La scuola delle quote

Al-Ettifaq v Al-Shabab

Inizio: 2026-03-07 19:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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29 bookmaker (6 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Al-Ettifaq (Casa)

Previsione 28.65%3.49quota equa
EV -0.581%
Vantaggio -0.167%
Kelly -0.235%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.47

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.45%28.61%28.83%29.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.163.103.4733.33%31.61%32.26%28.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Al-Shabab (Trasferta)

Previsione 46.65%2.14quota equa
EV -3.43%
Vantaggio -1.66%
Kelly -3.21%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.07

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.29%46.72%46.46%48.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.831.972.002.0754.64%50.65%50.00%48.31%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 24.70%4.05quota equa
EV -1.21%
Vantaggio -0.302%
Kelly -0.402%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.92%24.68%24.70%27.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.603.554.0032.26%27.82%28.17%25.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (29 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet3.47I 28.82%NM 27.96%EV -0.581%E -0.167%K -0.235%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.79%EV -5.30%E -2.61%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.25%EV -1.21%E -0.302%K -0.402%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-07 18:50
Pinnacle3.43I 29.15%NM 27.76%EV -1.73%E -0.504%K -0.711%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.33%EV -8.10%E -4.11%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.92%EV -1.70%E -0.427%K -0.571%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 18:50
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -2.59%E -0.761%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -6.15%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -2.59%E -0.761%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -7.38%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 18:44
SportsBet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -2.59%E -0.761%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.25%EV -11.36%E -5.98%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -8.62%E -2.33%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 18:49
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.78%EV -9.96%E -5.16%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -6.15%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 18:44
Paddy Power3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.94%EV -12.76%E -6.83%K -14.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -11.09%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-07 18:49
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.67%EV -13.70%E -7.40%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -13.56%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-07 18:50
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -8.32%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -7.38%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 18:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 26.45%EV -8.32%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.25%EV -14.63%E -7.99%K -17.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.30%EV -23.43%E -7.56%K -11.16%G +0.000%18.2%2026-03-07 18:50
Betclic (FR)3.12I 32.05%NM 29.14%EV -10.61%E -3.40%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.46%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.40%EV -11.58%E -3.23%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 18:48
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.43%EV -3.43%E -1.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -12.32%E -3.47%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 18:04
Grosvenor3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.43%EV -3.43%E -1.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -12.32%E -3.47%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 18:04
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.43%EV -3.43%E -1.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -12.32%E -3.47%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 18:04
Unibet (NL)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.43%EV -3.43%E -1.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -12.32%E -3.47%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 18:04
ATG (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.43%EV -3.43%E -1.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -12.32%E -3.47%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 18:04
Svenska Spel3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.43%EV -3.43%E -1.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -12.32%E -3.47%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 18:04
Winamax (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.41%EV -8.56%E -4.37%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -7.38%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 18:50
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -10.90%E -5.71%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -13.56%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-07 18:45
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -10.90%E -5.71%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -13.56%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-07 18:49
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -10.90%E -5.71%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -13.56%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-07 18:44
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -10.90%E -5.71%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -13.56%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-07 18:44
LeoVegas3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -12.61%E -4.14%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -4.37%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -13.56%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-07 18:04
LeoVegas (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -12.61%E -4.14%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -4.37%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -13.56%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-07 18:04
Winamax (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.34%EV -12.61%E -4.14%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.13%EV -9.50%E -4.90%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%EV -9.85%E -2.70%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-07 18:49
Unibet (FR)3.02I 33.11%NM 29.79%EV -13.47%E -4.46%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 45.21%EV -7.17%E -3.60%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.99%EV -11.09%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-07 18:55
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -14.05%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -16.03%E -4.71%K -6.68%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-07 18:04
Virgin Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -14.05%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -16.03%E -4.71%K -6.68%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-07 18:04
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 28.80%EV -14.05%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.21%EV -14.63%E -7.99%K -17.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.00%EV -11.09%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-07 18:44
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.93%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-03-07 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.93%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-03-07 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.76%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.62%1.5%2026-03-07 18:54
Kalshi3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.04%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.0%2026-03-07 18:45
Smarkets3.65I 27.40%NM 26.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.83%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.41%2.4%2026-03-07 18:55