L’École des cotesFrançais
Al-Fateh v Al-Hilal
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Al-Fateh (Local)
Prévision 8.78%11.38cote équitable
EV +9.81%
Avantage +0.785%
Kelly +0.853%
Croissance +0.084%
avec la cote maximale 12.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.46%8.84%8.85%9.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
9.0010.2510.0012.5011.11%9.75%10.00%8.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Al-Hilal (Visiteur)
Prévision 77.91%1.28cote équitable
EV -2.62%
Avantage -2.09%
Kelly -10.47%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
75.68%77.89%77.68%80.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.111.181.181.2590.09%84.72%84.75%80.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 13.31%7.51cote équitable
EV +9.40%
Avantage +1.14%
Kelly +1.30%
Croissance +0.122%
avec la cote maximale 8.22
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.83%13.27%13.47%15.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.506.676.508.2218.18%15.00%15.38%12.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (29 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.78%EV +9.81%E +0.785%K +0.853%G +0.084% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.39%EV -5.73%E -4.74%K -27.30%G +0.000% | 8.22I 12.17%NM 11.83%EV +9.40%E +1.14%K +1.30%G +0.122% | 2.8% | 2026-03-14 18:59 |
| Pinnacle | 11.07I 9.03%NM 8.54%EV -2.75%E -0.249%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.42%EV -7.29%E -6.13%K -38.37%G +0.000% | 7.85I 12.74%NM 12.04%EV +4.47%E +0.570%K +0.653%G +0.029% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -16.54%E -1.74%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.45%EV -4.95%E -4.06%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -0.185%E -0.025%K -0.029%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Coral | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -16.54%E -1.74%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.45%EV -4.95%E -4.06%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -0.185%E -0.025%K -0.029%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.37%EV -3.37%E -0.306%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.36%EV -9.63%E -8.30%K -60.18%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -0.185%E -0.025%K -0.029%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| SportsBet | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.51%EV +5.42%E +0.452%K +0.493%G +0.027% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.47%EV -12.74%E -11.38%K -106.21%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -0.185%E -0.025%K -0.029%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Paddy Power | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.46%EV +5.42%E +0.452%K +0.493%G +0.027% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 80.61%EV -13.52%E -12.18%K -122.94%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.93%EV -0.185%E -0.025%K -0.029%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.83%EV -7.76%E -0.739%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -7.29%E -6.13%K -38.37%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -6.84%E -0.977%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Sky Bet | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.87%EV -12.15%E -1.22%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 78.47%EV -11.97%E -10.59%K -92.04%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.67%EV -6.84%E -0.977%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.13%EV -7.76%E -0.739%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.67%EV -2.62%E -2.09%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.20%EV -10.17%E -1.51%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.57%EV +5.42%E +0.452%K +0.493%G +0.027% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.98%EV -10.41%E -9.05%K -69.38%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -10.17%E -1.51%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.07%EV -12.15%E -1.22%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.50%EV -8.85%E -7.56%K -52.06%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.43%EV -10.17%E -1.51%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-14 18:59 |
| 888sport | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -12.15%E -1.22%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.95%EV -8.07%E -6.84%K -44.84%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -13.49%E -2.08%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 18:59 |
| William Hill | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -12.15%E -1.22%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.95%EV -8.07%E -6.84%K -44.84%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -13.49%E -2.08%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 18:59 |
| BoyleSports | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.79%EV -20.94%E -2.33%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 76.65%EV -10.41%E -9.05%K -69.38%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.56%EV -13.49%E -2.08%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Unibet | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -12.15%E -1.22%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.33%EV -5.73%E -4.74%K -27.30%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.43%EV -14.82%E -2.32%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Grosvenor | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -12.15%E -1.22%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.33%EV -5.73%E -4.74%K -27.30%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.43%EV -14.82%E -2.32%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| LeoVegas | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.18%EV -12.15%E -1.22%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.48%EV -6.51%E -5.43%K -32.56%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.34%EV -14.82%E -2.32%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 9.30I 10.75%NM 9.60%EV -18.30%E -1.97%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.33%EV -8.85%E -7.56%K -52.06%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.06%EV -15.49%E -2.44%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -16.54%E -1.74%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.85%EV -6.51%E -5.43%K -32.56%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.56%EV -16.82%E -2.69%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -3.37%E -0.306%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 77.46%EV -9.63%E -8.30%K -60.18%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.38%EV -16.82%E -2.69%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -12.15%E -1.22%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.79%EV -5.73%E -4.74%K -27.30%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.03%EV -18.82%E -3.08%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -12.15%E -1.22%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.79%EV -5.73%E -4.74%K -27.30%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.03%EV -18.82%E -3.08%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -12.15%E -1.22%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.79%EV -5.73%E -4.74%K -27.30%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.03%EV -18.82%E -3.08%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.37%EV -16.54%E -1.74%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.05%EV -8.85%E -7.56%K -52.06%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.59%EV -18.82%E -3.08%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.37%EV -16.54%E -1.74%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.05%EV -8.85%E -7.56%K -52.06%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.59%EV -18.82%E -3.08%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.34%EV -16.54%E -1.74%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 75.86%EV -8.85%E -7.56%K -52.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.79%EV -20.15%E -3.36%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.34%EV -16.54%E -1.74%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 75.86%EV -8.85%E -7.56%K -52.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.79%EV -20.15%E -3.36%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.63%EV -12.15%E -1.22%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 75.68%EV -11.19%E -9.81%K -79.90%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.69%EV -26.80%E -4.87%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.58% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.21% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.21% | 1.4% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.56% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.00% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.44% | 1.6% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.51% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.12% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.36% | 2.3% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Smarkets | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.20% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.96% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.85% | 2.9% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Kalshi | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.74% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.60% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.66% | 3.0% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |