L’École des cotes

Al-Fateh v Neom

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-02 15:50 UTC

Score final : Al-Fateh 2–2 Neom

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

31 opérateurs (6 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Al-Fateh (Local)

Prévision 26.64%3.75cote équitable
EV -3.31%
Avantage -0.912%
Kelly -1.26%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.52%26.61%26.69%27.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.403.453.6332.26%29.44%28.99%27.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Neom (Visiteur)

Prévision 48.83%2.05cote équitable
EV -3.32%
Avantage -1.68%
Kelly -3.39%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.98

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.84%48.84%48.74%50.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.781.881.871.9856.18%53.33%53.48%50.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.54%4.08cote équitable
EV -1.61%
Avantage -0.402%
Kelly -0.536%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.01

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.70%24.55%24.58%26.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.633.654.0131.25%27.52%27.40%24.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (31 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet3.63I 27.55%NM 26.75%EV -3.31%E -0.912%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.04%EV -3.32%E -1.68%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 24.21%EV -1.61%E -0.402%K -0.536%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-02 15:45
Coral3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.11%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.74%E -3.53%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 15:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -4.11%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -6.74%E -3.53%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 15:00
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -4.11%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -9.67%E -5.23%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -9.22%E -2.49%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 15:25
Pinnacle3.58I 27.93%NM 26.58%EV -4.64%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.31%EV -3.81%E -1.93%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.11%EV -7.01%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 15:35
SportsBet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.77%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -7.23%E -3.80%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -11.67%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 15:30
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -6.77%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -8.69%E -4.65%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -11.67%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 15:30
Betclic (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -6.77%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.03%EV -11.13%E -6.12%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 15:20
Unibet (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -7.23%E -3.80%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -6.77%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 15:06
Unibet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.15%EV -6.74%E -3.53%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 15:25
Unibet (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.15%EV -6.74%E -3.53%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 15:20
Grosvenor3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.15%EV -6.74%E -3.53%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 15:20
Unibet (NL)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.15%EV -6.74%E -3.53%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 15:20
Svenska Spel3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.15%EV -6.74%E -3.53%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 15:20
ATG (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.15%EV -6.74%E -3.53%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -10.45%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 15:21
LeoVegas (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -8.20%E -4.36%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -11.67%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 15:21
LeoVegas3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -8.10%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -8.20%E -4.36%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -11.67%E -3.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 15:20
Sky Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.44%E -2.78%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.67%E -5.23%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -14.13%E -4.04%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-02 15:30
Winamax (DE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -10.77%E -3.21%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.06%EV -9.18%E -4.94%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.70%EV -5.54%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 15:06
Virgin Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -10.77%E -3.21%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.23%EV -9.67%E -5.23%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.13%EV -12.90%E -3.63%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-02 15:20
LiveScore Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -10.77%E -3.21%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.23%EV -9.67%E -5.23%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.13%EV -12.90%E -3.63%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-02 15:25
betfred_uk3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -12.10%E -3.67%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -6.74%E -3.53%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 15:05
Winamax (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -12.10%E -3.67%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 48.82%EV -10.16%E -5.52%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -7.99%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-02 15:05
PMU (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.69%EV -12.10%E -3.67%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.14%EV -10.64%E -5.82%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -14.13%E -4.04%K -5.65%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-02 15:20
Unibet (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 26.73%EV -13.43%E -4.13%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 48.80%EV -13.09%E -7.35%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.47%EV -12.90%E -3.63%K -5.06%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-02 15:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 26.37%EV -13.43%E -4.13%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.84%EV -10.64%E -5.82%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.79%EV -21.49%E -6.71%K -9.77%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-02 15:30
888sport3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -14.76%E -4.61%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.47%EV -9.67%E -5.23%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.09%EV -14.13%E -4.04%K -5.65%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-02 15:40
William Hill3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -14.76%E -4.61%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.47%EV -9.67%E -5.23%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.09%EV -14.13%E -4.04%K -5.65%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-02 15:40
Mr Green (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -14.76%E -4.61%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.47%EV -9.67%E -5.23%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.09%EV -14.13%E -4.04%K -5.65%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-02 15:40
888sport (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -14.76%E -4.61%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.47%EV -9.67%E -5.23%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.09%EV -14.13%E -4.04%K -5.65%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-02 15:40
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 27.72%EV -17.43%E -5.62%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 47.73%EV -12.11%E -6.73%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.55%EV -14.13%E -4.04%K -5.65%G +0.000%16.4%2026-05-02 15:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.04%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48%1.9%2026-05-02 15:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.81%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.04%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.15%2.0%2026-05-02 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.73%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.88%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.39%2.3%2026-05-02 15:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.73%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.88%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.39%2.3%2026-05-02 15:45
Smarkets3.80I 26.32%NM 25.66%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.01%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.33%2.5%2026-05-02 15:30