La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Al-Fayha v Al-Qadsiah
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Al-Fayha (Local)
Predicción 12.29%8.14momio equitativo
EV +5.66%
Ventaja +0.658%
Kelly +0.745%
Crecimiento +0.042%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.01%12.31%12.43%13.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.507.297.508.6015.38%13.71%13.33%11.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Al-Qadsiah (Visitante)
Predicción 70.53%1.42momio equitativo
EV -1.26%
Ventaja -0.902%
Kelly -3.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.47%70.46%70.65%72.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.241.311.301.4080.65%76.56%76.92%71.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 17.19%5.82momio equitativo
EV +5.53%
Ventaja +0.900%
Kelly +1.08%
Crecimiento +0.059%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.14
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.79%17.23%16.93%20.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.335.105.006.1423.09%19.59%20.00%16.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (31 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 8.19I 12.21%NM 11.84%EV +0.625%E +0.076%K +0.087%G +0.001% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.37%EV -5.49%E -4.10%K -16.16%G +0.000% | 6.14I 16.29%NM 15.79%EV +5.53%E +0.900%K +1.08%G +0.059% | 3.1% | 2026-05-09 17:59 |
| Pinnacle | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.01%EV +5.66%E +0.658%K +0.745%G +0.042% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.31%EV -7.61%E -5.81%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 5.68I 17.61%NM 16.68%EV -2.38%E -0.419%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-09 17:59 |
| Coral | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV -7.85%E -1.05%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.15%EV -4.79%E -3.55%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.22%EV -5.47%E -0.995%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-09 18:00 |
| betfred_uk | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -7.85%E -1.05%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -8.31%E -6.40%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -5.47%E -0.995%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 17:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -1.71%E -0.214%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.96%EV -10.43%E -8.21%K -38.63%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -5.47%E -0.995%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-09 18:00 |
| SportsBet | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -1.71%E -0.214%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.28%EV -11.84%E -9.47%K -47.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -5.47%E -0.995%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-09 17:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.56%EV -10.92%E -1.51%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.58%EV -9.02%E -6.99%K -31.10%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.86%EV -7.19%E -1.33%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 17:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.87%EV -7.85%E -1.05%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.93%EV -1.26%E -0.902%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV -8.91%E -1.68%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-09 18:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -20.14%E -3.10%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.35%EV -9.02%E -6.99%K -31.10%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.88%EV -8.91%E -1.68%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-09 17:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -7.85%E -1.05%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -9.77%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-09 17:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.16%EV -14.00%E -2.00%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -9.77%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-09 18:00 |
| Sky Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.61%EV -14.00%E -2.00%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -11.84%E -9.47%K -47.36%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.81%EV -9.77%E -1.86%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-09 17:59 |
| Grosvenor | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -14.00%E -2.00%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -5.49%E -4.10%K -16.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -14.07%E -2.81%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-09 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -14.00%E -2.00%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -5.49%E -4.10%K -16.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -14.07%E -2.81%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-09 18:00 |
| BoyleSports | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -1.71%E -0.214%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -9.02%E -6.99%K -31.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -14.07%E -2.81%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-09 18:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.46%EV -10.92%E -1.51%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.48%EV -8.31%E -6.40%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -14.07%E -2.81%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-09 18:00 |
| Paddy Power | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -7.85%E -1.05%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -9.02%E -6.99%K -31.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -14.07%E -2.81%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-09 18:00 |
| William Hill | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -14.00%E -2.00%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -9.02%E -6.99%K -31.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -14.07%E -2.81%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-09 17:59 |
| 888sport | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.63%EV -20.14%E -3.10%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 68.66%EV -9.02%E -6.99%K -31.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.71%EV -14.07%E -2.81%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-09 18:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.63%EV -20.14%E -3.10%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 68.66%EV -9.02%E -6.99%K -31.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.71%EV -14.07%E -2.81%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-09 18:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.63%EV -20.14%E -3.10%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 68.66%EV -9.02%E -6.99%K -31.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.71%EV -14.07%E -2.81%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-09 18:00 |
| Unibet | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -7.85%E -1.05%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -15.79%E -3.22%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-09 17:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -7.85%E -1.05%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -15.79%E -3.22%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-09 17:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -7.85%E -1.05%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -15.79%E -3.22%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-09 17:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -7.85%E -1.05%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -6.20%E -4.66%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -15.79%E -3.22%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-09 17:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.16%EV -18.91%E -2.87%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 68.93%EV -11.14%E -8.84%K -42.83%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 17.91%EV -16.64%E -3.43%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-09 17:59 |
| LeoVegas | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.13%EV -7.85%E -1.05%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.92%EV -6.90%E -5.23%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -17.50%E -3.65%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-09 17:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -14.00%E -2.00%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.86%EV -5.49%E -4.10%K -16.16%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -18.36%E -3.87%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-09 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -7.85%E -1.05%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.27%EV -9.02%E -6.99%K -31.10%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.81%EV -18.36%E -3.87%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-09 17:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 6.75I 14.81%NM 12.64%EV -17.07%E -2.53%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 68.81%EV -12.55%E -10.12%K -52.28%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.55%EV -20.94%E -4.55%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-05-09 18:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.43%EV -14.00%E -2.00%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 67.47%EV -9.02%E -6.99%K -31.10%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.10%EV -25.58%E -5.91%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-09 17:57 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.35% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.13% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.52% | 0.7% | 2026-05-09 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.49% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.11% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.40% | 1.5% | 2026-05-09 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.49% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.11% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.40% | 1.5% | 2026-05-09 18:00 |
| Kalshi | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.76% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.57% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.67% | 2.1% | 2026-05-09 18:00 |
| Smarkets | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.73% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.70% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.57% | 3.6% | 2026-05-09 18:00 |