La scuola delle quote

Al-Ettifaq v Al-Riyadh

Inizio: 2026-04-09 18:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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30 bookmaker (6 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Al-Ettifaq (Casa)

Previsione 45.48%2.20quota equa
EV -3.58%
Vantaggio -1.69%
Kelly -3.20%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.12

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.95%45.29%45.54%46.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.912.022.032.1252.36%49.55%49.26%47.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Al-Riyadh (Trasferta)

Previsione 29.48%3.39quota equa
EV +1.99%
Vantaggio +0.575%
Kelly +0.809%
Crescita +0.016%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.46

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.07%29.52%29.53%30.90%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.093.103.4635.71%32.40%32.26%28.90%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 25.04%3.99quota equa
EV -4.59%
Vantaggio -1.20%
Kelly -1.63%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.81

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.25%25.18%24.93%27.35%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.543.553.8132.26%28.27%28.17%26.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (30 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.82%EV -3.58%E -1.69%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 28.07%EV +1.99%E +0.575%K +0.809%G +0.016%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.11%EV -6.84%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-09 17:50
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.49%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.20%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -7.34%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-09 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -6.77%E -3.30%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -5.67%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.34%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-09 13:40
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -9.04%E -4.52%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.67%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -7.34%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-09 17:34
Pinnacle2.11I 47.39%NM 45.14%EV -4.04%E -1.91%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.86%EV -5.97%E -1.87%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.00%EV -4.59%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 17:40
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -7.22%E -3.54%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -11.10%E -3.13%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-09 17:45
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -7.22%E -3.54%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -11.10%E -3.13%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-09 17:45
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -7.22%E -3.54%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -11.10%E -3.13%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-09 17:45
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -7.22%E -3.54%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -11.10%E -3.13%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-09 17:45
ATG (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -7.22%E -3.54%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -11.10%E -3.13%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-09 17:45
Svenska Spel2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -7.22%E -3.54%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -11.10%E -3.13%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-09 17:45
Betclic (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.88%EV -11.77%E -6.07%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.87%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -6.09%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-09 17:40
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.47%EV -5.40%E -2.60%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.84%EV -8.62%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -9.84%E -2.73%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-09 17:35
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.15%EV -9.95%E -5.03%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -8.62%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -6.09%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-09 17:35
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 45.03%EV -8.13%E -4.03%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -8.62%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -11.10%E -3.13%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-09 17:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.03%EV -8.13%E -4.03%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -8.62%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -11.10%E -3.13%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-09 17:45
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -9.04%E -4.52%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.62%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.84%E -2.73%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-09 17:35
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -9.04%E -4.52%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.62%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.84%E -2.73%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-09 17:35
Unibet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 45.40%EV -9.50%E -4.77%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -8.62%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -11.10%E -3.13%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-09 17:35
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.13%EV -11.77%E -6.07%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.34%EV -10.09%E -3.31%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%EV -8.59%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-09 17:35
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 44.98%EV -9.95%E -5.03%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.20%EV -10.09%E -3.31%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.82%EV -13.60%E -3.94%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-09 17:45
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 44.98%EV -9.95%E -5.03%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.20%EV -10.09%E -3.31%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.82%EV -13.60%E -3.94%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-09 17:45
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.04%E -4.52%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.57%E -3.86%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-09 17:35
PMU (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.10%EV -11.77%E -6.07%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -11.57%E -3.86%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -14.85%E -4.37%K -6.19%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-09 17:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.39%EV -13.13%E -6.88%K -14.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.26%EV -11.57%E -3.86%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.35%EV -22.37%E -7.21%K -10.65%G +0.000%17.9%2026-04-09 17:50
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -6.77%E -3.30%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -14.52%E -5.01%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -17.36%E -5.26%K -7.55%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-09 17:35
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -6.77%E -3.30%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -14.52%E -5.01%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -17.36%E -5.26%K -7.55%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-09 17:40
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -6.77%E -3.30%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -14.52%E -5.01%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -17.36%E -5.26%K -7.55%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-09 17:35
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -6.77%E -3.30%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -14.52%E -5.01%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -17.36%E -5.26%K -7.55%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-09 17:35
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 44.37%EV -11.31%E -5.80%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -17.46%E -6.24%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.72%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-09 17:34
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06%1.0%2026-04-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06%1.0%2026-04-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06%1.0%2026-04-09 17:40
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 45.71%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.20%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.08%2.2%2026-04-09 17:50
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 46.19%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.85%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.96%4.1%2026-04-09 17:45