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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Al-Ettifaq v Al-Riyadh

开赛时间： 2026-04-09 18:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

30 家博彩公司 (6 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Al-Ettifaq (主队)

预测 45.48%2.20公平赔率
EV -3.58%
优势 -1.69%
Kelly -3.20%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.12

博彩公司预测分布
42.95%45.29%45.54%46.88%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.912.022.032.1252.36%49.55%49.26%47.17%最小值均值中位数最大值

Al-Riyadh (客队)

预测 29.48%3.39公平赔率
EV +1.99%
优势 +0.575%
Kelly +0.809%
增长率 +0.016%

假设最高赔率为 3.46

博彩公司预测分布
28.07%29.52%29.53%30.90%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.803.093.103.4635.71%32.40%32.26%28.90%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 25.04%3.99公平赔率
EV -4.59%
优势 -1.20%
Kelly -1.63%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.81

博彩公司预测分布
24.25%25.18%24.93%27.35%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.543.553.8132.26%28.27%28.17%26.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Al-Ettifaq (主队)：45.48%；Al-Riyadh (客队)：29.48%；平局：25.04%。 对于“Al-Riyadh (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.39。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.46，对应+1.99%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (30 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.82%EV -3.58%E -1.69%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 28.07%EV +1.99%E +0.575%K +0.809%G +0.016%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.11%EV -6.84%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-09 17:50
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.49%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.20%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -7.34%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-09 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -6.77%E -3.30%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -5.67%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.34%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-09 13:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -9.04%E -4.52%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.67%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -7.34%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-09 17:34
Pinnacle🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.14%EV -4.04%E -1.91%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.86%EV -5.97%E -1.87%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.00%EV -4.59%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 17:40
Unibet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -7.22%E -3.54%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -11.10%E -3.13%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-09 17:45
Grosvenor🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -7.22%E -3.54%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -11.10%E -3.13%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-09 17:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -7.22%E -3.54%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -11.10%E -3.13%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-09 17:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -7.22%E -3.54%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -11.10%E -3.13%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-09 17:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -7.22%E -3.54%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -11.10%E -3.13%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-09 17:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -7.22%E -3.54%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -11.10%E -3.13%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-09 17:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.88%EV -11.77%E -6.07%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.87%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -6.09%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-09 17:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.47%EV -5.40%E -2.60%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.84%EV -8.62%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -9.84%E -2.73%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-09 17:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.15%EV -9.95%E -5.03%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -8.62%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -6.09%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-09 17:35
LeoVegas🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.03%EV -8.13%E -4.03%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -8.62%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -11.10%E -3.13%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-09 17:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.03%EV -8.13%E -4.03%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -8.62%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -11.10%E -3.13%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-09 17:45
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -9.04%E -4.52%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.62%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.84%E -2.73%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-09 17:35
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -9.04%E -4.52%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.62%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.84%E -2.73%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-09 17:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 45.40%EV -9.50%E -4.77%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -8.62%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -11.10%E -3.13%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-09 17:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.13%EV -11.77%E -6.07%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.34%EV -10.09%E -3.31%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%EV -8.59%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-09 17:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.98%EV -9.95%E -5.03%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.20%EV -10.09%E -3.31%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.82%EV -13.60%E -3.94%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-09 17:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.98%EV -9.95%E -5.03%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.20%EV -10.09%E -3.31%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.82%EV -13.60%E -3.94%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-09 17:45
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.04%E -4.52%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.57%E -3.86%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-09 17:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.10%EV -11.77%E -6.07%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -11.57%E -3.86%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -14.85%E -4.37%K -6.19%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-09 17:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 44.39%EV -13.13%E -6.88%K -14.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.26%EV -11.57%E -3.86%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.35%EV -22.37%E -7.21%K -10.65%G +0.000%17.9%2026-04-09 17:50
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -6.77%E -3.30%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -14.52%E -5.01%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -17.36%E -5.26%K -7.55%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-09 17:35
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -6.77%E -3.30%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -14.52%E -5.01%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -17.36%E -5.26%K -7.55%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-09 17:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -6.77%E -3.30%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -14.52%E -5.01%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -17.36%E -5.26%K -7.55%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-09 17:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -6.77%E -3.30%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -14.52%E -5.01%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -17.36%E -5.26%K -7.55%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-09 17:35
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.37%EV -11.31%E -5.80%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -17.46%E -6.24%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.72%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-09 17:34
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06%1.0%2026-04-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06%1.0%2026-04-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06%1.0%2026-04-09 17:40
Smarkets◎2.14I 46.73%NM 45.71%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.20%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.08%2.2%2026-04-09 17:50
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 46.19%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.85%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.96%4.1%2026-04-09 17:45