L’École des cotes

Al-Ettifaq v Al-Shabab

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-07 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

29 opérateurs (6 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Al-Ettifaq (Local)

Prévision 28.65%3.49cote équitable
EV -0.581%
Avantage -0.167%
Kelly -0.235%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.47

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.45%28.61%28.83%29.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.163.103.4733.33%31.61%32.26%28.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Al-Shabab (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.65%2.14cote équitable
EV -3.43%
Avantage -1.66%
Kelly -3.21%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.07

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.29%46.72%46.46%48.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.972.002.0754.64%50.65%50.00%48.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.70%4.05cote équitable
EV -1.21%
Avantage -0.302%
Kelly -0.402%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.92%24.68%24.70%27.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.603.554.0032.26%27.82%28.17%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (29 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet3.47I 28.82%NM 27.96%EV -0.581%E -0.167%K -0.235%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.79%EV -5.30%E -2.61%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.25%EV -1.21%E -0.302%K -0.402%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-07 18:50
Pinnacle3.43I 29.15%NM 27.76%EV -1.73%E -0.504%K -0.711%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.33%EV -8.10%E -4.11%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.92%EV -1.70%E -0.427%K -0.571%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 18:50
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -2.59%E -0.761%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -6.15%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -2.59%E -0.761%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -7.38%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 18:44
SportsBet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -2.59%E -0.761%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.25%EV -11.36%E -5.98%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -8.62%E -2.33%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 18:49
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.78%EV -9.96%E -5.16%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -6.15%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 18:44
Paddy Power3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -5.45%E -1.65%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.94%EV -12.76%E -6.83%K -14.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -11.09%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-07 18:49
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -6.88%E -2.12%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.67%EV -13.70%E -7.40%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -13.56%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-07 18:50
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -8.32%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -7.38%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 18:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 26.45%EV -8.32%E -2.60%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.25%EV -14.63%E -7.99%K -17.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.30%EV -23.43%E -7.56%K -11.16%G +0.000%18.2%2026-03-07 18:50
Betclic (FR)3.12I 32.05%NM 29.14%EV -10.61%E -3.40%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.46%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.40%EV -11.58%E -3.23%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 18:48
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.43%EV -3.43%E -1.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -12.32%E -3.47%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 18:04
Grosvenor3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.43%EV -3.43%E -1.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -12.32%E -3.47%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 18:04
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.43%EV -3.43%E -1.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -12.32%E -3.47%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 18:04
Unibet (NL)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.43%EV -3.43%E -1.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -12.32%E -3.47%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 18:04
ATG (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.43%EV -3.43%E -1.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -12.32%E -3.47%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 18:04
Svenska Spel3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.43%EV -3.43%E -1.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -12.32%E -3.47%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 18:04
Winamax (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.41%EV -8.56%E -4.37%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -7.38%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 18:50
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -10.90%E -5.71%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -13.56%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-07 18:45
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -10.90%E -5.71%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -13.56%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-07 18:49
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -10.90%E -5.71%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -13.56%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-07 18:44
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -11.18%E -3.61%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -10.90%E -5.71%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -13.56%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-07 18:44
LeoVegas3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -12.61%E -4.14%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -4.37%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -13.56%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-07 18:04
LeoVegas (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -12.61%E -4.14%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -4.37%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -13.56%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-07 18:04
Winamax (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.34%EV -12.61%E -4.14%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.13%EV -9.50%E -4.90%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%EV -9.85%E -2.70%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-07 18:49
Unibet (FR)3.02I 33.11%NM 29.79%EV -13.47%E -4.46%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 45.21%EV -7.17%E -3.60%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.99%EV -11.09%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-07 18:55
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -14.05%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -16.03%E -4.71%K -6.68%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-07 18:04
Virgin Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -14.05%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -16.03%E -4.71%K -6.68%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-07 18:04
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 28.80%EV -14.05%E -4.68%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.21%EV -14.63%E -7.99%K -17.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.00%EV -11.09%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-07 18:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.93%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-03-07 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.93%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-03-07 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.76%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.62%1.5%2026-03-07 18:54
Kalshi3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.04%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.0%2026-03-07 18:45
Smarkets3.65I 27.40%NM 26.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.83%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.41%2.4%2026-03-07 18:55