.03%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -7.84%E -2.01%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 16:00
betfred_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -6.96%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.12%E -4.69%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -11.38%E -3.03%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-30 16:04
Sky Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -6.96%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -11.31%E -6.77%K -16.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -11.38%E -3.03%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-30 16:05
Winamax (DE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -9.29%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.64%EV -8.65%E -5.03%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -11.38%E -3.03%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-30 16:05
Unibet (FR)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 22.79%EV -10.45%E -2.71%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 53.50%EV -12.90%E -7.87%K -20.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.71%EV -12.56%E -3.40%K -4.65%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-30 16:00
Betclic (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -11.61%E -3.06%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.44%EV -9.72%E -5.72%K -13.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -12.56%E -3.40%K -4.65%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-30 16:05
William Hill🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -12.78%E -3.41%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -8.12%E -4.69%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -14.93%E -4.15%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-30 15:45
888sport🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -12.78%E -3.41%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -8.12%E -4.69%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -14.93%E -4.15%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-30 15:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -12.78%E -3.41%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -8.12%E -4.69%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -14.93%E -4.15%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-30 15:45
888sport (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -12.78%E -3.41%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -8.12%E -4.69%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -14.93%E -4.15%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-30 15:45
Unibet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -13.94%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.79%EV -5.47%E -3.07%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -13.74%E -3.77%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 16:05
Unibet (NL)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -13.94%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.79%EV -5.47%E -3.07%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -13.74%E -3.77%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 16:05
Unibet (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -13.94%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.79%EV -5.47%E -3.07%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -13.74%E -3.77%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 16:05
Grosvenor🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -13.94%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.79%EV -5.47%E -3.07%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -13.74%E -3.77%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 16:05
Svenska Spel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -13.94%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.79%EV -5.47%E -3.07%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -13.74%E -3.77%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 16:05
ATG (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -13.94%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.79%EV -5.47%E -3.07%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -13.74%E -3.77%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 16:05
Winamax (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 23.41%EV -13.94%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 52.19%EV -11.84%E -7.13%K -17.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.40%EV -16.11%E -4.54%K -6.32%G +0.000%15.4%2026-08-30 16:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -16.27%E -4.52%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -7.06%E -4.03%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -14.93%E -4.15%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-30 16:05
LiveScore Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.68%EV -17.43%E -4.91%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.64%EV -8.12%E -4.69%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.68%EV -16.11%E -4.54%K -6.32%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-30 16:05
Virgin Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.68%EV -17.43%E -4.91%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.64%EV -8.12%E -4.69%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.68%EV -16.11%E -4.54%K -6.32%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-30 16:05
BoyleSports🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 24.58%EV -18.59%E -5.31%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 51.52%EV -11.31%E -6.77%K -16.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%EV -14.93%E -4.15%K -5.74%G +0.000%16.2%2026-08-30 16:00
PMU (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 24.40%EV -18.59%E -5.31%K -7.44%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 50.84%EV -10.78%E -6.42%K -15.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.76%EV -18.47%E -5.35%K -7.54%G +0.000%17.1%2026-08-30 16:05
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.48%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51%1.3%2026-08-30 16:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.48%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51%1.3%2026-08-30 16:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.48%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51%1.3%2026-08-30 16:05
Smarkets◎4.50I 22.22%NM 21.55%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%3.1%2026-08-30 16:05
Kalshi◎4.76I 21.01%NM 20.37%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.40%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%3.2%2026-08-30 16:05