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Al-Fayha v Al-Hilal

2026-08-20 18:00 UTC — Saudi Pro League

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Al-Fayha (Local)

Prediction 10.62%9.42fair odd
EV +0.898%
Edge +0.095%
Kelly +0.106%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 9.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.40%10.70%10.66%12.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.758.669.009.5014.81%11.55%11.11%10.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Al-Hilal (Visit)

Prediction 73.23%1.37fair odd
EV -8.47%
Edge -6.77%
Kelly -33.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.04%73.15%73.16%75.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.231.221.2584.75%81.61%81.97%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 16.15%6.19fair odd
EV +1.92%
Edge +0.305%
Kelly +0.362%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 6.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.78%16.14%16.18%17.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.525.506.3120.00%18.12%18.18%15.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Al-Fayha (Local): 10.62%; Al-Hilal (Visit): 73.23%; Draw: 16.15%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.19. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 6.31, producing a positive expected value of +1.92%.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯9.40I 10.64%NM 9.93%EV -0.164%E -0.017%K -0.020%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.28%EV -9.20%E -7.42%K -38.33%G +0.000%6.31I 15.85%NM 14.79%EV +1.92%E +0.305%K +0.362%G +0.007%7.1%2026-08-17 10:30
Pinnacle🎯8.52I 11.74%NM 10.83%EV -9.51%E -1.12%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.39%EV -9.20%E -7.42%K -38.33%G +0.000%6.24I 16.03%NM 14.78%EV +0.791%E +0.127%K +0.151%G +0.001%8.4%2026-08-17 10:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV +0.898%E +0.095%K +0.106%G +0.001%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -10.66%E -8.74%K -48.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -3.09%E -0.514%K -0.617%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-17 10:30
SportsBet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.62%EV +0.898%E +0.095%K +0.106%G +0.001%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.90%EV -10.66%E -8.74%K -48.47%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.49%EV -4.70%E -0.797%K -0.959%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-17 10:25
Winamax (DE)🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.28%EV -23.00%E -3.17%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 72.37%EV -9.93%E -8.07%K -43.18%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.35%EV -6.32%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-17 10:29
Betclic (FR)🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 11.56%EV -17.69%E -2.28%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 72.85%EV -9.93%E -8.07%K -43.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.58%EV -7.12%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-17 10:40
Tipico (DE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -4.41%E -0.490%K -0.552%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.63%EV -8.47%E -6.77%K -33.87%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV -7.93%E -1.39%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-17 10:29
Unibet (FR)🎯8.20I 12.20%NM 10.85%EV -12.91%E -1.57%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 73.54%EV -11.40%E -9.42%K -54.27%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.61%EV -7.93%E -1.39%K -1.69%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-17 10:30
betfred_uk🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -4.41%E -0.490%K -0.552%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -8.47%E -6.77%K -33.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -11.16%E -2.03%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-17 12:19
Unibet (UK)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -4.41%E -0.490%K -0.552%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -8.47%E -6.77%K -33.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -11.16%E -2.03%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-17 10:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -9.72%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -10.66%E -8.74%K -48.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -11.16%E -2.03%K -2.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-17 10:25
888sport (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -9.72%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -10.66%E -8.74%K -48.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -11.16%E -2.03%K -2.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-17 10:25
William Hill🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -9.72%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -10.66%E -8.74%K -48.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -11.16%E -2.03%K -2.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-17 10:29
888sport🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -9.72%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -10.66%E -8.74%K -48.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -11.16%E -2.03%K -2.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-17 10:30
Paddy Power🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV +0.898%E +0.095%K +0.106%G +0.001%1.20I 83.33%NM 74.38%EV -12.13%E -10.11%K -60.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -11.16%E -2.03%K -2.48%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-17 10:30
Unibet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.08%EV -4.41%E -0.490%K -0.552%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.13%EV -9.20%E -7.42%K -38.33%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.79%EV -12.78%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-17 12:55
Unibet (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.08%EV -4.41%E -0.490%K -0.552%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.13%EV -9.20%E -7.42%K -38.33%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.79%EV -12.78%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-17 12:54
Grosvenor🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.08%EV -4.41%E -0.490%K -0.552%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.13%EV -9.20%E -7.42%K -38.33%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.79%EV -12.78%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-17 12:54
Unibet (NL)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.08%EV -4.41%E -0.490%K -0.552%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.13%EV -9.20%E -7.42%K -38.33%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.79%EV -12.78%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-17 12:55
Svenska Spel🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.08%EV -4.41%E -0.490%K -0.552%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.13%EV -9.20%E -7.42%K -38.33%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.79%EV -12.78%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-17 12:54
ATG (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.08%EV -4.41%E -0.490%K -0.552%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.13%EV -9.20%E -7.42%K -38.33%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.79%EV -12.78%E -2.37%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-17 12:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 9.93%EV -4.41%E -0.490%K -0.552%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.22%EV -10.66%E -8.74%K -48.47%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.85%EV -14.39%E -2.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-17 12:54
Winamax (FR)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 12.74%EV -28.31%E -4.19%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 71.04%EV -11.40%E -9.42%K -54.27%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.22%EV -14.39%E -2.72%K -3.35%G +0.000%16.3%2026-08-17 10:29
Virgin Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 9.79%EV -4.41%E -0.490%K -0.552%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 73.43%EV -12.13%E -10.11%K -60.64%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.78%EV -15.20%E -2.90%K -3.58%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-17 12:55
LiveScore Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 9.79%EV -4.41%E -0.490%K -0.552%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 73.43%EV -12.13%E -10.11%K -60.64%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.78%EV -15.20%E -2.90%K -3.58%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-17 12:54
PMU (FR)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.13%EV -9.72%E -1.14%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 72.98%EV -13.59%E -11.52%K -75.51%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.89%EV -17.62%E -3.46%K -4.30%G +0.000%16.1%2026-08-17 12:55
BoyleSports🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 10.92%EV -15.03%E -1.88%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 71.61%EV -10.66%E -8.74%K -48.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.47%EV -19.24%E -3.85%K -4.81%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-17 10:28
Sky Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.56%EV -20.34%E -2.71%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 71.09%EV -10.66%E -8.74%K -48.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.35%EV -19.24%E -3.85%K -4.81%G +0.000%15.3%2026-08-17 10:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎10.00I 10.00%NM 9.79%1.28I 78.13%NM 76.50%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.71%2.1%2026-08-17 10:25
Smarkets◎7.00I 14.29%NM 12.22%1.21I 82.64%NM 70.68%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.10%16.9%2026-08-17 10:25

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