La scuola delle quote

Al-Fateh v Al-Hilal

Inizio: 2026-03-14 19:02 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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29 bookmaker (7 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Al-Fateh (Casa)

Previsione 8.78%11.38quota equa
EV +9.81%
Vantaggio +0.785%
Kelly +0.853%
Crescita +0.084%

ipotizzando la quota massima 12.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
7.46%8.84%8.85%9.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
9.0010.2510.0012.5011.11%9.75%10.00%8.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Al-Hilal (Trasferta)

Previsione 77.91%1.28quota equa
EV -2.62%
Vantaggio -2.09%
Kelly -10.47%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
75.68%77.89%77.68%80.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.111.181.181.2590.09%84.72%84.75%80.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 13.31%7.51quota equa
EV +9.40%
Vantaggio +1.14%
Kelly +1.30%
Crescita +0.122%

ipotizzando la quota massima 8.22

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
11.83%13.27%13.47%15.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.506.676.508.2218.18%15.00%15.38%12.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (29 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
1xBet12.50I 8.00%NM 7.78%EV +9.81%E +0.785%K +0.853%G +0.084%1.21I 82.64%NM 80.39%EV -5.73%E -4.74%K -27.30%G +0.000%8.22I 12.17%NM 11.83%EV +9.40%E +1.14%K +1.30%G +0.122%2.8%2026-03-14 18:59
Pinnacle11.07I 9.03%NM 8.54%EV -2.75%E -0.249%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.42%EV -7.29%E -6.13%K -38.37%G +0.000%7.85I 12.74%NM 12.04%EV +4.47%E +0.570%K +0.653%G +0.029%5.8%2026-03-14 18:59
Ladbrokes (UK)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -16.54%E -1.74%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.45%EV -4.95%E -4.06%K -22.52%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -0.185%E -0.025%K -0.029%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 19:00
Coral9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -16.54%E -1.74%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.45%EV -4.95%E -4.06%K -22.52%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -0.185%E -0.025%K -0.029%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 19:00
Tipico (DE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.37%EV -3.37%E -0.306%K -0.337%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.36%EV -9.63%E -8.30%K -60.18%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -0.185%E -0.025%K -0.029%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 19:00
SportsBet12.00I 8.33%NM 7.51%EV +5.42%E +0.452%K +0.493%G +0.027%1.12I 89.29%NM 80.47%EV -12.74%E -11.38%K -106.21%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -0.185%E -0.025%K -0.029%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-14 19:00
Paddy Power12.00I 8.33%NM 7.46%EV +5.42%E +0.452%K +0.493%G +0.027%1.11I 90.09%NM 80.61%EV -13.52%E -12.18%K -122.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.93%EV -0.185%E -0.025%K -0.029%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-14 19:00
Unibet (UK)10.50I 9.52%NM 8.83%EV -7.76%E -0.739%K -0.817%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -7.29%E -6.13%K -38.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -6.84%E -0.977%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 19:00
Sky Bet10.00I 10.00%NM 8.87%EV -12.15%E -1.22%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 78.47%EV -11.97%E -10.59%K -92.04%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.67%EV -6.84%E -0.977%K -1.14%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-14 19:00
Svenska Spel10.50I 9.52%NM 9.13%EV -7.76%E -0.739%K -0.817%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.67%EV -2.62%E -2.09%K -10.47%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.20%EV -10.17%E -1.51%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 19:00
Winamax (DE)12.00I 8.33%NM 7.57%EV +5.42%E +0.452%K +0.493%G +0.027%1.15I 86.96%NM 78.98%EV -10.41%E -9.05%K -69.38%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -10.17%E -1.51%K -1.77%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 19:00
Betclic (FR)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.07%EV -12.15%E -1.22%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 77.50%EV -8.85%E -7.56%K -52.06%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.43%EV -10.17%E -1.51%K -1.77%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-14 18:59
888sport10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -12.15%E -1.22%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 76.95%EV -8.07%E -6.84%K -44.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -13.49%E -2.08%K -2.45%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 18:59
William Hill10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -12.15%E -1.22%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 76.95%EV -8.07%E -6.84%K -44.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -13.49%E -2.08%K -2.45%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 18:59
BoyleSports9.00I 11.11%NM 9.79%EV -20.94%E -2.33%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 76.65%EV -10.41%E -9.05%K -69.38%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.56%EV -13.49%E -2.08%K -2.45%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-14 19:00
Unibet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -12.15%E -1.22%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.33%EV -5.73%E -4.74%K -27.30%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.43%EV -14.82%E -2.32%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 19:00
Grosvenor10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -12.15%E -1.22%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.33%EV -5.73%E -4.74%K -27.30%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.43%EV -14.82%E -2.32%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 19:00
LeoVegas10.00I 10.00%NM 9.18%EV -12.15%E -1.22%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.48%EV -6.51%E -5.43%K -32.56%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.34%EV -14.82%E -2.32%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 19:00
Unibet (FR)9.30I 10.75%NM 9.60%EV -18.30%E -1.97%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 76.33%EV -8.85%E -7.56%K -52.06%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.06%EV -15.49%E -2.44%K -2.90%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-14 19:00
LeoVegas (SE)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -16.54%E -1.74%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.85%EV -6.51%E -5.43%K -32.56%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.56%EV -16.82%E -2.69%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 19:00
Winamax (FR)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -3.37%E -0.306%K -0.337%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 77.46%EV -9.63%E -8.30%K -60.18%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.38%EV -16.82%E -2.69%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-14 19:00
Unibet (NL)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -12.15%E -1.22%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.79%EV -5.73%E -4.74%K -27.30%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.03%EV -18.82%E -3.08%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 19:00
Unibet (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -12.15%E -1.22%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.79%EV -5.73%E -4.74%K -27.30%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.03%EV -18.82%E -3.08%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 19:00
ATG (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -12.15%E -1.22%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.79%EV -5.73%E -4.74%K -27.30%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.03%EV -18.82%E -3.08%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 19:00
LiveScore Bet9.50I 10.53%NM 9.37%EV -16.54%E -1.74%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 76.05%EV -8.85%E -7.56%K -52.06%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.59%EV -18.82%E -3.08%K -3.69%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-14 19:00
Virgin Bet9.50I 10.53%NM 9.37%EV -16.54%E -1.74%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 76.05%EV -8.85%E -7.56%K -52.06%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.59%EV -18.82%E -3.08%K -3.69%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-14 19:00
Mr Green (SE)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.34%EV -16.54%E -1.74%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 75.86%EV -8.85%E -7.56%K -52.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.79%EV -20.15%E -3.36%K -4.03%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-14 19:00
888sport (SE)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.34%EV -16.54%E -1.74%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 75.86%EV -8.85%E -7.56%K -52.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.79%EV -20.15%E -3.36%K -4.03%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-14 19:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)10.00I 10.00%NM 8.63%EV -12.15%E -1.22%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 75.68%EV -11.19%E -9.81%K -79.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.69%EV -26.80%E -4.87%K -5.96%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-14 19:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.58%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.21%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.21%1.4%2026-03-14 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.56%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.00%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.44%1.6%2026-03-14 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.51%1.19I 84.03%NM 82.12%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.36%2.3%2026-03-14 19:00
Smarkets13.50I 7.41%NM 7.20%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.96%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.85%2.9%2026-03-14 19:00
Kalshi11.11I 9.00%NM 8.74%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.60%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.66%3.0%2026-03-14 19:00