Langue:Français
Al-Fayha v Al-Hilal
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Al-Fayha (Local)
Prévision 9.28%10.77cote équitable
EV +20.68%
Avantage +1.59%
Kelly +1.72%
Croissance +0.356%
avec la cote maximale 13.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.09%9.07%9.53%9.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
9.0010.3910.5013.0011.11%9.62%9.52%7.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Al-Hilal (Visiteur)
Prévision 75.18%1.33cote équitable
EV -3.77%
Avantage -2.95%
Kelly -13.47%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.28
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
73.67%75.39%75.28%78.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.141.201.211.2887.72%83.01%82.64%78.13%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 15.54%6.44cote équitable
EV +3.17%
Avantage +0.477%
Kelly +0.562%
Croissance +0.018%
avec la cote maximale 6.64
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.19%15.54%15.20%16.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.405.795.756.6418.52%17.28%17.39%15.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Al-Fayha (Local) : 9.28% ; Al-Hilal (Visiteur) : 75.18% ; Match nul : 15.54%. Pour Al-Fayha (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 10.77. 10 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 13.00, soit une espérance positive de +20.68%.
Cotes des opérateurs (30 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV +20.68%E +1.59%K +1.72%G +0.356% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.06%EV -11.29%E -9.57%K -62.71%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.86%EV -3.67%E -0.592%K -0.705%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-20 15:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.54%EV +11.40%E +0.950%K +1.04%G +0.118% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -12.04%E -10.29%K -70.82%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -6.78%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-20 17:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.44%EV +11.40%E +0.950%K +1.04%G +0.118% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 77.67%EV -13.54%E -11.78%K -90.29%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -6.78%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-20 17:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.95%EV +6.76%E +0.587%K +0.643%G +0.043% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.43%EV -11.29%E -9.57%K -62.71%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.62%EV -2.89%E -0.463%K -0.551%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-20 17:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 11.20I 8.93%NM 8.62%EV +3.97%E +0.355%K +0.389%G +0.015% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.65%EV -5.27%E -4.19%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 6.56I 15.24%NM 14.72%EV +1.93%E +0.293%K +0.346%G +0.007% | 3.5% | 2026-08-20 17:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 11.02I 9.07%NM 8.55%EV +2.30%E +0.209%K +0.230%G +0.005% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.25%EV -8.28%E -6.79%K -37.64%G +0.000% | 6.64I 15.06%NM 14.19%EV +3.17%E +0.477%K +0.562%G +0.018% | 6.1% | 2026-08-20 17:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.69%EV +2.11%E +0.192%K +0.211%G +0.004% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.68%EV -3.77%E -2.95%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.63%EV -10.66%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-20 18:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV +2.11%E +0.192%K +0.211%G +0.004% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.13%EV -6.03%E -4.82%K -24.10%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -10.66%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-20 17:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV +2.11%E +0.192%K +0.211%G +0.004% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.03%EV -8.28%E -6.79%K -37.64%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -14.54%E -2.64%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-20 15:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.28%EV +2.11%E +0.192%K +0.211%G +0.004% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.54%EV -10.54%E -8.85%K -55.45%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -6.78%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-20 17:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV -2.53%E -0.241%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.28%EV -6.03%E -4.82%K -24.10%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -14.54%E -2.64%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-20 16:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.69%EV -2.53%E -0.241%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.43%EV -9.03%E -7.47%K -43.01%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -10.66%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-20 15:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.69%EV -2.53%E -0.241%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.43%EV -9.03%E -7.47%K -43.01%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -10.66%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-20 15:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.69%EV -2.53%E -0.241%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.43%EV -9.03%E -7.47%K -43.01%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -10.66%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-20 15:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.66%EV -2.53%E -0.241%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.11%EV -9.03%E -7.47%K -43.01%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -12.99%E -2.32%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-20 18:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.66%EV -2.53%E -0.241%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.11%EV -9.03%E -7.47%K -43.01%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -12.99%E -2.32%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-20 18:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.66%EV -2.53%E -0.241%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.11%EV -9.03%E -7.47%K -43.01%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -12.99%E -2.32%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-20 18:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.47%EV -2.53%E -0.241%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.05%EV -12.04%E -10.29%K -70.82%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.47%EV -10.66%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-20 17:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.86%EV -7.17%E -0.717%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.04%EV -11.29%E -9.57%K -62.71%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.10%EV -14.54%E -2.64%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-20 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.80%EV -7.17%E -0.717%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 75.20%EV -12.04%E -10.29%K -70.82%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.00%EV -14.54%E -2.64%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-20 17:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.80%EV -7.17%E -0.717%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 75.20%EV -12.04%E -10.29%K -70.82%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.00%EV -14.54%E -2.64%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-20 17:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -11.81%E -1.24%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.24%EV -9.03%E -7.47%K -43.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -6.78%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-20 17:32 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -11.81%E -1.24%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.85%EV -9.78%E -8.15%K -48.92%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.56%EV -2.89%E -0.463%K -0.551%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-20 16:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -11.81%E -1.24%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.06%EV -8.28%E -6.79%K -37.64%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -14.54%E -2.64%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-20 18:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.02%EV -11.81%E -1.24%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 75.13%EV -14.30%E -12.54%K -102.11%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 15.86%EV -16.10%E -2.98%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-08-20 17:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -16.45%E -1.83%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -8.28%E -6.79%K -37.64%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -14.54%E -2.64%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-20 17:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -16.45%E -1.83%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -8.28%E -6.79%K -37.64%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -14.54%E -2.64%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-20 17:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -16.45%E -1.83%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -8.28%E -6.79%K -37.64%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -14.54%E -2.64%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-20 17:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -16.45%E -1.83%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -8.28%E -6.79%K -37.64%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -14.54%E -2.64%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-20 17:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.94%EV -16.45%E -1.83%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.16%EV -10.54%E -8.85%K -55.45%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -6.78%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-20 16:39 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.41% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.18% | 0.7% | 2026-08-20 17:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 14.29I 7.00%NM 6.93% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.21% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87% | 1.0% | 2026-08-20 17:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.18% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.70% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.12% | 1.2% | 2026-08-20 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.18% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.70% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.12% | 1.2% | 2026-08-20 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.36% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.55% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.09% | 1.4% | 2026-08-20 17:55 |