La scuola delle quote

Al-Fayha v Al-Qadsiah

Inizio: 2026-05-09 18:02 UTC

Finale: Al-Fayha 1–2 Al-Qadsiah

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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31 bookmaker (7 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Al-Fayha (Casa)

Previsione 12.29%8.14quota equa
EV +5.66%
Vantaggio +0.658%
Kelly +0.745%
Crescita +0.042%

ipotizzando la quota massima 8.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
11.01%12.31%12.43%13.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
6.507.297.508.6015.38%13.71%13.33%11.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Al-Qadsiah (Trasferta)

Previsione 70.53%1.42quota equa
EV -1.26%
Vantaggio -0.902%
Kelly -3.16%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
67.47%70.46%70.65%72.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.241.311.301.4080.65%76.56%76.92%71.43%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 17.19%5.82quota equa
EV +5.53%
Vantaggio +0.900%
Kelly +1.08%
Crescita +0.059%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.14

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.79%17.23%16.93%20.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.335.105.006.1423.09%19.59%20.00%16.29%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (31 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
1xBet8.19I 12.21%NM 11.84%EV +0.625%E +0.076%K +0.087%G +0.001%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.37%EV -5.49%E -4.10%K -16.16%G +0.000%6.14I 16.29%NM 15.79%EV +5.53%E +0.900%K +1.08%G +0.059%3.1%2026-05-09 17:59
Pinnacle8.60I 11.63%NM 11.01%EV +5.66%E +0.658%K +0.745%G +0.042%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.31%EV -7.61%E -5.81%K -24.55%G +0.000%5.68I 17.61%NM 16.68%EV -2.38%E -0.419%K -0.509%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 17:59
Coral7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV -7.85%E -1.05%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.15%EV -4.79%E -3.55%K -13.68%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.22%EV -5.47%E -0.995%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 18:00
betfred_uk7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -7.85%E -1.05%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -8.31%E -6.40%K -27.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -5.47%E -0.995%K -1.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 17:59
Tipico (DE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -1.71%E -0.214%K -0.244%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.96%EV -10.43%E -8.21%K -38.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -5.47%E -0.995%K -1.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 18:00
SportsBet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -1.71%E -0.214%K -0.244%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 72.28%EV -11.84%E -9.47%K -47.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -5.47%E -0.995%K -1.22%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-09 17:59
Betclic (FR)7.25I 13.79%NM 12.56%EV -10.92%E -1.51%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 70.58%EV -9.02%E -6.99%K -31.10%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.86%EV -7.19%E -1.33%K -1.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 17:59
Unibet (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.87%EV -7.85%E -1.05%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.93%EV -1.26%E -0.902%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV -8.91%E -1.68%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-09 18:00
Winamax (FR)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -20.14%E -3.10%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.35%EV -9.02%E -6.99%K -31.10%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.88%EV -8.91%E -1.68%K -2.07%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-09 17:59
Unibet (UK)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -7.85%E -1.05%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -9.77%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 17:59
Ladbrokes (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -14.00%E -2.00%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -9.77%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 18:00
Sky Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 12.61%EV -14.00%E -2.00%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -11.84%E -9.47%K -47.36%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.81%EV -9.77%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-09 17:59
Grosvenor7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -14.00%E -2.00%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -5.49%E -4.10%K -16.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -14.07%E -2.81%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 18:00
Virgin Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -14.00%E -2.00%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -5.49%E -4.10%K -16.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -14.07%E -2.81%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 18:00
BoyleSports8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -1.71%E -0.214%K -0.244%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -9.02%E -6.99%K -31.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -14.07%E -2.81%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 18:00
Winamax (DE)7.25I 13.79%NM 12.46%EV -10.92%E -1.51%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.48%EV -8.31%E -6.40%K -27.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -14.07%E -2.81%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-09 18:00
Paddy Power7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -7.85%E -1.05%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -9.02%E -6.99%K -31.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -14.07%E -2.81%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-09 18:00
William Hill7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -14.00%E -2.00%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -9.02%E -6.99%K -31.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -14.07%E -2.81%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-09 17:59
888sport6.50I 15.38%NM 13.63%EV -20.14%E -3.10%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 68.66%EV -9.02%E -6.99%K -31.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.71%EV -14.07%E -2.81%K -3.52%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-09 18:00
888sport (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.63%EV -20.14%E -3.10%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 68.66%EV -9.02%E -6.99%K -31.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.71%EV -14.07%E -2.81%K -3.52%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-09 18:00
Mr Green (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.63%EV -20.14%E -3.10%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 68.66%EV -9.02%E -6.99%K -31.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.71%EV -14.07%E -2.81%K -3.52%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-09 18:00
Unibet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -7.85%E -1.05%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.79%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -15.79%E -3.22%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 17:59
Unibet (NL)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -7.85%E -1.05%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.79%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -15.79%E -3.22%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 17:59
ATG (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -7.85%E -1.05%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.79%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -15.79%E -3.22%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 17:59
Svenska Spel7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -7.85%E -1.05%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.79%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -15.79%E -3.22%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 17:59
Unibet (FR)6.60I 15.15%NM 13.16%EV -18.91%E -2.87%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 68.93%EV -11.14%E -8.84%K -42.83%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 17.91%EV -16.64%E -3.43%K -4.32%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-09 17:59
LeoVegas7.50I 13.33%NM 12.13%EV -7.85%E -1.05%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 68.92%EV -6.90%E -5.23%K -21.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -17.50%E -3.65%K -4.61%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-09 17:59
LeoVegas (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -14.00%E -2.00%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 67.86%EV -5.49%E -4.10%K -16.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -18.36%E -3.87%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 18:00
LiveScore Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -7.85%E -1.05%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.27%EV -9.02%E -6.99%K -31.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.81%EV -18.36%E -3.87%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-09 17:59
PMU (FR)6.75I 14.81%NM 12.64%EV -17.07%E -2.53%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 68.81%EV -12.55%E -10.12%K -52.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.55%EV -20.94%E -4.55%K -5.82%G +0.000%17.2%2026-05-09 18:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 12.43%EV -14.00%E -2.00%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 67.47%EV -9.02%E -6.99%K -31.10%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.10%EV -25.58%E -5.91%K -7.68%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-09 17:57
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)9.60I 10.42%NM 10.35%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.13%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.52%0.7%2026-05-09 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)9.40I 10.64%NM 10.49%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.11%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.40%1.5%2026-05-09 18:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)9.40I 10.64%NM 10.49%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.11%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.40%1.5%2026-05-09 18:00
Kalshi8.33I 12.00%NM 11.76%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.57%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.67%2.1%2026-05-09 18:00
Smarkets9.00I 11.11%NM 10.73%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.70%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.57%3.6%2026-05-09 18:00