La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Al-Fateh v Al-Hilal
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Al-Fateh (Local)
Predicción 8.78%11.38momio equitativo
EV +9.81%
Ventaja +0.785%
Kelly +0.853%
Crecimiento +0.084%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 12.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
7.46%8.84%8.85%9.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
9.0010.2510.0012.5011.11%9.75%10.00%8.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Al-Hilal (Visitante)
Predicción 77.91%1.28momio equitativo
EV -2.62%
Ventaja -2.09%
Kelly -10.47%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
75.68%77.89%77.68%80.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.111.181.181.2590.09%84.72%84.75%80.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 13.31%7.51momio equitativo
EV +9.40%
Ventaja +1.14%
Kelly +1.30%
Crecimiento +0.122%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.22
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.83%13.27%13.47%15.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.506.676.508.2218.18%15.00%15.38%12.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (29 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.78%EV +9.81%E +0.785%K +0.853%G +0.084% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.39%EV -5.73%E -4.74%K -27.30%G +0.000% | 8.22I 12.17%NM 11.83%EV +9.40%E +1.14%K +1.30%G +0.122% | 2.8% | 2026-03-14 18:59 |
| Pinnacle | 11.07I 9.03%NM 8.54%EV -2.75%E -0.249%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.42%EV -7.29%E -6.13%K -38.37%G +0.000% | 7.85I 12.74%NM 12.04%EV +4.47%E +0.570%K +0.653%G +0.029% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -16.54%E -1.74%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.45%EV -4.95%E -4.06%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -0.185%E -0.025%K -0.029%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Coral | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -16.54%E -1.74%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.45%EV -4.95%E -4.06%K -22.52%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -0.185%E -0.025%K -0.029%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.37%EV -3.37%E -0.306%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.36%EV -9.63%E -8.30%K -60.18%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -0.185%E -0.025%K -0.029%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| SportsBet | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.51%EV +5.42%E +0.452%K +0.493%G +0.027% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.47%EV -12.74%E -11.38%K -106.21%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -0.185%E -0.025%K -0.029%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Paddy Power | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.46%EV +5.42%E +0.452%K +0.493%G +0.027% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 80.61%EV -13.52%E -12.18%K -122.94%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.93%EV -0.185%E -0.025%K -0.029%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.83%EV -7.76%E -0.739%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.92%EV -7.29%E -6.13%K -38.37%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -6.84%E -0.977%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Sky Bet | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.87%EV -12.15%E -1.22%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 78.47%EV -11.97%E -10.59%K -92.04%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.67%EV -6.84%E -0.977%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.13%EV -7.76%E -0.739%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.67%EV -2.62%E -2.09%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.20%EV -10.17%E -1.51%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.57%EV +5.42%E +0.452%K +0.493%G +0.027% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.98%EV -10.41%E -9.05%K -69.38%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.46%EV -10.17%E -1.51%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.07%EV -12.15%E -1.22%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.50%EV -8.85%E -7.56%K -52.06%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.43%EV -10.17%E -1.51%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-14 18:59 |
| 888sport | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -12.15%E -1.22%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.95%EV -8.07%E -6.84%K -44.84%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -13.49%E -2.08%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 18:59 |
| William Hill | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -12.15%E -1.22%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.95%EV -8.07%E -6.84%K -44.84%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -13.49%E -2.08%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 18:59 |
| BoyleSports | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.79%EV -20.94%E -2.33%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 76.65%EV -10.41%E -9.05%K -69.38%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.56%EV -13.49%E -2.08%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Unibet | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -12.15%E -1.22%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.33%EV -5.73%E -4.74%K -27.30%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.43%EV -14.82%E -2.32%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Grosvenor | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -12.15%E -1.22%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.33%EV -5.73%E -4.74%K -27.30%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.43%EV -14.82%E -2.32%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| LeoVegas | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.18%EV -12.15%E -1.22%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.48%EV -6.51%E -5.43%K -32.56%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.34%EV -14.82%E -2.32%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 9.30I 10.75%NM 9.60%EV -18.30%E -1.97%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.33%EV -8.85%E -7.56%K -52.06%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.06%EV -15.49%E -2.44%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -16.54%E -1.74%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.85%EV -6.51%E -5.43%K -32.56%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.56%EV -16.82%E -2.69%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.17%EV -3.37%E -0.306%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 77.46%EV -9.63%E -8.30%K -60.18%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.38%EV -16.82%E -2.69%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -12.15%E -1.22%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.79%EV -5.73%E -4.74%K -27.30%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.03%EV -18.82%E -3.08%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -12.15%E -1.22%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.79%EV -5.73%E -4.74%K -27.30%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.03%EV -18.82%E -3.08%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -12.15%E -1.22%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.79%EV -5.73%E -4.74%K -27.30%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.03%EV -18.82%E -3.08%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.37%EV -16.54%E -1.74%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.05%EV -8.85%E -7.56%K -52.06%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.59%EV -18.82%E -3.08%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.37%EV -16.54%E -1.74%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.05%EV -8.85%E -7.56%K -52.06%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.59%EV -18.82%E -3.08%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.34%EV -16.54%E -1.74%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 75.86%EV -8.85%E -7.56%K -52.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.79%EV -20.15%E -3.36%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.34%EV -16.54%E -1.74%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 75.86%EV -8.85%E -7.56%K -52.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.79%EV -20.15%E -3.36%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.63%EV -12.15%E -1.22%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 75.68%EV -11.19%E -9.81%K -79.90%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.69%EV -26.80%E -4.87%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.58% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.21% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.21% | 1.4% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.56% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.00% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.44% | 1.6% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.51% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.12% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.36% | 2.3% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Smarkets | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.20% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.96% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.85% | 2.9% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |
| Kalshi | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.74% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.60% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.66% | 3.0% | 2026-03-14 19:00 |