L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Al-Ahli v Al-Kholood
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Al-Ahli (Local)
Prévision 74.41%1.34cote équitable
EV -4.76%
Avantage -3.72%
Kelly -17.00%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.28
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.12%74.39%74.82%78.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.191.231.231.2884.03%81.43%81.30%78.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Al-Kholood (Visiteur)
Prévision 9.23%10.83cote équitable
EV +16.32%
Avantage +1.30%
Kelly +1.41%
Croissance +0.230%
avec la cote maximale 12.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.71%9.21%9.16%9.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
9.009.869.5012.6011.11%10.14%10.53%7.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 16.36%6.11cote équitable
EV +14.04%
Avantage +2.01%
Kelly +2.35%
Croissance +0.330%
avec la cote maximale 6.97
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.94%16.40%16.01%19.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.555.506.9722.22%18.02%18.18%14.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (30 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.35%EV -7.74%E -6.24%K -32.23%G +0.000% | 12.60I 7.94%NM 7.71%EV +16.32%E +1.30%K +1.41%G +0.230% | 6.97I 14.35%NM 13.94%EV +14.04%E +2.01%K +2.35%G +0.330% | 2.9% | 2026-05-16 17:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.39%EV -8.48%E -6.89%K -36.87%G +0.000% | 11.12I 8.99%NM 8.45%EV +2.66%E +0.239%K +0.263%G +0.007% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.16%EV +1.44%E +0.232%K +0.277%G +0.004% | 6.4% | 2026-05-16 17:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.38%EV -9.22%E -7.56%K -41.93%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV -3.06%E -0.292%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.86%EV -5.11%E -0.880%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 18:00 |
| William Hill | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.36%EV -10.71%E -8.93%K -53.56%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.04%EV -7.68%E -0.768%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.59%EV -5.11%E -0.880%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-16 18:00 |
| Coral | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.76%E -3.72%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.48%EV -7.68%E -0.768%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.48%EV -5.92%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-16 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.76%E -3.72%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.48%EV -7.68%E -0.768%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.48%EV -5.92%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-16 18:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.99%E -5.59%K -27.97%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -7.68%E -0.768%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -5.92%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 17:59 |
| 888sport | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.26%EV -10.71%E -8.93%K -53.56%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.03%EV -7.68%E -0.768%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.71%EV -5.92%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-16 17:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.26%EV -10.71%E -8.93%K -53.56%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.03%EV -7.68%E -0.768%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.71%EV -5.92%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-16 17:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.26%EV -10.71%E -8.93%K -53.56%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.03%EV -7.68%E -0.768%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.71%EV -5.92%E -1.03%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-16 17:59 |
| Unibet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -6.99%E -5.59%K -27.97%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -12.30%E -1.29%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.01%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -6.99%E -5.59%K -27.97%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -12.30%E -1.29%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.01%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 18:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -6.99%E -5.59%K -27.97%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -12.30%E -1.29%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.01%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 18:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -6.99%E -5.59%K -27.97%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -12.30%E -1.29%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.01%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 18:00 |
| betfred_uk | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -6.99%E -5.59%K -27.97%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -12.30%E -1.29%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.01%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 17:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -6.99%E -5.59%K -27.97%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -12.30%E -1.29%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.01%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -6.99%E -5.59%K -27.97%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -12.30%E -1.29%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.01%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 18:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.34%EV -10.71%E -8.93%K -53.56%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.22%EV +1.55%E +0.141%K +0.155%G +0.002% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -10.01%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-16 18:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.34%EV -10.71%E -8.93%K -53.56%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.22%EV +1.55%E +0.141%K +0.155%G +0.002% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -10.01%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-16 18:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.83%EV -9.97%E -8.24%K -47.47%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.93%EV -16.91%E -1.88%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.24%EV -10.01%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-16 17:59 |
| Sky Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.38%EV -10.71%E -8.93%K -53.56%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -12.30%E -1.29%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.23%EV -10.01%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-16 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.52%EV -7.74%E -6.24%K -32.23%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -12.30%E -1.29%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -11.65%E -2.16%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 18:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.52%EV -7.74%E -6.24%K -32.23%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -12.30%E -1.29%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -11.65%E -2.16%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 18:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.52%EV -7.74%E -6.24%K -32.23%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -12.30%E -1.29%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.88%EV -11.65%E -2.16%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 18:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 73.93%EV -11.46%E -9.63%K -60.29%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.78%EV -16.91%E -1.88%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.29%EV -11.65%E -2.16%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-16 17:52 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.76%EV -9.97%E -8.24%K -47.47%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -12.30%E -1.29%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.84%EV -13.29%E -2.51%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-16 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.76%EV -9.97%E -8.24%K -47.47%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -12.30%E -1.29%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.84%EV -13.29%E -2.51%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-16 18:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.32%EV -8.48%E -6.89%K -36.87%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.88%EV -16.91%E -1.88%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.79%EV -18.19%E -3.64%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 18:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -9.22%E -7.56%K -41.93%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -16.91%E -1.88%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -18.19%E -3.64%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-16 18:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 72.12%EV -10.71%E -8.93%K -53.56%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.65%EV -7.68%E -0.768%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.23%EV -26.37%E -5.86%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-05-16 18:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.59% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.36% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.05% | 0.7% | 2026-05-16 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.93% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.07% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.73% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.31% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.96% | 1.3% | 2026-05-16 18:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.44% | 14.29I 7.00%NM 6.86% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.70% | 2.0% | 2026-05-16 18:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.65% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.19% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.17% | 3.0% | 2026-05-16 18:00 |