赔率学院赔率.net
默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
+ 新建模型所有模型

Al-Fateh v Diriyah Club

开赛时间： 2026-09-09 18:00 UTC

最终结果： Al-Fateh 1–2 Diriyah Club

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

30 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Al-Fateh (主队)

预测 22.65%4.42公平赔率
EV -2.61%
优势 -0.607%
Kelly -0.791%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.30

博彩公司预测分布
21.36%22.69%22.77%24.94%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.453.873.904.3028.99%25.81%25.64%23.26%最小值均值中位数最大值

Diriyah Club (客队)

预测 54.09%1.85公平赔率
EV -1.02%
优势 -0.555%
Kelly -1.22%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.83

博彩公司预测分布
50.46%54.04%54.07%55.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.611.721.731.8362.11%58.04%57.80%54.64%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 23.26%4.30公平赔率
EV -2.77%
优势 -0.662%
Kelly -0.870%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.18

博彩公司预测分布
22.68%23.26%23.16%25.56%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.503.773.704.1828.57%26.50%27.03%23.92%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Al-Fateh (主队)：22.65%；Diriyah Club (客队)：54.09%；平局：23.26%。 对于“Diriyah Club (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.85。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为1.83，期望值为-1.02%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (30 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Tipico (DE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -2.61%E -0.607%K -0.791%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.67%EV -10.75%E -6.52%K -16.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -6.95%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 17:20
Pinnacle🎯4.27I 23.42%NM 22.20%EV -3.29%E -0.771%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.12%EV -6.97%E -4.05%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.68%EV -2.77%E -0.662%K -0.870%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-09 17:31
Coral🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -4.88%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -5.34%E -3.05%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.95%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 17:41
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -4.88%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -5.34%E -3.05%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.95%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 17:40
Unibet (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -4.88%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.89%EV -6.42%E -3.71%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -9.28%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 17:40
Paddy Power🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -4.88%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -9.67%E -5.79%K -14.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -11.61%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-09 17:41
1xBet🎯4.11I 24.33%NM 22.77%EV -6.91%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.48%EV -5.34%E -3.05%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.75%EV -8.35%E -2.12%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 17:41
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -9.41%E -2.35%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -1.02%E -0.555%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -13.93%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-09 17:26
betfred_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.41%E -2.35%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -6.42%E -3.71%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -12.77%E -3.41%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-09 17:20
Betclic (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -9.41%E -2.35%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.03%EV -9.13%E -5.43%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -9.28%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-09 17:34
Sky Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -9.41%E -2.35%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -9.67%E -5.79%K -14.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -12.77%E -3.41%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-09 17:41
Winamax (DE)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -10.54%E -2.67%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.19%EV -9.13%E -5.43%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -6.95%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 17:39
Unibet (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26%EV -10.54%E -2.67%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 54.61%EV -12.92%E -8.02%K -21.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.14%EV -11.61%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-09 17:40
SportsBet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -11.67%E -2.99%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.84%EV -2.10%E -1.16%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -16.26%E -4.52%K -6.25%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 17:26
888sport🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.78%EV -11.67%E -2.99%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.20%EV -9.67%E -5.79%K -14.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.01%EV -13.93%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-09 17:40
William Hill🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.78%EV -11.67%E -2.99%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.20%EV -9.67%E -5.79%K -14.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.01%EV -13.93%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-09 17:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.78%EV -11.67%E -2.99%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.20%EV -9.67%E -5.79%K -14.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.01%EV -13.93%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-09 17:41
888sport (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.78%EV -11.67%E -2.99%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.20%EV -9.67%E -5.79%K -14.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.01%EV -13.93%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-09 17:41
Winamax (FR)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.22%EV -12.80%E -3.33%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 53.86%EV -10.21%E -6.15%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -9.28%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-09 17:41
Unibet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -17.33%E -4.75%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.65%EV -3.18%E -1.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -13.93%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-09 17:41
Grosvenor🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -17.33%E -4.75%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.65%EV -3.18%E -1.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -13.93%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-09 17:40
Unibet (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -17.33%E -4.75%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.65%EV -3.18%E -1.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -13.93%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-09 17:40
Unibet (NL)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -17.33%E -4.75%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.65%EV -3.18%E -1.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -13.93%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-09 17:40
Svenska Spel🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -17.33%E -4.75%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.65%EV -3.18%E -1.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -13.93%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-09 17:41
ATG (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -17.33%E -4.75%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.65%EV -3.18%E -1.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -13.93%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-09 17:40
BoyleSports🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -18.47%E -5.13%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 52.54%EV -9.67%E -5.79%K -14.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -11.61%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-09 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.91%EV -19.60%E -5.52%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.53%EV -5.34%E -3.05%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%EV -16.26%E -4.52%K -6.25%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-09 17:40
Virgin Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 24.94%EV -20.73%E -5.92%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.46%EV -6.42%E -3.71%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.59%EV -17.42%E -4.91%K -6.83%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-09 17:41
LiveScore Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 24.94%EV -20.73%E -5.92%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.46%EV -6.42%E -3.71%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.59%EV -17.42%E -4.91%K -6.83%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-09 17:40
PMU (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 24.91%EV -21.86%E -6.34%K -8.92%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 50.54%EV -8.05%E -4.73%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.55%EV -18.58%E -5.31%K -7.43%G +0.000%16.4%2026-09-09 17:41
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.48%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51%1.3%2026-09-09 17:41
Kalshi◎4.35I 22.99%NM 22.53%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.0%2026-09-09 17:26
Smarkets◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.30%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.33%2.0%2026-09-09 17:41
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.96%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.29%2.2%2026-09-09 17:36
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.96%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.29%2.2%2026-09-09 17:36