Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Al-Fateh v Diriyah Club

Inizio: 2026-09-09 18:00 UTC

Finale: Al-Fateh 1–2 Diriyah Club

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

30 bookmaker (7 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Al-Fateh (Casa)

Previsione 22.65%4.42quota equa
EV -2.61%
Vantaggio -0.607%
Kelly -0.791%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.36%22.69%22.77%24.94%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.453.873.904.3028.99%25.81%25.64%23.26%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Diriyah Club (Trasferta)

Previsione 54.09%1.85quota equa
EV -1.02%
Vantaggio -0.555%
Kelly -1.22%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.83

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.46%54.04%54.07%55.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.611.721.731.8362.11%58.04%57.80%54.64%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 23.26%4.30quota equa
EV -2.77%
Vantaggio -0.662%
Kelly -0.870%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.18

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.68%23.26%23.16%25.56%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.773.704.1828.57%26.50%27.03%23.92%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Al-Fateh (Casa): 22.65%; Diriyah Club (Trasferta): 54.09%; Pareggio: 23.26%. Per Diriyah Club (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 1.85. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 1.83, con un valore atteso del -1.02%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (30 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Tipico (DE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -2.61%E -0.607%K -0.791%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.67%EV -10.75%E -6.52%K -16.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -6.95%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 17:20
Pinnacle🎯4.27I 23.42%NM 22.20%EV -3.29%E -0.771%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.12%EV -6.97%E -4.05%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.68%EV -2.77%E -0.662%K -0.870%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-09 17:31
Coral🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -4.88%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -5.34%E -3.05%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.95%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 17:41
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -4.88%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -5.34%E -3.05%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.95%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 17:40
Unibet (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -4.88%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.89%EV -6.42%E -3.71%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -9.28%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 17:40
Paddy Power🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -4.88%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -9.67%E -5.79%K -14.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -11.61%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-09 17:41
1xBet🎯4.11I 24.33%NM 22.77%EV -6.91%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.48%EV -5.34%E -3.05%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.75%EV -8.35%E -2.12%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 17:41
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -9.41%E -2.35%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -1.02%E -0.555%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -13.93%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-09 17:26
betfred_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.41%E -2.35%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -6.42%E -3.71%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -12.77%E -3.41%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-09 17:20
Betclic (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -9.41%E -2.35%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.03%EV -9.13%E -5.43%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -9.28%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-09 17:34
Sky Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -9.41%E -2.35%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -9.67%E -5.79%K -14.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -12.77%E -3.41%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-09 17:41
Winamax (DE)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -10.54%E -2.67%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.19%EV -9.13%E -5.43%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -6.95%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 17:39
Unibet (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26%EV -10.54%E -2.67%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 54.61%EV -12.92%E -8.02%K -21.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.14%EV -11.61%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-09 17:40
SportsBet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -11.67%E -2.99%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.84%EV -2.10%E -1.16%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -16.26%E -4.52%K -6.25%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 17:26
888sport🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.78%EV -11.67%E -2.99%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.20%EV -9.67%E -5.79%K -14.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.01%EV -13.93%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-09 17:40
William Hill🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.78%EV -11.67%E -2.99%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.20%EV -9.67%E -5.79%K -14.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.01%EV -13.93%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-09 17:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.78%EV -11.67%E -2.99%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.20%EV -9.67%E -5.79%K -14.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.01%EV -13.93%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-09 17:41
888sport (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.78%EV -11.67%E -2.99%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.20%EV -9.67%E -5.79%K -14.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.01%EV -13.93%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-09 17:41
Winamax (FR)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.22%EV -12.80%E -3.33%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 53.86%EV -10.21%E -6.15%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -9.28%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-09 17:41
Unibet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -17.33%E -4.75%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.65%EV -3.18%E -1.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -13.93%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-09 17:41
Grosvenor🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -17.33%E -4.75%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.65%EV -3.18%E -1.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -13.93%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-09 17:40
Unibet (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -17.33%E -4.75%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.65%EV -3.18%E -1.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -13.93%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-09 17:40
Unibet (NL)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -17.33%E -4.75%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.65%EV -3.18%E -1.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -13.93%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-09 17:40
Svenska Spel🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -17.33%E -4.75%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.65%EV -3.18%E -1.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -13.93%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-09 17:41
ATG (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -17.33%E -4.75%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.65%EV -3.18%E -1.78%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -13.93%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-09 17:40
BoyleSports🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -18.47%E -5.13%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 52.54%EV -9.67%E -5.79%K -14.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -11.61%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-09 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.91%EV -19.60%E -5.52%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.53%EV -5.34%E -3.05%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%EV -16.26%E -4.52%K -6.25%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-09 17:40
Virgin Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 24.94%EV -20.73%E -5.92%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.46%EV -6.42%E -3.71%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.59%EV -17.42%E -4.91%K -6.83%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-09 17:41
LiveScore Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 24.94%EV -20.73%E -5.92%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.46%EV -6.42%E -3.71%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.59%EV -17.42%E -4.91%K -6.83%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-09 17:40
PMU (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 24.91%EV -21.86%E -6.34%K -8.92%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 50.54%EV -8.05%E -4.73%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.55%EV -18.58%E -5.31%K -7.43%G +0.000%16.4%2026-09-09 17:41
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.48%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51%1.3%2026-09-09 17:41
Kalshi◎4.35I 22.99%NM 22.53%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.0%2026-09-09 17:26
Smarkets◎4.60I 21.74%NM 21.30%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.33%2.0%2026-09-09 17:41
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.96%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.29%2.2%2026-09-09 17:36
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.96%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.29%2.2%2026-09-09 17:36