Langue:Français
Al-Fateh v Diriyah Club
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Al-Fateh (Local)
Prévision 22.65%4.42cote équitable
EV -2.61%
Avantage -0.607%
Kelly -0.791%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.36%22.69%22.77%24.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.453.873.904.3028.99%25.81%25.64%23.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Diriyah Club (Visiteur)
Prévision 54.09%1.85cote équitable
EV -1.02%
Avantage -0.555%
Kelly -1.22%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.83
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.46%54.04%54.07%55.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.611.721.731.8362.11%58.04%57.80%54.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 23.26%4.30cote équitable
EV -2.77%
Avantage -0.662%
Kelly -0.870%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.18
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.68%23.26%23.16%25.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.773.704.1828.57%26.50%27.03%23.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Al-Fateh (Local) : 22.65% ; Diriyah Club (Visiteur) : 54.09% ; Match nul : 23.26%. Pour Diriyah Club (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.85. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 1.83, pour une espérance de -1.02% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (30 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -2.61%E -0.607%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.67%EV -10.75%E -6.52%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -6.95%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 17:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.20%EV -3.29%E -0.771%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.12%EV -6.97%E -4.05%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 22.68%EV -2.77%E -0.662%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-09 17:31 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -4.88%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -5.34%E -3.05%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.95%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 17:41 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -4.88%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -5.34%E -3.05%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.95%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -4.88%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.89%EV -6.42%E -3.71%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -9.28%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -4.88%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -9.67%E -5.79%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -11.61%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-09 17:41 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.11I 24.33%NM 22.77%EV -6.91%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.48%EV -5.34%E -3.05%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.75%EV -8.35%E -2.12%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 17:41 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -9.41%E -2.35%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -1.02%E -0.555%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -13.93%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-09 17:26 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.41%E -2.35%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -6.42%E -3.71%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -12.77%E -3.41%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-09 17:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -9.41%E -2.35%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.03%EV -9.13%E -5.43%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -9.28%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-09 17:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -9.41%E -2.35%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -9.67%E -5.79%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -12.77%E -3.41%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-09 17:41 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -10.54%E -2.67%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.19%EV -9.13%E -5.43%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -6.95%E -1.74%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 17:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26%EV -10.54%E -2.67%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.61%EV -12.92%E -8.02%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.14%EV -11.61%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -11.67%E -2.99%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.84%EV -2.10%E -1.16%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -16.26%E -4.52%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 17:26 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.78%EV -11.67%E -2.99%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.20%EV -9.67%E -5.79%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.01%EV -13.93%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.78%EV -11.67%E -2.99%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.20%EV -9.67%E -5.79%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.01%EV -13.93%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.78%EV -11.67%E -2.99%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.20%EV -9.67%E -5.79%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.01%EV -13.93%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-09 17:41 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.78%EV -11.67%E -2.99%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.20%EV -9.67%E -5.79%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.01%EV -13.93%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-09 17:41 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.22%EV -12.80%E -3.33%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.86%EV -10.21%E -6.15%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -9.28%E -2.38%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-09 17:41 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -17.33%E -4.75%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.65%EV -3.18%E -1.78%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -13.93%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-09 17:41 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -17.33%E -4.75%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.65%EV -3.18%E -1.78%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -13.93%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -17.33%E -4.75%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.65%EV -3.18%E -1.78%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -13.93%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -17.33%E -4.75%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.65%EV -3.18%E -1.78%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -13.93%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -17.33%E -4.75%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.65%EV -3.18%E -1.78%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -13.93%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-09 17:41 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -17.33%E -4.75%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.65%EV -3.18%E -1.78%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -13.93%E -3.77%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -18.47%E -5.13%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.54%EV -9.67%E -5.79%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -11.61%E -3.05%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-09 17:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.91%EV -19.60%E -5.52%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.53%EV -5.34%E -3.05%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%EV -16.26%E -4.52%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.94%EV -20.73%E -5.92%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.46%EV -6.42%E -3.71%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.59%EV -17.42%E -4.91%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-09-09 17:41 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.94%EV -20.73%E -5.92%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.46%EV -6.42%E -3.71%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.59%EV -17.42%E -4.91%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 24.91%EV -21.86%E -6.34%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 50.54%EV -8.05%E -4.73%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.55%EV -18.58%E -5.31%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-09-09 17:41 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.48% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51% | 1.3% | 2026-09-09 17:41 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.53% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.97% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50% | 2.0% | 2026-09-09 17:26 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.30% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.33% | 2.0% | 2026-09-09 17:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.96% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.29% | 2.2% | 2026-09-09 17:36 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.96% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.29% | 2.2% | 2026-09-09 17:36 |