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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Al-Fayha v Al-Hilal

开赛时间： 2026-08-20 18:00 UTC

最终结果： Al-Fayha 0–3 Al-Hilal

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

30 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Al-Fayha (主队)

预测 9.28%10.77公平赔率
EV +20.68%
优势 +1.59%
Kelly +1.72%
增长率 +0.356%

假设最高赔率为 13.00

博彩公司预测分布
7.09%9.07%9.53%9.99%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
9.0010.3910.5013.0011.11%9.62%9.52%7.69%最小值均值中位数最大值

Al-Hilal (客队)

预测 75.18%1.33公平赔率
EV -3.77%
优势 -2.95%
Kelly -13.47%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.28

博彩公司预测分布
73.67%75.39%75.28%78.06%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.141.201.211.2887.72%83.01%82.64%78.13%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 15.54%6.44公平赔率
EV +3.17%
优势 +0.477%
Kelly +0.562%
增长率 +0.018%

假设最高赔率为 6.64

博彩公司预测分布
14.19%15.54%15.20%16.88%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.405.795.756.6418.52%17.28%17.39%15.06%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Al-Fayha (主队)：9.28%；Al-Hilal (客队)：75.18%；平局：15.54%。 对于“Al-Fayha (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为10.77。 当时有10家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为13.00，对应+20.68%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (30 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Tipico (DE)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV +20.68%E +1.59%K +1.72%G +0.356%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.06%EV -11.29%E -9.57%K -62.71%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.86%EV -3.67%E -0.592%K -0.705%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-20 15:40
Paddy Power🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.54%EV +11.40%E +0.950%K +1.04%G +0.118%1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -12.04%E -10.29%K -70.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -6.78%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-20 17:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.44%EV +11.40%E +0.950%K +1.04%G +0.118%1.15I 86.96%NM 77.67%EV -13.54%E -11.78%K -90.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -6.78%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-20 17:55
SportsBet🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 7.95%EV +6.76%E +0.587%K +0.643%G +0.043%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.43%EV -11.29%E -9.57%K -62.71%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.62%EV -2.89%E -0.463%K -0.551%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-20 17:30
1xBet🎯11.20I 8.93%NM 8.62%EV +3.97%E +0.355%K +0.389%G +0.015%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.65%EV -5.27%E -4.19%K -20.28%G +0.000%6.56I 15.24%NM 14.72%EV +1.93%E +0.293%K +0.346%G +0.007%3.5%2026-08-20 17:55
Pinnacle🎯11.02I 9.07%NM 8.55%EV +2.30%E +0.209%K +0.230%G +0.005%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.25%EV -8.28%E -6.79%K -37.64%G +0.000%6.64I 15.06%NM 14.19%EV +3.17%E +0.477%K +0.562%G +0.018%6.1%2026-08-20 17:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.69%EV +2.11%E +0.192%K +0.211%G +0.004%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.68%EV -3.77%E -2.95%K -13.47%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.63%EV -10.66%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-20 18:00
Coral🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV +2.11%E +0.192%K +0.211%G +0.004%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.13%EV -6.03%E -4.82%K -24.10%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -10.66%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-20 17:35
betfred_uk🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV +2.11%E +0.192%K +0.211%G +0.004%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.03%EV -8.28%E -6.79%K -37.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -14.54%E -2.64%K -3.23%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-20 15:39
Unibet (FR)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.28%EV +2.11%E +0.192%K +0.211%G +0.004%1.19I 84.03%NM 76.54%EV -10.54%E -8.85%K -55.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -6.78%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-20 17:35
Unibet (UK)🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV -2.53%E -0.241%K -0.266%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.28%EV -6.03%E -4.82%K -24.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -14.54%E -2.64%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-20 16:20
Unibet🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.69%EV -2.53%E -0.241%K -0.266%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.43%EV -9.03%E -7.47%K -43.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -10.66%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-20 15:45
Svenska Spel🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.69%EV -2.53%E -0.241%K -0.266%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.43%EV -9.03%E -7.47%K -43.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -10.66%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-20 15:45
ATG (SE)🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.69%EV -2.53%E -0.241%K -0.266%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.43%EV -9.03%E -7.47%K -43.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -10.66%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-20 15:45
Unibet (SE)🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.66%EV -2.53%E -0.241%K -0.266%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.11%EV -9.03%E -7.47%K -43.01%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -12.99%E -2.32%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-20 18:00
Grosvenor🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.66%EV -2.53%E -0.241%K -0.266%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.11%EV -9.03%E -7.47%K -43.01%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -12.99%E -2.32%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-20 18:00
Unibet (NL)🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.66%EV -2.53%E -0.241%K -0.266%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.11%EV -9.03%E -7.47%K -43.01%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -12.99%E -2.32%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-20 18:00
Sky Bet🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.47%EV -2.53%E -0.241%K -0.266%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 76.05%EV -12.04%E -10.29%K -70.82%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.47%EV -10.66%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-20 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 8.86%EV -7.17%E -0.717%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 75.04%EV -11.29%E -9.57%K -62.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.10%EV -14.54%E -2.64%K -3.23%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-20 18:00
Virgin Bet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 8.80%EV -7.17%E -0.717%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 75.20%EV -12.04%E -10.29%K -70.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.00%EV -14.54%E -2.64%K -3.23%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-20 17:05
LiveScore Bet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 8.80%EV -7.17%E -0.717%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 75.20%EV -12.04%E -10.29%K -70.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.00%EV -14.54%E -2.64%K -3.23%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-20 17:05
Betclic (FR)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -11.81%E -1.24%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.24%EV -9.03%E -7.47%K -43.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -6.78%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-20 17:32
Winamax (DE)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -11.81%E -1.24%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.85%EV -9.78%E -8.15%K -48.92%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.56%EV -2.89%E -0.463%K -0.551%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-20 16:39
BoyleSports🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -11.81%E -1.24%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.06%EV -8.28%E -6.79%K -37.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -14.54%E -2.64%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-20 18:00
PMU (FR)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.02%EV -11.81%E -1.24%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 75.13%EV -14.30%E -12.54%K -102.11%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 15.86%EV -16.10%E -2.98%K -3.66%G +0.000%16.8%2026-08-20 17:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -16.45%E -1.83%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -8.28%E -6.79%K -37.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -14.54%E -2.64%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-20 17:50
888sport (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -16.45%E -1.83%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -8.28%E -6.79%K -37.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -14.54%E -2.64%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-20 17:49
William Hill🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -16.45%E -1.83%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -8.28%E -6.79%K -37.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -14.54%E -2.64%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-20 17:49
888sport🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -16.45%E -1.83%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.67%EV -8.28%E -6.79%K -37.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -14.54%E -2.64%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-20 17:49
Winamax (FR)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 9.94%EV -16.45%E -1.83%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 75.16%EV -10.54%E -8.85%K -55.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -6.78%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-20 16:39
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.41%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.18%0.7%2026-08-20 17:55
Kalshi◎14.29I 7.00%NM 6.93%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.21%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87%1.0%2026-08-20 17:55
Smarkets◎16.00I 6.25%NM 6.18%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.70%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.12%1.2%2026-08-20 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎16.00I 6.25%NM 6.18%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.70%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.12%1.2%2026-08-20 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎15.50I 6.45%NM 6.36%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.55%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.09%1.4%2026-08-20 17:55