La escuela de los momiosAl-Ettifaq v Al-Shabab
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Al-Ettifaq (Local)
Predicción 28.65%3.49momio equitativo
EV -0.581%
Ventaja -0.167%
Kelly -0.235%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.47
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.45%28.61%28.83%29.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.163.103.4733.33%31.61%32.26%28.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Al-Shabab (Visitante)
Predicción 46.65%2.14momio equitativo
EV -3.43%
Ventaja -1.66%
Kelly -3.21%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.07
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.29%46.72%46.46%48.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.831.972.002.0754.64%50.65%50.00%48.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.70%4.05momio equitativo
EV -1.21%
Ventaja -0.302%
Kelly -0.402%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.92%24.68%24.70%27.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.603.554.0032.26%27.82%28.17%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (29 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.96%EV -0.581%E -0.167%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.79%EV -5.30%E -2.61%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.25%EV -1.21%E -0.302%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-07 18:50 |
| Pinnacle | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.76%EV -1.73%E -0.504%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.33%EV -8.10%E -4.11%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.92%EV -1.70%E -0.427%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 18:50 |
| Coral | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -2.59%E -0.761%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -6.15%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 18:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -2.59%E -0.761%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -7.38%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 18:44 |
| SportsBet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -2.59%E -0.761%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.25%EV -11.36%E -5.98%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -8.62%E -2.33%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-07 18:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.78%EV -9.96%E -5.16%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -6.15%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 18:44 |
| Paddy Power | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.94%EV -12.76%E -6.83%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -11.09%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-07 18:49 |
| Sky Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.67%EV -13.70%E -7.40%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -13.56%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-03-07 18:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -8.32%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -7.38%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-07 18:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.45%EV -8.32%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.25%EV -14.63%E -7.99%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.30%EV -23.43%E -7.56%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 18.2% | 2026-03-07 18:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.14%EV -10.61%E -3.40%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.46%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.40%EV -11.58%E -3.23%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 18:48 |
| Unibet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.43%EV -3.43%E -1.66%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -12.32%E -3.47%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-07 18:04 |
| Grosvenor | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.43%EV -3.43%E -1.66%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -12.32%E -3.47%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-07 18:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.43%EV -3.43%E -1.66%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -12.32%E -3.47%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-07 18:04 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.43%EV -3.43%E -1.66%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -12.32%E -3.47%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-07 18:04 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.43%EV -3.43%E -1.66%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -12.32%E -3.47%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-07 18:04 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.43%EV -3.43%E -1.66%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -12.32%E -3.47%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-07 18:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.41%EV -8.56%E -4.37%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -7.38%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-07 18:50 |
| 888sport | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -10.90%E -5.71%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -13.56%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-07 18:45 |
| William Hill | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -10.90%E -5.71%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -13.56%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-07 18:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -10.90%E -5.71%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -13.56%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-07 18:44 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -10.90%E -5.71%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -13.56%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-07 18:44 |
| LeoVegas | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -12.61%E -4.14%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -4.37%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -13.56%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-07 18:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -12.61%E -4.14%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -4.37%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -13.56%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-07 18:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.34%EV -12.61%E -4.14%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.13%EV -9.50%E -4.90%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%EV -9.85%E -2.70%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-07 18:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.02I 33.11%NM 29.79%EV -13.47%E -4.46%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 45.21%EV -7.17%E -3.60%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.99%EV -11.09%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-07 18:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -14.05%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -16.03%E -4.71%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-07 18:04 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -14.05%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -16.03%E -4.71%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-07 18:04 |
| BoyleSports | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.80%EV -14.05%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.21%EV -14.63%E -7.99%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.00%EV -11.09%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-03-07 18:44 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.93% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 1.2% | 2026-03-07 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.93% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 1.2% | 2026-03-07 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.76% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.62% | 1.5% | 2026-03-07 18:54 |
| Kalshi | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.04% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50% | 2.0% | 2026-03-07 18:45 |
| Smarkets | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.76% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.83% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.41% | 2.4% | 2026-03-07 18:55 |