语言:简体中文
Al-Fateh v Neom
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Al-Fateh (主队)
预测 26.64%3.75公平赔率
EV -3.31%
优势 -0.912%
Kelly -1.26%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.63
博彩公司预测分布
25.52%26.61%26.69%27.72%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.403.453.6332.26%29.44%28.99%27.55%最小值均值中位数最大值
Neom (客队)
预测 48.83%2.05公平赔率
EV -3.32%
优势 -1.68%
Kelly -3.39%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.98
博彩公司预测分布
46.84%48.84%48.74%50.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.781.881.871.9856.18%53.33%53.48%50.51%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 24.54%4.08公平赔率
EV -1.61%
优势 -0.402%
Kelly -0.536%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.01
博彩公司预测分布
23.70%24.55%24.58%26.79%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.633.654.0131.25%27.52%27.40%24.94%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Al-Fateh (主队)：26.64%；Neom (客队)：48.83%；平局：24.54%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.08。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为4.01，期望值为-1.61%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (31 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.75%EV -3.31%E -0.912%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.04%EV -3.32%E -1.68%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 24.21%EV -1.61%E -0.402%K -0.536%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-02 15:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.11%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.74%E -3.53%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -4.11%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -6.74%E -3.53%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 15:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -4.11%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -9.67%E -5.23%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 15:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.58%EV -4.64%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.31%EV -3.81%E -1.93%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.11%EV -7.01%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-02 15:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.77%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -7.23%E -3.80%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -11.67%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 15:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -6.77%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -8.69%E -4.65%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -11.67%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 15:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -6.77%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.03%EV -11.13%E -6.12%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 15:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -7.23%E -3.80%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 15:06 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.15%EV -6.74%E -3.53%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 15:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.15%EV -6.74%E -3.53%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 15:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.15%EV -6.74%E -3.53%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 15:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.15%EV -6.74%E -3.53%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 15:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.15%EV -6.74%E -3.53%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 15:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.15%EV -6.74%E -3.53%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 15:21 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -8.20%E -4.36%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -11.67%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 15:21 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -8.20%E -4.36%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -11.67%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 15:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.44%E -2.78%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.67%E -5.23%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -14.13%E -4.04%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-02 15:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -10.77%E -3.21%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.06%EV -9.18%E -4.94%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.70%EV -5.54%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 15:06 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -10.77%E -3.21%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.23%EV -9.67%E -5.23%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.13%EV -12.90%E -3.63%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-02 15:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -10.77%E -3.21%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.23%EV -9.67%E -5.23%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.13%EV -12.90%E -3.63%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-02 15:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -12.10%E -3.67%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -6.74%E -3.53%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 15:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -12.10%E -3.67%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.82%EV -10.16%E -5.52%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-02 15:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.69%EV -12.10%E -3.67%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.14%EV -10.64%E -5.82%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -14.13%E -4.04%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-02 15:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.73%EV -13.43%E -4.13%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 48.80%EV -13.09%E -7.35%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.47%EV -12.90%E -3.63%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-02 15:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.37%EV -13.43%E -4.13%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.84%EV -10.64%E -5.82%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.79%EV -21.49%E -6.71%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-02 15:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -14.76%E -4.61%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.47%EV -9.67%E -5.23%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.09%EV -14.13%E -4.04%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-02 15:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -14.76%E -4.61%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.47%EV -9.67%E -5.23%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.09%EV -14.13%E -4.04%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-02 15:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -14.76%E -4.61%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.47%EV -9.67%E -5.23%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.09%EV -14.13%E -4.04%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-02 15:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -14.76%E -4.61%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.47%EV -9.67%E -5.23%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.09%EV -14.13%E -4.04%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-02 15:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.72%EV -17.43%E -5.62%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.73%EV -12.11%E -6.73%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.55%EV -14.13%E -4.04%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-05-02 15:25 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.04% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48% | 1.9% | 2026-05-02 15:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.81% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.04% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.15% | 2.0% | 2026-05-02 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.73% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.88% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.39% | 2.3% | 2026-05-02 15:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.73% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.88% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.39% | 2.3% | 2026-05-02 15:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.66% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.01% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.33% | 2.5% | 2026-05-02 15:30 |