Langue:Français
Al-Fayha v Al-Qadsiah
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Al-Fayha (Local)
Prévision 12.29%8.14cote équitable
EV +5.66%
Avantage +0.658%
Kelly +0.745%
Croissance +0.042%
avec la cote maximale 8.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.01%12.31%12.43%13.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
6.507.297.508.6015.38%13.71%13.33%11.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Al-Qadsiah (Visiteur)
Prévision 70.53%1.42cote équitable
EV -1.26%
Avantage -0.902%
Kelly -3.16%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
67.47%70.46%70.65%72.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.241.311.301.4080.65%76.56%76.92%71.43%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 17.19%5.82cote équitable
EV +5.53%
Avantage +0.900%
Kelly +1.08%
Croissance +0.059%
avec la cote maximale 6.14
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.79%17.23%16.93%20.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.335.105.006.1423.09%19.59%20.00%16.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Al-Fayha (Local) : 12.29% ; Al-Qadsiah (Visiteur) : 70.53% ; Match nul : 17.19%. Pour Al-Fayha (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 8.14. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 8.60, soit une espérance positive de +5.66%.
Cotes des opérateurs (31 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 8.19I 12.21%NM 11.84%EV +0.625%E +0.076%K +0.087%G +0.001% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.37%EV -5.49%E -4.10%K -16.16%G +0.000% | 6.14I 16.29%NM 15.79%EV +5.53%E +0.900%K +1.08%G +0.059% | 3.1% | 2026-05-09 17:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.01%EV +5.66%E +0.658%K +0.745%G +0.042% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.31%EV -7.61%E -5.81%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 5.68I 17.61%NM 16.68%EV -2.38%E -0.419%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-09 17:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV -7.85%E -1.05%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.15%EV -4.79%E -3.55%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.22%EV -5.47%E -0.995%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-09 18:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -7.85%E -1.05%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -8.31%E -6.40%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -5.47%E -0.995%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 17:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -1.71%E -0.214%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.96%EV -10.43%E -8.21%K -38.63%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -5.47%E -0.995%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-09 18:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -1.71%E -0.214%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.28%EV -11.84%E -9.47%K -47.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -5.47%E -0.995%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-09 17:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.56%EV -10.92%E -1.51%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.58%EV -9.02%E -6.99%K -31.10%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.86%EV -7.19%E -1.33%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 17:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.87%EV -7.85%E -1.05%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.93%EV -1.26%E -0.902%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV -8.91%E -1.68%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-09 18:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -20.14%E -3.10%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.35%EV -9.02%E -6.99%K -31.10%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.88%EV -8.91%E -1.68%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-09 17:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -7.85%E -1.05%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -9.77%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-09 17:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -14.00%E -2.00%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -9.77%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-09 18:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.61%EV -14.00%E -2.00%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -11.84%E -9.47%K -47.36%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.81%EV -9.77%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-09 17:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -14.00%E -2.00%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -5.49%E -4.10%K -16.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -14.07%E -2.81%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-09 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -14.00%E -2.00%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -5.49%E -4.10%K -16.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -14.07%E -2.81%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-09 18:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -1.71%E -0.214%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -9.02%E -6.99%K -31.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -14.07%E -2.81%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-09 18:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.46%EV -10.92%E -1.51%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.48%EV -8.31%E -6.40%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -14.07%E -2.81%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-09 18:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -7.85%E -1.05%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -9.02%E -6.99%K -31.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -14.07%E -2.81%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-09 18:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -14.00%E -2.00%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -9.02%E -6.99%K -31.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -14.07%E -2.81%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-09 17:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.63%EV -20.14%E -3.10%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 68.66%EV -9.02%E -6.99%K -31.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.71%EV -14.07%E -2.81%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-09 18:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.63%EV -20.14%E -3.10%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 68.66%EV -9.02%E -6.99%K -31.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.71%EV -14.07%E -2.81%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-09 18:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.63%EV -20.14%E -3.10%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 68.66%EV -9.02%E -6.99%K -31.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.71%EV -14.07%E -2.81%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-09 18:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -7.85%E -1.05%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -15.79%E -3.22%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-09 17:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -7.85%E -1.05%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -15.79%E -3.22%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-09 17:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -7.85%E -1.05%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -15.79%E -3.22%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-09 17:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -7.85%E -1.05%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -15.79%E -3.22%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-09 17:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.16%EV -18.91%E -2.87%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 68.93%EV -11.14%E -8.84%K -42.83%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 17.91%EV -16.64%E -3.43%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-09 17:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.13%EV -7.85%E -1.05%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.92%EV -6.90%E -5.23%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -17.50%E -3.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-09 17:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -14.00%E -2.00%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.86%EV -5.49%E -4.10%K -16.16%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -18.36%E -3.87%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-09 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -7.85%E -1.05%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.27%EV -9.02%E -6.99%K -31.10%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.81%EV -18.36%E -3.87%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-09 17:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 12.64%EV -17.07%E -2.53%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 68.81%EV -12.55%E -10.12%K -52.28%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.55%EV -20.94%E -4.55%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-05-09 18:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.43%EV -14.00%E -2.00%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 67.47%EV -9.02%E -6.99%K -31.10%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.10%EV -25.58%E -5.91%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-09 17:57 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.35% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.13% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.52% | 0.7% | 2026-05-09 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.49% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.11% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.40% | 1.5% | 2026-05-09 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.49% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.11% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.40% | 1.5% | 2026-05-09 18:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.76% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.57% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.67% | 2.1% | 2026-05-09 18:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.73% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.70% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.57% | 3.6% | 2026-05-09 18:00 |