La escuela de los momiosAl-Ettifaq v Al-Riyadh
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Al-Ettifaq (Local)
Predicción 45.48%2.20momio equitativo
EV -3.58%
Ventaja -1.69%
Kelly -3.20%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.12
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.95%45.29%45.54%46.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.022.032.1252.36%49.55%49.26%47.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Al-Riyadh (Visitante)
Predicción 29.48%3.39momio equitativo
EV +1.99%
Ventaja +0.575%
Kelly +0.809%
Crecimiento +0.016%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.46
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.07%29.52%29.53%30.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.093.103.4635.71%32.40%32.26%28.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.04%3.99momio equitativo
EV -4.59%
Ventaja -1.20%
Kelly -1.63%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.81
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.25%25.18%24.93%27.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.543.553.8132.26%28.27%28.17%26.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (30 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.82%EV -3.58%E -1.69%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 28.07%EV +1.99%E +0.575%K +0.809%G +0.016% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 26.11%EV -6.84%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-09 17:50 |
| Coral | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.49%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.20%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -7.34%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-09 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -6.77%E -3.30%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -5.67%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.34%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-09 13:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -9.04%E -4.52%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.67%E -1.77%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -7.34%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-09 17:34 |
| Pinnacle | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.14%EV -4.04%E -1.91%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.86%EV -5.97%E -1.87%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.00%EV -4.59%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 17:40 |
| Unibet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -7.22%E -3.54%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -11.10%E -3.13%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-09 17:45 |
| Grosvenor | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -7.22%E -3.54%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -11.10%E -3.13%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-09 17:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -7.22%E -3.54%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -11.10%E -3.13%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-09 17:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -7.22%E -3.54%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -11.10%E -3.13%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-09 17:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -7.22%E -3.54%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -11.10%E -3.13%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-09 17:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.00%EV -7.22%E -3.54%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -11.10%E -3.13%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-09 17:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.88%EV -11.77%E -6.07%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.87%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -6.09%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-09 17:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.47%EV -5.40%E -2.60%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.84%EV -8.62%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -9.84%E -2.73%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-09 17:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.15%EV -9.95%E -5.03%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -8.62%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -6.09%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-09 17:35 |
| LeoVegas | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.03%EV -8.13%E -4.03%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -8.62%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -11.10%E -3.13%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-09 17:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.03%EV -8.13%E -4.03%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -8.62%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -11.10%E -3.13%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-09 17:45 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -9.04%E -4.52%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.62%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.84%E -2.73%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-09 17:35 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -9.04%E -4.52%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.62%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.84%E -2.73%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-09 17:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 45.40%EV -9.50%E -4.77%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -8.62%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -11.10%E -3.13%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-09 17:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.13%EV -11.77%E -6.07%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.34%EV -10.09%E -3.31%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%EV -8.59%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-09 17:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.98%EV -9.95%E -5.03%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.20%EV -10.09%E -3.31%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.82%EV -13.60%E -3.94%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-09 17:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.98%EV -9.95%E -5.03%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.20%EV -10.09%E -3.31%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.82%EV -13.60%E -3.94%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-09 17:45 |
| Sky Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.04%E -4.52%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.57%E -3.86%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-09 17:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.10%EV -11.77%E -6.07%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -11.57%E -3.86%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -14.85%E -4.37%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-09 17:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.39%EV -13.13%E -6.88%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.26%EV -11.57%E -3.86%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.35%EV -22.37%E -7.21%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-04-09 17:50 |
| 888sport | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -6.77%E -3.30%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -14.52%E -5.01%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -17.36%E -5.26%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-09 17:35 |
| William Hill | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -6.77%E -3.30%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -14.52%E -5.01%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -17.36%E -5.26%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-09 17:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -6.77%E -3.30%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -14.52%E -5.01%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -17.36%E -5.26%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-09 17:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -6.77%E -3.30%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -14.52%E -5.01%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -17.36%E -5.26%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-09 17:35 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.37%EV -11.31%E -5.80%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -17.46%E -6.24%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.72%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-09 17:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.83% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06% | 1.0% | 2026-04-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.83% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06% | 1.0% | 2026-04-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.83% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06% | 1.0% | 2026-04-09 17:40 |
| Smarkets | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.71% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.20% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.08% | 2.2% | 2026-04-09 17:50 |
| Kalshi | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.19% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.85% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.96% | 4.1% | 2026-04-09 17:45 |